Lake District Calvert Trust Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)

Carlisle

19:22

Date 2023-07-08

Distance 1m3f39y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,320

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (9)	Let Life Happen Bay J:Ben Curtis T:Sir Michael Stoute	J:Ben Curtis T:Sir Michael Stoute	128	—	2	-	80	-	24d	—	—	-32	25	0.20/1	4/5 56%
Lots to like about debut 2nd at Kempton last month (1m3f); open to considerable progress
3 (5)	Fifth Harmonic b/br J:P J McDonald T:James Horton	J:P J McDonald T:James Horton	128	—	4	-	77	67	24d	—	—	-19	8.4	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Promise in a good Haydock novice last month; open to plenty of improvement; contender
7 (8)	Run Simba Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:K R Burke	J:Callum Rodriguez T:K R Burke	128	—	47-	-	72	44	283d	—	—	-10	4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Promise in two 2yo runs but stamina for this trip not assured on breeding
9 (1)	Wilding Bay J:Shane Gray T:K R Burke	J:Shane Gray T:K R Burke	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	6.00/1	25 4%
Half-sister to two winners but she has a useful standard to aim at on debut
6 (6)	Night Life Bay J:Jack Garritty T:Mark Walford	J:Jack Garritty T:Mark Walford	128	—	5256-4	69	74	58	29d	—	—	+2	6	5.25/1	22 5%
Bred to stay this far but even her peak efforts need bettering
4 (7)	Lady Bracken Chestnut J:Andrew Mullen T:Charlie Johnston	J:Andrew Mullen T:Charlie Johnston	128	—	7	-	42	-	24d	—	—	-2	0.6	9.75/1	40 3%
Well beaten over 1m3f on last month's Kempton debut; bred to do better at some stage
2 (4)	Riccirella Grey Roan J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	139	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.7	16.25/1	66 2%
Promise amidst inexperience in bumpers; should have future on the Flat but others stronger
8 (3)	Spiced Rum Bay J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Rebecca Menzies	128	—	05	-	56	-	17d	—	—	-1	0.5	19.75/1	80 1%
Modest form in two AW novices last month (1m2f); plenty of improvement needed
1 (2)	Alanine Grey Roan J:Sean Kirrane(3) T:John Davies	J:Sean Kirrane(3) T:John Davies	139	—	70	-	54	-	17d	—	—	-1	0.2	124.75/1	500 0%
No impact in two point bumpers and two Flat runs this summer; can't be recommended

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Let Life Happen	4/5	8/13	8/15	4/6	8/11
Fifth Harmonic	15/8	9/4	9/4	9/4	2
Run Simba	6	5	17/2	7	13/2
Wilding	20	22	25	22	22
Night Life	20	18	22	20	22
Lady Bracken	40	33	40	40	40
Riccirella	66	40	28	40	40
Spiced Rum	66	50	80	66	40
Alanine	500	150	150	200	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Let Life Happen

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 20

4/5

2nd

Fifth Harmonic

8.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

9/4

3rd

Night Life

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Run Simba

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

17/2

Wilding

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Riccirella

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Lady Bracken

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Spiced Rum

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Alanine

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

500

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Night Life	69	74	58
Let Life Happen	—	80	—
Fifth Harmonic	—	77	67
Run Simba	—	72	44
Wilding	—	—	—
Lady Bracken	—	42	—
Riccirella	—	—	—
Spiced Rum	—	56	—
Alanine	—	54	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Spiced Rum	17d ago	Fit
Alanine	17d ago	Fit
Let Life Happen	24d ago	Fit
Fifth Harmonic	24d ago	Fit
Lady Bracken	24d ago	Fit
Night Life	29d ago	Fit
Run Simba	283d ago	Long break
Wilding	—	—
Riccirella	—	—