Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Handicap – York

York

16:55

Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Handicap

Date 2023-07-14

Distance 5f

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £10,468

Runners (22)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (8)	Princess Karine Bay J:Mark Winn(3) T:Bryan Smart	J:Mark Winn(3) T:Bryan Smart	134	—	332214	78	91	82	7d	—	—	+8	23	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Speedy filly but held off this mark at Beverley last week; career best required
14 (2)	Mattice Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	133	p	-66944	77	90	69	13d	—	—	-3	10.8	1.00/1	5 20%
Lurks on a dangerous mark and has C&D form; not discounted
NR (13)	Sampers Seven Bay J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	136	hb	2-7303	80	96	67	16d	—	—	+5	13.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
C&D winner; has lots of speed but has been fluffing the start; aids tried today
NR (3)	Nelson Gay Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	135	p	-46831	79	91	75	14d	—	—	+14	21.3	2.50/1	11 9%
Off the mark for new yard with game AW win two weeks ago; still has handicapping scope
13 (9)	Le Beau Garcon Bay J:Shane Gray T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Shane Gray T:Michael & David Easterby	133	—	08-033	77	91	70	33d	—	—	+1	9.1	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Valid excuses the last twice and he's on a good mark; needs taking seriously
7 (4)	Copper Knight Bay J:Sean Kirrane(3) T:Tim Easterby	J:Sean Kirrane(3) T:Tim Easterby	136	tp	469087	80	90	82	9d	—	—	+2	9.6	2.75/1	12 8%
Multiple course winner who lurks on a dangerous mark; revival quite possible
2 (18)	Elegant Erin Bay J:James Sullivan T:Paul Midgley	J:James Sullivan T:Paul Midgley	139	—	5331-9	83	94	73	14d	—	—	+4	10	3.25/1	14 7%
Four wins last year and made a most encouraging return at Newcastle; sharp track a query
4 (15)	Papa Dont Preach Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Kevin Frost	J:Rossa Ryan T:Kevin Frost	137	—	106257	81	92	77	41d	—	—	+6	12	3.25/1	14 7%
Always prominent when winning on AW in Jan; recent turf efforts fine but others stronger
22 (6)	Mereside Angel Grey J:Callum Rodriguez T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Callum Rodriguez T:David & Nicola Barron	128	—	323152	72	95	82	11d	—	—	+12	19.3	2.75/1	12 8%
Unlucky not to add to his tally at Musselburgh last time but this is a deeper race
11 (5)	Dandy Dinmont Bay J:Alex Jary(7) T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Alex Jary(7) T:Nigel Tinkler	134	—	234252	78	91	77	14d	—	—	+10	17	2.75/1	12 8%
String of good runs in defeat this year but the handicapper may have his measure for now
1 (20)	Ventura Express Chestnut J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	J:David Nolan T:Paul Midgley	140	—	-48127	84	93	72	27d	—	0W/1P 1 run	+13	18.6	3.25/1	14 7%
Well suited by 5f at a stiff track; concern that he'll get going too late at this course
3 (21)	Khabib b/br J:Paul Mulrennan T:Ray Craggs	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Ray Craggs	138	p	2-8535	82	94	74	9d	—	—	+7	13.1	4.25/1	18 6%
Eyecatching effort at Musselburgh latest; encouraging jockey booking; chance if draw is OK
10 (17)	Spring Is Sprung Bay J:Graham Lee T:Paul Midgley	J:Graham Lee T:Paul Midgley	134	—	40-444	78	92	74	21d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+3	8.6	3.25/1	14 7%
Promise for new yard, including C&D, and on a good mark if reproducing this year's best
NR (16)	So Smart Bay J:Ben Curtis T:David Evans	J:Ben Curtis T:David Evans	132	—	243626	76	94	87	2d	—	—	+7	12.3	4.75/1	20 5%
Poor strike-rate and below par on Wednesday but the type to bounce back quickly
18 (14)	Lullaby Bay Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	132	—	24-009	76	95	41	55d	—	—	+3	7.9	3.75/1	16 6%
Not fired for new yard yet but last time wasn't too bad and she's down in the weights
5 (1)	Glory Fighter Bay J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Paul Midgley	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Paul Midgley	136	p	6-3313	80	91	69	9d	—	—	+5	8.6	4.75/1	20 5%
Two good runs since cheekpieces went on; has the pace to go well at this track
NR (11)	Eeh Bah Gum Bay J:Laura Coughlan(5) T:Ivan Furtado	J:Laura Coughlan(5) T:Ivan Furtado	132	—	115-91	76	90	76	13d	—	—	+4	7.4	6.75/1	28 4%
Made winning stable debut at Lingfield 13 days ago; this looks much tougher
16 (12)	Mersea Bay J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	132	—	31193-	81	86	81	371d	—	—	+17	20.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
C&D winner as 2yo; absent for over a year and this looks a tough return
19 (22)	Dickieburd Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Craig Lidster	J:Clifford Lee T:Craig Lidster	129	p	8-6636	78	91	82	21d	—	—	+5	7.8	6.75/1	28 4%
Chance on his Epsom third but failed to fire at Musselburgh latest; headgear now tried
20 (10)	Good Luck Fox Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Paul Midgley	J:Cam Hardie T:Paul Midgley	128	—	0-0255	72	92	67	8d	—	—	+3	6.3	8.00/1	33 3%
Three sound efforts this summer but doubt he's far enough ahead of the handicapper to win
12 (19)	Havagomecca Chestnut J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	133	p	-01485	77	93	65	20d	—	—	+7	10.6	6.75/1	28 4%
On a fair mark on best form but often pulls hard and others appeal more
21 (7)	Texas Man Chestnut J:William Pyle(7) T:Craig Lidster	J:William Pyle(7) T:Craig Lidster	128	—	0-7065	72	88	44	11d	—	—	+4	6	16.25/1	66 2%
Low-key stable debut 11 days ago and will be 3lb lower from the weekend

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Princess Karine	9/2	4	4	4	4
Mattice	5	5	5	5	5
Sampers Seven	8	9	9	8	17/2
Nelson Gay	10	11	11	10	11
Le Beau Garcon	9	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Copper Knight	11	11	12	12	12
Elegant Erin	14	14	14	14	14
Papa Dont Preach	14	14	12	14	14
Mereside Angel	12	11	12	12	11
Dandy Dinmont	12	12	11	12	12
Ventura Express	14	12	14	14	14
Khabib	18	18	18	18	18
Spring Is Sprung	14	14	14	14	12
So Smart	20	16	16	16	16
Lullaby Bay	16	14	16	16	16
Glory Fighter	18	20	20	20	18
Eeh Bah Gum	25	25	22	28	SP
Mersea	25	22	25/1	25/1	22
Dickieburd	28	28	28	28	28
Good Luck Fox	33	28	25	28	28
Havagomecca	28	25	22	25	25
Texas Man	66	50	50	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Princess Karine

OR: 7 Form: 11.6 Odds: 4.4

9/2

2nd

Nelson Gay

21.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 12.1 Odds: 1.9

3rd

Mersea

20.2

OR: 7.8 Form: 11.6 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Mereside Angel

19.3

OR: 5.5 Form: 11.9 Odds: 1.9

Ventura Express

18.6

OR: 8.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.6

Dandy Dinmont

OR: 7 Form: 8.1 Odds: 1.9

Sampers Seven

13.4

OR: 7.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Khabib

13.1

OR: 8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.6

So Smart

12.3

OR: 6.5 Form: 4.4 Odds: 1.4

Papa Dont Preach

OR: 7.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.7

Mattice

10.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

Havagomecca

10.6

OR: 6.8 Form: 3 Odds: 0.9

Elegant Erin

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Copper Knight

9.6

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Le Beau Garcon

9.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Spring Is Sprung

8.6

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Glory Fighter

8.6

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Lullaby Bay

7.9

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Dickieburd

7.8

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Eeh Bah Gum

7.4

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Good Luck Fox

6.3

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Texas Man

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ventura Express	84	93	72
Elegant Erin	83	94	73
Khabib	82	94	74
Papa Dont Preach	81	92	77
Mersea	81	86	81
Sampers Seven	80	96	67
Copper Knight	80	90	82
Glory Fighter	80	91	69
Nelson Gay	79	91	75
Princess Karine	78	91	82
Dandy Dinmont	78	91	77
Spring Is Sprung	78	92	74
Dickieburd	78	91	82
Mattice	77	90	69
Le Beau Garcon	77	91	70
Havagomecca	77	93	65
So Smart	76	94	87
Lullaby Bay	76	95	41
Eeh Bah Gum	76	90	76
Mereside Angel	72	95	82
Good Luck Fox	72	92	67
Texas Man	72	88	44

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
So Smart	2d ago	Quick return
Princess Karine	7d ago	Quick return
Good Luck Fox	8d ago	Quick return
Copper Knight	9d ago	Quick return
Khabib	9d ago	Quick return
Glory Fighter	9d ago	Quick return
Mereside Angel	11d ago	Quick return
Texas Man	11d ago	Quick return
Mattice	13d ago	Quick return
Eeh Bah Gum	13d ago	Quick return
Nelson Gay	14d ago	Fit
Elegant Erin	14d ago	Fit
Dandy Dinmont	14d ago	Fit
Sampers Seven	16d ago	Fit
Havagomecca	20d ago	Fit
Spring Is Sprung	21d ago	Fit
Dickieburd	21d ago	Fit
Ventura Express	27d ago	Fit
Le Beau Garcon	33d ago	Fit
Papa Dont Preach	41d ago	Fit
Lullaby Bay	55d ago	Fresh
Mersea	371d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Papa Dont Preach	Prominent
Havagomecca	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 22 runners classified.