Napoleons Casino Bradford Handicap – Pontefract

Pontefract

14:40

Napoleons Casino Bradford Handicap

Date 2023-07-03

Distance 5f3y

Class Class 6

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,664

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (4)	J R Cavagin Bay J:Graham Lee T:Paul Midgley	J:Graham Lee T:Paul Midgley	140	v	1-8854	65	70	57	13d	—	—	-3	16.5	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Steadily finding his form this term; drops in class off a handy mark; respected
4 (1)	Blazing Hot Chestnut J:Jason Hart T:David C Griffiths	J:Jason Hart T:David C Griffiths	140	—	-75270	65	70	46	3d	—	—	-4	10.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Ran respectably over C&D three starts ago but he's 0-19 on turf overall
5 (11)	Emeralds Pride Brown J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	136	—	46-922	61	72	56	24d	—	—	-7	6.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Turn looks near judged on last two efforts, solid second at Thirsk latest; big player
8 (7)	Glendown Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	130	p	23-822	60	73	47	9d	—	—	-7	6.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Threatening to win, having finished a good second the last twice; shortlisted
3 (10)	So Grateful Bay J:Shane Gray T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Shane Gray T:Michael & David Easterby	140	—	7-7925	65	72	61	39d	—	—	-5	7.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Respectable chance on penultimate effort; beaten favourite latest; 0-17 on turf
6 (5)	Mumcat Bay J:Sam James T:Jacqueline Coward	J:Sam James T:Jacqueline Coward	134	h	302505	59	74	44	11d	—	—	-2	6	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Still has a bit to prove on turf and this drop to 5f is another question mark
2 (9)	Sherdil Bay J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Paul Midgley	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Paul Midgley	140	—	25-595	65	75	44	31d	—	—	0	5.1	3.75/1	16 6%
On a workable mark but seems ideally suited by Beverley (both wins there)
7 (8)	Dream Deal Bay J:Jack Garritty T:Danny Brooke	J:Jack Garritty T:Danny Brooke	130	tp	324-48	55	68	30	24d	—	—	-3	2.9	3.75/1	16 6%
Maiden; needs to step up on 2023 efforts; tongue-tie/cheekpieces enlisted
10 (3)	Next Second Bay J:Luke Morris T:Ruth Carr	J:Luke Morris T:Ruth Carr	121	—	-08639	46	70	44	18d	—	—	0	3	6.00/1	25 4%
0-14 on turf and looks far from solid on recent evidence
9 (6)	Dunnington Lad Chestnut J:Tom Eaves T:Peter Winks	J:Tom Eaves T:Peter Winks	130	—	6-0548	60	73	61	15d	—	—	+1	3.2	8.00/1	33 3%
0-6 for current stable and latest effort was a step backwards
11 (2)	Zerbinetta Bay J:Duran Fentiman T:Ann Duffield	J:Duran Fentiman T:Ann Duffield	116	—	590-9	46	57	28	28d	—	—	-1	0.5	19.75/1	80 1%
Raced only four times so looks unexposed but her form is poor

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
J R Cavagin	10/3	10/3	3	10/3	10/3
Blazing Hot	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Emeralds Pride	5	5	9/2	9/2	5
Glendown	11/2	5	11/2	11/2	11/2
So Grateful	6	6	11/2	11/2	6
Mumcat	9	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Sherdil	16	16	14	16	16
Dream Deal	16	16	12	16	16
Next Second	25	25	25	25	25
Dunnington Lad	33	28	28	28	28
Zerbinetta	80	66	50	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

J R Cavagin

16.5

OR: 3.8 Form: 7 Odds: 5.7

10/3

2nd

Blazing Hot

10.3

OR: 3.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 4

9/2

3rd

So Grateful

7.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Emeralds Pride

6.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Glendown

6.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Mumcat

OR: 2.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.2

17/2

Sherdil

5.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Dunnington Lad

3.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Next Second

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.9

Dream Deal

2.9

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Zerbinetta

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
J R Cavagin	65	70	57
Blazing Hot	65	70	46
So Grateful	65	72	61
Sherdil	65	75	44
Emeralds Pride	61	72	56
Glendown	60	73	47
Dunnington Lad	60	73	61
Mumcat	59	74	44
Dream Deal	55	68	30
Next Second	46	70	44
Zerbinetta	46	57	28

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Blazing Hot	3d ago	Quick return
Glendown	9d ago	Quick return
Mumcat	11d ago	Quick return
J R Cavagin	13d ago	Quick return
Dunnington Lad	15d ago	Fit
Next Second	18d ago	Fit
Emeralds Pride	24d ago	Fit
Dream Deal	24d ago	Fit
Zerbinetta	28d ago	Fit
Sherdil	31d ago	Fit
So Grateful	39d ago	Fit