Mark Johnston 1987 Hinari Video Handicap – Carlisle

Carlisle

14:50

Mark Johnston 1987 Hinari Video Handicap

Date 2023-07-13

Distance 5f182y

Class Class 6

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,402

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
13 (4)	Yorkstone Bay J:Shane Gray T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Shane Gray T:Michael & David Easterby	128	—	-65352	57	75	45	19d	—	—	-6	14	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Yet to win and sometimes starts slowly but has shown enough to suggest he can win races
5 (13)	Atomise Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	140	—	47-573	63	73	61	10d	—	—	-9	8.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Yet to win a handicap but ran well last time; claims if widest draw isn't a hindrance
7 (9)	Glorious Rio Bay J:Oliver Stammers T:Stella Barclay	J:Oliver Stammers T:Stella Barclay	140	b	946636	63	71	57	7d	—	—	-6	9.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Not won since August but, although running respectably, he looks better over a bare 5f
3 (1)	Elladora Bay J:Phil Dennis T:Katie Scott	J:Phil Dennis T:Katie Scott	141	b	106124	64	71	61	29d	—	—	+3	15.6	1.00/1	5 20%
Mainly consistent sort who has been in good form this year; should continue to run well
NR (2)	Dream Deal Bay J:David Allan T:Danny Brooke	J:David Allan T:Danny Brooke	132	tp	24-482	55	73	42	10d	—	—	-17	9.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Returned to form to chase home one who was on the quickest part of the track last time
9 (8)	Havana Rum Bay J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	136	p	01-752	65	69	53	22d	—	—	-4	6.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Back to form at Hamilton last time; that form looks shaky but he may be capable of better
4 (12)	Impeller Bay J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	140	t	0-9682	63	74	64	10d	—	—	-1	5	2.75/1	12 8%
Had things in his favour when returning to form last time; not certain to back that up
NR (11)	Stella Blue Bay J:Ben Curtis T:Kevin Ryan	J:Ben Curtis T:Kevin Ryan	131	p	6-4927	60	69	41	20d	—	—	-7	6.1	2.75/1	12 8%
Best effort in blinkers on penultimate run but below that on turf last time; may do better
6 (3)	Run This Way Bay J:James Sullivan T:Paul Midgley	J:James Sullivan T:Paul Midgley	140	p	9-7670	63	67	48	13d	—	—	-1	5	2.75/1	12 8%
Not won since reappearance last year but on a good mark if cheekpieces make a difference
2 (5)	Sherdil Bay J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Paul Midgley	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Paul Midgley	142	—	5-5956	65	71	42	10d	—	—	0	5.1	4.25/1	18 6%
Dual winner at Beverley last summer; patchy form since, though, and needs to raise game
NR (10)	Huraiz Chestnut J:Clifford Lee T:Ewan Whillans	J:Clifford Lee T:Ewan Whillans	134	t	7930-4	57	69	42	35d	—	—	-2	3.1	5.25/1	22 5%
Smart at best but not won since 2019; respectable reappearance but remains risky
1 (6)	Redrosezorro Bay J:Paddy Mathers T:Christopher Kellett	J:Paddy Mathers T:Christopher Kellett	142	h	01-091	65	71	44	59d	—	—	+1	5	4.25/1	18 6%
Back to winning ways at Catterick in May; only 2lb higher and has won here; interesting
8 (7)	White Umbrella Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Christopher Kellett	J:Andrew Mullen T:Christopher Kellett	137	p	4-8896	60	67	35	20d	—	—	-1	3.7	5.25/1	22 5%
Yet to win a handicap and hasn't done enough of late to make her of interest

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Yorkstone	3	7/2	10/3	10/3	7/2
Atomise	4	4	7/2	7/2	7/2
Glorious Rio	11/2	11/2	4	9/2	5
Elladora	5	5	5	5	5
Dream Deal	11/2	6	11/2	6	SP
Havana Rum	15/2	7	7	7	8
Impeller	12	12	12	12	12
Stella Blue	12	12	11	11	11
Run This Way	12	12	11	12	12
Sherdil	18	18	16	18	18
Huraiz	22	18	14	18	18
Redrosezorro	18	18	16	18	18
White Umbrella	22	20	18	20	20

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Elladora

15.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 3.6

2nd

Yorkstone

OR: 1.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Glorious Rio

9.8

OR: 3.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Dream Deal

9.1

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 7.8

11/2

Atomise

8.5

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Havana Rum

6.6

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Stella Blue

6.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

Sherdil

5.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Impeller

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Run This Way

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Redrosezorro

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

White Umbrella

3.7

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Huraiz

3.1

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Havana Rum	65	69	53
Sherdil	65	71	42
Redrosezorro	65	71	44
Elladora	64	71	61
Atomise	63	73	61
Glorious Rio	63	71	57
Impeller	63	74	64
Run This Way	63	67	48
Stella Blue	60	69	41
White Umbrella	60	67	35
Yorkstone	57	75	45
Huraiz	57	69	42
Dream Deal	55	73	42

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Glorious Rio	7d ago	Quick return
Atomise	10d ago	Quick return
Dream Deal	10d ago	Quick return
Impeller	10d ago	Quick return
Sherdil	10d ago	Quick return
Run This Way	13d ago	Quick return
Yorkstone	19d ago	Fit
Stella Blue	20d ago	Fit
White Umbrella	20d ago	Fit
Havana Rum	22d ago	Fit
Elladora	29d ago	Fit
Huraiz	35d ago	Fit
Redrosezorro	59d ago	Fresh