Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (Div II) – Bellewstown

Bellewstown

19:30

Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (Div II)

Date 2023-07-08

Distance 2m4f

Class

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €7,080

Runners (18)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	Top Line Tommy Bay J:Mike O'Connor T:E J Ogrady	J:Mike O'Connor T:E J Ogrady	168	—	F47-12	102	102	-	29d	—	—	+2	17.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Rallying 2nd in 2m (too short) chase last time and he's rated lower over hurdles
9	Roi De Dubai Bay J:Ben Harvey T:John C Mcconnell	J:Ben Harvey T:John C Mcconnell	163	—	0F00-0	97	109	71	50d	—	—	-2	17.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Mark continues to fall but for good reason on the evidence of his recent efforts
6	Inforapenny Bay J:Mark McDonagh(2) T:Mark Fahey	J:Mark McDonagh(2) T:Mark Fahey	163	—	420-35	97	109	94	17d	—	—	+3	15.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
6lb higher than when winning a division of this 12 months ago; 3rd two runs back
7	Joshua Chamberlain Bay J:Thomas Reilly(4) T:Gerard Keane	J:Thomas Reilly(4) T:Gerard Keane	163	—	880-83	97	109	87	21d	—	—	+6	14	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Got tired up the hill when third at Downpatrick (2m1f, yielding to soft), his best run yet
5	Queenie Newall Bay J:Kieren Buckley T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Kieren Buckley T:Gavin Cromwell	165	—	63/5-8	99	105	79	50d	—	—	+6	14.5	2.25/1	10 10%
Went close at Leopardstown last year off a similar mark and returned in decent form
4	Hidalgo Des Mottes Bay J:Michael O'Sullivan T:Eoin Griffin	J:Michael O'Sullivan T:Eoin Griffin	166	t	8U-323	100	107	81	17d	—	—	+4	15.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
No wins in ten and looks handicapped about right, but he's been knocking on the door
15	Serpolette Bay J:Cian Quirke(4) T:E D Delany	J:Cian Quirke(4) T:E D Delany	158	t	00-020	92	108	92	27d	—	—	+6	12.2	2.75/1	12 8%
Below par last time out and she's hard to win with at the best of times
NR	Spoiled Rotten Bay J:TBC T:Gordon Elliott	J: T:Gordon Elliott	168	—	01/90-	102	98	42	136d	—	—	+8	15.1	3.25/1	14 7%
Has been beaten a long way in his two starts since his comeback
8	Our Bobby Grey J:E Walsh T:John M Burke	J:E Walsh T:John M Burke	163	h	F47-73	97	111	83	46d	—	—	+5	14.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
He wasn't far away at Punchestown last time when tried in a hood
NR	Millies Dream Bay J:TBC T:Gavin Cromwell	J: T:Gavin Cromwell	155	—	00/9-9	89	92	-	43d	—	—	+2	12.9	6.00/1	25 4%
Beaten 19l on latest at Limerick but can improve and market strength would be telling
11	Cassarina Gold Bay J:James Smith(4) T:Matthew J Smith	J:James Smith(4) T:Matthew J Smith	161	t	197-96	95	101	33	25d	—	—	+7	13	2.50/1	11 9%
Beaten under 20l in her two handicaps (3m/2m4f) and needs to find something
NR	Shamad Bay J:TBC T:Nigel Thomas Slevin	J: T:Nigel Thomas Slevin	152	p	0FPP-P	86	100	83	—	—	—	+1	12.1	8.00/1	33 3%
Reserve; pulled up in three points before finishing well beaten on the Flat 3 weeks ago
NR	Baltinglass Hill Bay J:TBC T:P J Rothwell	J: T:P J Rothwell	161	p	5/0P0-	95	100	-	100d	—	—	+8	12.3	9.75/1	40 3%
Dual hurdle winner; missed all of 2022 and shown very little in three runs since
13	Make The Switch Bay J:James O'Sullivan T:G A Kingston	J:James O'Sullivan T:G A Kingston	161	tb	0/000-	95	98	34	—	—	—	+8	12.7	4.75/1	20 5%
Quiet on the level for this yard and best watched for now
NR	Ballycastle Girl Bay J:TBC T:Jennifer Monaghan	J: T:Jennifer Monaghan	158	—	/403P-	92	97	60	99d	—	—	+8	12.4	12.25/1	50 2%
Has been chasing and she's an 11yo mare who has only won twice
NR	Mosaaheb Chestnut J:TBC T:John Joseph Hanlon	J: T:John Joseph Hanlon	154	—	984-6P	88	102	-	39d	—	—	+2	12.6	9.75/1	40 3%
Decent run at Clonmel in May but made mistakes when pulled-up at Ballinrobe since
3	Virtual Hug Bay J:Liam McKenna(2) T:Conor Odwyer	J:Liam McKenna(2) T:Conor Odwyer	168	t	1/000-	102	96	73	—	—	—	+18	20.7	8.00/1	33 3%
Well held in three handicaps and it's been a similar tale on the Flat this summer
NR	Famous Agent Bay J:TBC T:Liz Doyle	J: T:Liz Doyle	161	—	7/50P-	95	97	68	191d	—	—	—	11.3	—	—
Poor in two maidens since finishing fifth at Sligo; handicap debutant

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Top Line Tommy	5	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Roi De Dubai	4	10/3	3	7/2	7/2
Inforapenny	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Joshua Chamberlain	9	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Queenie Newall	10	9	17/2	9	9
Hidalgo Des Mottes	7	13/2	6	6	6
Serpolette	11	12	12	12	12
Spoiled Rotten	12	10	10	9	14
Our Bobby	7	9	17/2	9	9
Millies Dream	20	25	25	25	25
Cassarina Gold	11	11	11	11	11
Shamad	SP	33	33	33	33
Baltinglass Hill	40	25	18	25	25
Make The Switch	20	20	16	20	20
Ballycastle Girl	50	33	28	33	33
Mosaaheb	SP	40	40	40	40
Virtual Hug	28	33	33	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Virtual Hug

20.7

OR: 13 Form: 7 Odds: 0.7

2nd

Roi De Dubai

17.5

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Top Line Tommy

17.4

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Hidalgo Des Mottes

15.8

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Inforapenny

15.4

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Spoiled Rotten

15.1

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Queenie Newall

14.5

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Our Bobby

14.4

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Joshua Chamberlain

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.3

17/2

Cassarina Gold

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Millies Dream

12.9

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

Make The Switch

12.7

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Mosaaheb

12.6

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

Ballycastle Girl

12.4

OR: 10.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.3

Baltinglass Hill

12.3

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Serpolette

12.2

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Shamad

12.1

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

Famous Agent

11.3

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Top Line Tommy	102	102	—
Spoiled Rotten	102	98	42
Virtual Hug	102	96	73
Hidalgo Des Mottes	100	107	81
Queenie Newall	99	105	79
Roi De Dubai	97	109	71
Inforapenny	97	109	94
Joshua Chamberlain	97	109	87
Our Bobby	97	111	83
Cassarina Gold	95	101	33
Baltinglass Hill	95	100	—
Make The Switch	95	98	34
Famous Agent	95	97	68
Serpolette	92	108	92
Ballycastle Girl	92	97	60
Millies Dream	89	92	—
Mosaaheb	88	102	—
Shamad	86	100	83

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Inforapenny	17d ago	Fit
Hidalgo Des Mottes	17d ago	Fit
Joshua Chamberlain	21d ago	Fit
Cassarina Gold	25d ago	Fit
Serpolette	27d ago	Fit
Top Line Tommy	29d ago	Fit
Mosaaheb	39d ago	Fit
Millies Dream	43d ago	Fit
Our Bobby	46d ago	Fresh
Roi De Dubai	50d ago	Fresh
Queenie Newall	50d ago	Fresh
Ballycastle Girl	99d ago	Long break
Baltinglass Hill	100d ago	Long break
Spoiled Rotten	136d ago	Long break
Famous Agent	191d ago	Long break
Shamad	—	—
Make The Switch	—	—
Virtual Hug	—	—