Davies Group Handicap – Sandown

Sandown

16:50

Davies Group Handicap

Date 2023-07-07

Distance 1m6f

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £7,731

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
13 (1)	Lionella Grey J:Hollie Doyle T:Alan King	J:Hollie Doyle T:Alan King	118	—	46-231	68	79	62	21d	—	—	-9	9.9	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Asserted late on in five-runner handicap over C&D (good) three weeks ago; 5lb higher
11 (4)	Miss Cynthia Bay J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	121	—	830-42	71	91	78	7d	—	—	-6	9.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Much improved upped to 1m6f when second of five at Yarmouth last Friday; due to go up 3lb
10 (9)	Seahouses Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	128	—	863	78	87	66	14d	—	—	-2	15	0.75/1	4 25%
Close third of six in Goodwood maiden (1m6f, good) two weeks ago; may have got in lightly
9 (5)	Liable Bay J:Ryan Moore T:Sir Michael Stoute	J:Ryan Moore T:Sir Michael Stoute	129	—	632	79	80	56	24d	—	—	+4	18.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
It is easy to envisage him staying this trip; one to note on handicap debut
NR (11)	Motazzen Bay J:TBC T:George Baker	J: T:George Baker	142	tv	20-352	78	83	72	30d	—	—	+2	8.7	3.25/1	14 7%
Rather in and out but placed at 1m6f/2m in two of three starts; different headgear today
4 (3)	Percy Jones Bay J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Mark Loughnane	J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Mark Loughnane	140	—	21-652	76	82	62	20d	—	—	+2	8.2	2.50/1	11 9%
Running respectably in handicaps (2m latest) but others persuade more for win purposes
2 (6)	Hes A Latchico Bay J:Tom Queally T:Gary Moore	J:Tom Queally T:Gary Moore	142	—	41119-	78	80	29	—	—	—	+18	23.6	2.75/1	12 8%
Needs a Flat career best but did well on AW early last year and won last two over hurdles
5 (8)	Haarar Bay J:James Doyle T:Michael Bell	J:James Doyle T:Michael Bell	138	v	62-733	74	86	33	36d	—	—	+1	7.9	2.50/1	11 9%
Two wins last year and usually runs respectably; probably stays 1m6f
NR (7)	Star Caliber Bay J:TBC T:Amanda Perrett	J: T:Amanda Perrett	141	h	-00737	77	80	71	14d	—	—	-1	12.8	4.75/1	20 5%
Sole win was debut; hasn't beaten many since returning for this yard in April
7 (12)	Further Measure Bay J:Liam Keniry T:Sylvester Kirk	J:Liam Keniry T:Sylvester Kirk	135	p	573311	71	82	64	18d	—	—	+21	26	4.25/1	18 6%
Had 1m4f and 1m6f wins on AW on last two starts; could have more to offer at this trip
12 (13)	Balboa Bay J:David Egan T:Jamie Osborne	J:David Egan T:Jamie Osborne	120	—	5-446	70	80	-	116d	—	—	+2	6.2	4.25/1	18 6%
Last of six on handicap debut in March last time; now upped in trip and makes turf debut
6 (10)	Sea Appeal Bay J:George Rooke T:Richard Hughes	J:George Rooke T:Richard Hughes	136	—	68-006	72	86	55	20d	—	—	+3	6.5	6.00/1	25 4%
Soundly beaten this term over 1m2f, 1m4f and 1m6f; down the weights
8 (2)	Militry Decoration Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Camilla Poulton	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Camilla Poulton	135	t	31-683	71	82	76	28d	—	—	+3	6	8.00/1	33 3%
Had wind surgery before latest start, when running respectably; a case can be made

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Lionella	7/2	10/3	10/3	7/2	7/2
Miss Cynthia	9/2	4	9/2	9/2	9/2
Seahouses	4	4	4	4	4
Liable	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Motazzen	12	14	12	12	12
Percy Jones	11	11	11	11	11
Hes A Latchico	12	12	12	12	12
Haarar	11	11	10	11	10
Star Caliber	20	18	16	18	18
Further Measure	18	16	16	16	16
Balboa	18	18	18	18	18
Sea Appeal	25	25	25	25	25
Militry Decoration	33	28	25	28	25

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Further Measure

OR: 5.3 Form: 19.4 Odds: 1.4

2nd

Hes A Latchico

23.6

OR: 7 Form: 15 Odds: 1.6

3rd

Liable

18.4

OR: 7.3 Form: 7.1 Odds: 4

9/2

Seahouses

OR: 7 Form: 3 Odds: 5

Star Caliber

12.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.9

Lionella

9.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4

7/2

Miss Cynthia

9.7

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Motazzen

8.7

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Percy Jones

8.2

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Haarar

7.9

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Sea Appeal

6.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Balboa

6.2

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Militry Decoration

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Liable	79	80	56
Seahouses	78	87	66
Motazzen	78	83	72
Hes A Latchico	78	80	29
Star Caliber	77	80	71
Percy Jones	76	82	62
Haarar	74	86	33
Sea Appeal	72	86	55
Miss Cynthia	71	91	78
Further Measure	71	82	64
Militry Decoration	71	82	76
Balboa	70	80	—
Lionella	68	79	62

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Miss Cynthia	7d ago	Quick return
Seahouses	14d ago	Fit
Star Caliber	14d ago	Fit
Further Measure	18d ago	Fit
Percy Jones	20d ago	Fit
Sea Appeal	20d ago	Fit
Lionella	21d ago	Fit
Liable	24d ago	Fit
Militry Decoration	28d ago	Fit
Motazzen	30d ago	Fit
Haarar	36d ago	Fit
Balboa	116d ago	Long break
Hes A Latchico	—	—