Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle – Roscommon

Roscommon

17:35

Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle

Date 2023-07-10

Distance 2m4f

Class

Going Good To Yielding

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize €7,080

Runners (19)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3	Onlyamatteroftime Bay J:Aidan Kelly(4) T:Niall Madden	J:Aidan Kelly(4) T:Niall Madden	166	—	58-1	-	121	71	30d	—	—	-19	24.2	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Promoted to first at Punchestown when posting useful RPR of 123
2	Minella Mate Bay J:Michael O'Sullivan T:John J Nallen	J:Michael O'Sullivan T:John J Nallen	166	—	5-231	-	-	-	21d	—	—	-25	11.8	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Made it fourth-time lucky in bumpers on good ground at Kilbeggan, justifying short odds
NR	Scott Lang Grey J:TBC T:Paul W Flynn	J: T:Paul W Flynn	166	—	3-3	-	102	68	—	—	—	-5	9.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
1m5f Flat winner; his two thirds over hurdles have been 13 months apart
NR	Scorsese Chestnut J:TBC T:C A Murphy	J: T:C A Murphy	158	—	51-	-	-	-	—	—	—	+1	13.5	2.50/1	11 9%
Reserve; showed some spirit to win a 3m point at Borris House
11	Skradin Bay J:Gavin Brouder(2) T:Conor Odwyer	J:Gavin Brouder(2) T:Conor Odwyer	158	—	652-4	104	120	93	60d	—	—	-1	19.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Has ability but official mark of 104 hints at limitations whilst kept to maiden company
1	Clifftop Bay J:Kieren Buckley T:H Rogers	J:Kieren Buckley T:H Rogers	166	t	24/40-	102	112	98	—	—	—	+10	14.2	6.00/1	25 4%
Three-time Flat winner but well beaten at Navan (1m2f) last month and 0-9 as a hurdler
6	Broken Bond Chestnut J:Liam McKenna(2) T:Conor Odwyer	J:Liam McKenna(2) T:Conor Odwyer	158	—	F/00P-	104	112	58	121d	—	—	+11	14.4	8.00/1	33 3%
Hasn't progressed from a promising start, showing zilch in handicaps the last twice
5	Hazelhatch Lady Grey J:Mark McDonagh(2) T:James Andrew Fahey	J:Mark McDonagh(2) T:James Andrew Fahey	159	—	8/1P-P	-	-	-	19d	—	—	-3	1.2	8.00/1	33 3%
Her surprise win in a Wexford bumper (2m4f, soft) is very much a standout
8	Maple Meadow Bay J:Sarah Kavanagh(4) T:C A Murphy	J:Sarah Kavanagh(4) T:C A Murphy	158	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.1	8.00/1	33 3%
9,000euros foal; fourth foal; dam 2m-2m4f hurdle/chase winner
10	Pickanumber Bay J:E Walsh T:Peter Croke	J:E Walsh T:Peter Croke	158	—	50904-	-	22	-	81d	—	—	-2	0.7	9.75/1	40 3%
Just about his best run yet when a 20l fourth of 12 in a bumper at Kilbeggan in April
15	Late Vocation Bay J:Philip Donovan(2) T:P F Mcenery	J:Philip Donovan(2) T:P F Mcenery	151	—	8	-	107	100	29d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.25/1	66 2%
Finished midfield in a 2m maiden at Punchestown when 150-1
R18	Royal Class Bay J:Ben Harvey T:Joseph Anthony Murray	J:Ben Harvey T:Joseph Anthony Murray	158	—	F-7	-	88	35	38d	—	—	-2	0.8	16.25/1	66 2%
Reserve; beaten when falling in his point and didn't show enough at Down Royal.
NR	Georgiabell Bay J:TBC T:Liam P Cusack	J: T:Liam P Cusack	151	—	P-0	-	88	76	29d	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Reserve; pulled up in her first maiden hurdle and tailed off in the second; 150-1 for both
12	The Bridge House Bay J:Shane Fenelon(4) T:John Joseph Hanlon	J:Shane Fenelon(4) T:John Joseph Hanlon	158	—	77-66	-	104	68	29d	—	—	-1	0.4	16.25/1	66 2%
No more than minor promise thus far and handicaps are going to be more like it
7	He Might Be Lucky Brown J:Mike O'Connor T:L Young	J:Mike O'Connor T:L Young	158	—	6	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	16.25/1	66 2%
Beaten 24l in his only point and can only be watched on rules debut
9	Onehellofagetaway Bay J:Conor Owens(4) T:P J Rothwell	J:Conor Owens(4) T:P J Rothwell	158	—	0/0-	-	-	-	151d	—	—	-1	0.5	31.00/1	125 1%
Showed more in his second bumper when beaten 13l at Thurles
13	Wee Monarch Bay J:Cian Quirke(4) T:P F Mcenery	J:Cian Quirke(4) T:P F Mcenery	158	—	770-	-	-	-	262d	—	—	-1	0.4	16.25/1	66 2%
Ran quite well in a 2m4f good-ground bumper at Limerick; soft an excuse last time
16	Yara Greyjoy Bay J:P J O'Hanlon T:P J Rothwell	J:P J O'Hanlon T:P J Rothwell	151	—	6465-P	-	-	-	60d	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Showed a little when fifth of nine in a bumper but then pulled up in a maiden at Clonmel
14	Charlie Bawnie Bay J:Richard Condon(2) T:T G Mccourt	J:Richard Condon(2) T:T G Mccourt	151	—	00-	-	18	-	177d	—	—	-1	0.3	49.75/1	200 1%
Tailed off in two maidens, though they were on very different ground at top tracks

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Onlyamatteroftime	15/8	6/5	11/10	11/8	6/4
Minella Mate	6/4	6/4	6/4	6/4	11/8
Scott Lang	6	11/2	11/2	11/2	SP
Scorsese	11	9	10	10	10
Skradin	4	4	7/2	7/2	4
Clifftop	25	16	16	16	20
Broken Bond	33	33	33	28	33
Hazelhatch Lady	33	25	22	16	25
Maple Meadow	33	20	22	20	20
Pickanumber	28	40	33	33	33
Late Vocation	66	50	50	50	50
Royal Class	25	66	40	40	40
Georgiabell	100	66	66	66	66
The Bridge House	66	66	66	66	66
He Might Be Lucky	50	66	50	66	66
Onehellofagetaway	40	125	100	100	100
Wee Monarch	66	66	66	66	66
Yara Greyjoy	66	100	80	80	100
Charlie Bawnie	200	125	125	125	125

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Onlyamatteroftime

24.2

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 14.2

15/8

2nd

Skradin

19.7

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

7/2

3rd

Broken Bond

14.4

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Clifftop

14.2

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Scorsese

13.5

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 3.5

Minella Mate

11.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 11.8

6/4

Scott Lang

9.1

OR: 0 Form: 5.1 Odds: 4

11/2

Hazelhatch Lady

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Maple Meadow

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Royal Class

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Pickanumber

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Late Vocation

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

He Might Be Lucky

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Onehellofagetaway

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

125

Georgiabell

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

The Bridge House

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Wee Monarch

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Yara Greyjoy

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Charlie Bawnie

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

200

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Skradin	104	120	93
Broken Bond	104	112	58
Clifftop	102	112	98
Onlyamatteroftime	—	121	71
Minella Mate	—	—	—
Scott Lang	—	102	68
Scorsese	—	—	—
Hazelhatch Lady	—	—	—
Maple Meadow	—	—	—
Pickanumber	—	22	—
Late Vocation	—	107	100
Royal Class	—	88	35
Georgiabell	—	88	76
The Bridge House	—	104	68
He Might Be Lucky	—	—	—
Onehellofagetaway	—	—	—
Wee Monarch	—	—	—
Yara Greyjoy	—	—	—
Charlie Bawnie	—	18	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Hazelhatch Lady	19d ago	Fit
Minella Mate	21d ago	Fit
Late Vocation	29d ago	Fit
Georgiabell	29d ago	Fit
The Bridge House	29d ago	Fit
Onlyamatteroftime	30d ago	Fit
Royal Class	38d ago	Fit
Skradin	60d ago	Fresh
Yara Greyjoy	60d ago	Fresh
Pickanumber	81d ago	Fresh
Broken Bond	121d ago	Long break
Onehellofagetaway	151d ago	Long break
Charlie Bawnie	177d ago	Long break
Wee Monarch	262d ago	Long break
Scott Lang	—	—
Scorsese	—	—
Clifftop	—	—
Maple Meadow	—	—
He Might Be Lucky	—	—