Expleo Handicap – Chester · The Final Fence

Chester

19:30

Expleo Handicap

Date 2023-07-14

Distance 1m3f75y

Class Class 3

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £15,288

Winning Time 2m 38.46s (slow by 15.46s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Dream Harder (IRE) Sean D Bowen · Ian Williams	11/2	Won
2nd	Box To Box (IRE) Pierre-Louis Jamin · Hugo Palmer	4/1	2.5
3rd	Mr Curiosity (GB) Duran Fentiman · Tim Easterby	18/1	.75
4th	Cormier (IRE) Ben Robinson · Brian Ellison	11/2	2
5th	Dark Pine (IRE) Laura Pearson · David Loughnane	11/1	3
6th	Baryshnikov (GB) Billy Garritty · David & Nicola Barron	3/1F	1.25
7th	Sonnerie Power (FR) Jack Mitchell · Roger Varian	9/2	4
8th	Demilion (IRE) Franny Norton · Charlie Johnston	9/1	0.2

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (2)	Box To Box Bay J:Pierre-Louis Jamin(3) T:Hugo Palmer	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin(3) T:Hugo Palmer	139	—	47-061	88	97	77	27d	—	—	-4	15.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
3-4 around here including this race last year; would probably prefer conditions to dry out
2 (8)	Baryshnikov Chestnut J:Billy Garritty T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Billy Garritty T:David & Nicola Barron	141	—	363234	90	98	80	4d	—	—	+2	21.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Record here reads 11416; could make his presence felt if his stamina holds out
6 (1)	Sonnerie Power Chestnut J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	135	h	14-344	84	96	31	22d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-4	13.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Has run with credit in all four starts since winning at Lingfield; frame material; hood on
5 (9)	Dream Harder Bay J:Sean D Bowen(7) T:Ian Williams	J:Sean D Bowen(7) T:Ian Williams	136	—	453426	85	98	86	16d	—	—	+3	17.2	1.38/1	11/2 15%
4-16 on AW and 0-7 on turf; only sixth when favourite last time; needs to bounce back
NR (7)	Ferrari Queen Grey J:Andrew Mullen T:Charlie Johnston	J:Andrew Mullen T:Charlie Johnston	135	—	258-30	95	90	35	22d	—	—	+4	14	2.25/1	10 10%
Twice placed at Listed level; this still looks competitive enough on handicap debut
9 (10)	Demilion Grey J:Franny Norton T:Charlie Johnston	J:Franny Norton T:Charlie Johnston	121	—	124200	81	95	59	19d	—	—	+5	13.6	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Should be suited by the return to likely soft ground but isn't the only possible pacemaker
NR (6)	Sovereign Spirit Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Andrew Balding	J:Hayley Turner T:Andrew Balding	121	—	311814	81	94	82	21d	—	—	+14	21.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Three wins this year, but poor in both starts on soft ground; needs condtions to dry out
7 (4)	Cormier Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	135	—	/1980-	84	100	69	—	—	—	+5	13.9	2.25/1	10 10%
Course winner who returns from 132 days off after wind surgery; best watched for now
1 (3)	Dark Pine Bay J:Laura Pearson(3) T:David Loughnane	J:Laura Pearson(3) T:David Loughnane	142	b	4-7026	91	97	53	34d	—	—	+4	12.8	2.25/1	10 10%
Record here reads 12; best on soft ground; has stamina to prove but still respected
3 (5)	Mr Curiosity Bay J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	140	—	4/88-5	89	92	69	13d	—	—	+6	11.1	4.75/1	20 5%
Only seen three times since the end of 2021; has something to prove

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Box To Box	3	7/2	10/3	10/3	7/2
Baryshnikov	10/3	3/1	10/3	3	7/2
Sonnerie Power	9/2	9/2	7/2	7/2	4
Dream Harder	6	11/2	9/2	5	5
Ferrari Queen	10	10	9	10	10
Demilion	8	17/2	8	8	17/2
Sovereign Spirit	11	12	9	11	11
Cormier	10	9	8	8	9
Dark Pine	10	9	15/2	8	9
Mr Curiosity	14	20	16	18	20

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sovereign Spirit

21.9

OR: 7.8 Form: 12 Odds: 2.1

2nd

Baryshnikov

21.2

OR: 10 Form: 5.5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Dream Harder

17.2

OR: 8.8 Form: 4.4 Odds: 4

11/2

Box To Box

15.2

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Ferrari Queen

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.8

Cormier

13.9

OR: 8.5 Form: 3 Odds: 2.4

Demilion

13.6

OR: 7.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Sonnerie Power

13.5

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Dark Pine

12.8

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

Mr Curiosity

11.1

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ferrari Queen	95	90	35
Dark Pine	91	97	53
Baryshnikov	90	98	80
Mr Curiosity	89	92	69
Box To Box	88	97	77
Dream Harder	85	98	86
Sonnerie Power	84	96	31
Cormier	84	100	69
Demilion	81	95	59
Sovereign Spirit	81	94	82

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Baryshnikov	4d ago	Quick return
Mr Curiosity	13d ago	Quick return
Dream Harder	16d ago	Fit
Demilion	19d ago	Fit
Sovereign Spirit	21d ago	Fit
Sonnerie Power	22d ago	Fit
Ferrari Queen	22d ago	Fit
Box To Box	27d ago	Fit
Dark Pine	34d ago	Fit
Cormier	—	—

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Box To Box	Front Runner
Demilion	Front Runner

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 10 runners classified.