TPT Fire Handicap – Newbury

Newbury

20:25

TPT Fire Handicap

Date 2023-07-06

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,527

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (4)	Balgair Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:Tom Clover	J:NON-RUNNER T:Tom Clover	142	—	304-53	74	78	-	37d	—	—	-44	26	—	—
Ground softer than good would be a big worry; due to run at Epsom yesterday
8 (1)	Finest Leader Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Harry & Roger Charlton	J:Oisin Murphy T:Harry & Roger Charlton	131	p	45-061	73	80	71	30d	—	—	-15	15.1	0.44/1	7/4 36%
The trip looked a big help for 1m2f Wetherby win in first headgear; more to offer
9 (6)	Graham Bay J:Dane O'Neill T:Richard Hannon	J:Dane O'Neill T:Richard Hannon	128	—	9-3421	70	83	58	18d	—	—	-12	12.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Steady progress; could still have a good mark but going down in trip asks a question
6 (2)	Man Of Aan Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Harry Eustace	J:Hayley Turner T:Harry Eustace	133	—	623	75	80	61	36d	—	—	-1	18.5	0.50/1	3 33%
Needs improvement for handicap debut; sire provides encouragement for this longer trip
NR (5)	Trais Fluors b/br J:Rose Dawes(5) T:Jack Channon	J:Rose Dawes(5) T:Jack Channon	142	p	-93313	74	79	63	21d	—	—	+3	25.1	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Goodwood win (1m1f) on penultimate start; unraced over this far since May 2021
7 (3)	Pure Gold Bay J:Kevin Stott T:David Menuisier	J:Kevin Stott T:David Menuisier	131	h	195-09	73	76	33	41d	—	—	-2	8.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Major questions to answer after her two handicaps (1m2f/1m) this season; hood is enlisted
5 (7)	Dutch Kingdom Bay J:Jason Watson T:Darryll Holland	J:Jason Watson T:Darryll Holland	135	tv	-23105	77	78	49	18d	—	—	+8	16	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Needs to build on latest start and 1m2f is not sure to suit; switches blinkers to visor
4 (9)	Tribute Bay J:Ross Coakley T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Ross Coakley T:Simon & Ed Crisford	135	—	730	77	73	12	48d	—	—	+4	10.8	4.25/1	18 6%
Not a guaranteed stayer on pedigree now upped in trip but it is his handicap debut
3 (8)	Elshaameq Bay J:Dougie Costello T:Kevin Frost	J:Dougie Costello T:Kevin Frost	136	t	02-004	68	74	18	23d	—	—	+1	5.7	4.25/1	18 6%
His two races on AW were far better than the three on turf; no hood this time

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Balgair	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Finest Leader	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4
Graham	9/2	4	4	9/4	4
Man Of Aan	3	3	3	3	3
Trais Fluors	13/2	17/2	8	8	8
Pure Gold	7	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Dutch Kingdom	8	9	17/2	9	9
Tribute	18	16	10	16	16
Elshaameq	18	16	16	16	18

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Balgair

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 20

—

2nd

Trais Fluors

25.1

OR: 6 Form: 12.4 Odds: 6.7

17/2

3rd

Man Of Aan

18.5

OR: 6.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 5.7

Dutch Kingdom

OR: 6.8 Form: 6.9 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Finest Leader

15.1

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 9.4

7/4

Graham

12.3

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

9/2

Tribute

10.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.9

Pure Gold

8.6

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Elshaameq

5.7

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dutch Kingdom	77	78	49
Tribute	77	73	12
Man Of Aan	75	80	61
Balgair	74	78	—
Trais Fluors	74	79	63
Finest Leader	73	80	71
Pure Gold	73	76	33
Graham	70	83	58
Elshaameq	68	74	18

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Graham	18d ago	Fit
Dutch Kingdom	18d ago	Fit
Trais Fluors	21d ago	Fit
Elshaameq	23d ago	Fit
Finest Leader	30d ago	Fit
Man Of Aan	36d ago	Fit
Balgair	37d ago	Fit
Pure Gold	41d ago	Fit
Tribute	48d ago	Fresh