AXA Farm Insurance Midlands National Handicap Chase (Listed Race)

Kilbeggan

19:55

Date 2023-07-14

Distance 3m1f

Class Class 1

Going Yielding

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize €59,000

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4	Life In The Park Bay J:Mike O'Connor(3) T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Mike O'Connor(3) T:Henry De Bromhead	163	—	1333-3	139	147	102	46d	—	—	+14	29.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Solid runs in quality events last three starts and a repeat of that will see him run well
14	Stealthy Tom Bay J:Mark McDonagh(5) T:E Bolger	J:Mark McDonagh(5) T:E Bolger	148	b	102-11	124	151	45	32d	—	—	+9	22.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Versatile sort mixes banks races with conventional fences to good effect; respected
10	Mars Harper Bay J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	155	p	49206-	131	148	122	97d	—	—	+15	25.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Dual hurdle winner is a maiden over fences but has a squeak if returning in top form
NR	Vina Ardanza Bay J:TBC T:Gordon Elliott	J: T:Gordon Elliott	161	—	047-14	137	142	96	25d	—	—	+15	24.4	2.25/1	10 10%
Awarded a Killarney novice and was beaten 13l over 2m3f here since; longer trip a help
NR	Choice Of Words Bay J:TBC T:Martin Brassil	J: T:Martin Brassil	145	t	0/F6-2	121	145	69	63d	—	—	+14	26.1	2.25/1	10 10%
Best chase run when second over 2m3f here last time; this is a tough handicap bow; reserve
13	Pont Aval Bay J:Paul Townend T:W P Mullins	J:Paul Townend T:W P Mullins	151	t	245P-1	127	149	137	61d	—	—	+20	32.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Got off the mark over fences in the Killarney National last time; 9lb higher but a player
7	Ilikedwayurthinkin Bay J:Mark Walsh T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Mark Walsh T:Gavin Cromwell	157	b	PU34-7	133	146	98	46d	—	—	+15	23.1	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Fine fourth at Punchestown but was below that form in the Mayo National; needs best
2	Tullybeg Chestnut J:Michael O'Sullivan(3) T:Gordon Elliott	J:Michael O'Sullivan(3) T:Gordon Elliott	165	t	U145-1	141	152	116	46d	—	—	+28	34.7	2.50/1	11 9%
Course winner won the Mayo National last time but this is tougher off 8lb higher
3	Foxy Jacks Bay J:Gavin Brouder(5) T:M F Morris	J:Gavin Brouder(5) T:M F Morris	163	p	5F0U-2	139	146	51	32d	—	—	+22	29.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Hasn't won for over 2 years but a fine run last time and a player if repeating that
8	Streets Of Doyen Bay J:Kieren Buckley(3) T:Thomas Gibney	J:Kieren Buckley(3) T:Thomas Gibney	156	—	350P-1	132	150	128	25d	—	—	+25	32.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Back to form in winning over hurdles here last time; has to build on that back chasing
9	Fairyhill Run Bay J:Liam Quinlan(5) T:John Patrick Ryan	J:Liam Quinlan(5) T:John Patrick Ryan	155	—	UPP7-4	131	148	74	46d	—	—	+14	22.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
C&D winner but nearly two years since her last score; chance if building on Ballinrobe run
NR	Arrycan Bay J:TBC T:Liam P Cusack	J: T:Liam P Cusack	151	—	U0-651	127	145	81	33d	—	—	+15	20.9	4.75/1	20 5%
Course winner returned to form in winning at Punchestown last time; this is tougher up 6lb
NR	Pakens Rock Chestnut J:TBC T:Barry T Murphy	J: T:Barry T Murphy	145	—	P7-321	121	151	102	25d	—	—	+4	23.2	4.75/1	20 5%
Won his sixth race when scoring over 2m3f here last time; unproven over this far; reserve
1	Hurricane Georgie Bay J:Mr H C Swan(5) T:Gordon Elliott	J:Mr H C Swan(5) T:Gordon Elliott	166	—	572-28	142	150	54	32d	—	—	+19	24.6	3.25/1	14 7%
Won this last year off an 8lb lower mark; some good runs since but last time not one
R15	The Dabbler Bay J:Brian Hayes T:Liam P Cusack	J:Brian Hayes T:Liam P Cusack	148	v	437P4-	124	149	107	76d	—	—	+15	19.9	4.75/1	20 5%
Has run well in several handicap chases; stays further than this; could run well; reserve
11	The Echo Boy Bay J:J J Slevin T:Dermot A Mcloughlin	J:J J Slevin T:Dermot A Mcloughlin	154	t	P58-16	130	142	58	46d	—	—	+17	21.1	5.25/1	22 5%
Came back to form when winning over 2m3f here but has to bounce back from a poor run
6	Farceur Du Large Grey J:Donagh Meyler T:Noel Meade	J:Donagh Meyler T:Noel Meade	157	p	180UP-	133	150	134	95d	—	—	+18	22	4.75/1	20 5%
Pulled-up in Irish National but has a chance if back to his best form of last winter

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Life In The Park	4	9/2	5	9/2	9/2
Stealthy Tom	9/2	5	9/2	5	5
Mars Harper	7/1	7	13/2	7	7
Vina Ardanza	9	8	8	8	10
Choice Of Words	10	7	13/2	15/2	SP
Pont Aval	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Ilikedwayurthinkin	17/2	8/1	9	9	17/2
Tullybeg	11	10	11	11	11
Foxy Jacks	12	12/1	10	12	12
Streets Of Doyen	10/1	11	11	10/1	11/1
Fairyhill Run	10	10/1	17/2	10	10
Arrycan	20	18	18	14	20
Pakens Rock	16	18	18	20	SP
Hurricane Georgie	12/1	14	12	14	14
The Dabbler	20	18	14	20	20
The Echo Boy	22	22	18	22	22
Farceur Du Large	20	20	16	20	20

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Tullybeg

34.7

OR: 22.8 Form: 10 Odds: 1.9

2nd

Pont Aval

32.9

OR: 19.3 Form: 10 Odds: 3.6

11/2

3rd

Streets Of Doyen

32.7

OR: 20.5 Form: 10 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Life In The Park

29.7

OR: 22.3 Form: 3 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Foxy Jacks

29.2

OR: 22.3 Form: 5 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Choice Of Words

26.1

OR: 17.8 Form: 5 Odds: 3.3

Mars Harper

25.6

OR: 20.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 2.9

7/1

Hurricane Georgie

24.6

OR: 23 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Vina Ardanza

24.4

OR: 21.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

Pakens Rock

23.2

OR: 17.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.5

Ilikedwayurthinkin

23.1

OR: 20.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Stealthy Tom

22.5

OR: 18.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Fairyhill Run

22.5

OR: 20.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Farceur Du Large

OR: 20.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

The Echo Boy

21.1

OR: 20 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Arrycan

20.9

OR: 19.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

The Dabbler

19.9

OR: 18.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Hurricane Georgie	142	150	54
Tullybeg	141	152	116
Life In The Park	139	147	102
Foxy Jacks	139	146	51
Vina Ardanza	137	142	96
Ilikedwayurthinkin	133	146	98
Farceur Du Large	133	150	134
Streets Of Doyen	132	150	128
Mars Harper	131	148	122
Fairyhill Run	131	148	74
The Echo Boy	130	142	58
Pont Aval	127	149	137
Arrycan	127	145	81
Stealthy Tom	124	151	45
The Dabbler	124	149	107
Choice Of Words	121	145	69
Pakens Rock	121	151	102

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Vina Ardanza	25d ago	Fit
Streets Of Doyen	25d ago	Fit
Pakens Rock	25d ago	Fit
Stealthy Tom	32d ago	Fit
Foxy Jacks	32d ago	Fit
Hurricane Georgie	32d ago	Fit
Arrycan	33d ago	Fit
Life In The Park	46d ago	Fresh
Ilikedwayurthinkin	46d ago	Fresh
Tullybeg	46d ago	Fresh
Fairyhill Run	46d ago	Fresh
The Echo Boy	46d ago	Fresh
Pont Aval	61d ago	Fresh
Choice Of Words	63d ago	Fresh
The Dabbler	76d ago	Fresh
Farceur Du Large	95d ago	Long break
Mars Harper	97d ago	Long break