Navan Racing Festival November 18th & 19th Handicap (Div II)

Navan

17:20

Date 2023-07-15

Distance 1m2f

Class

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €5,900

Runners (21)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (6)	Stay Local Chestnut J:Colin Keane T:Aidan Anthony Howard	J:Colin Keane T:Aidan Anthony Howard	136	—	/32-39	56	66	49	21d	—	—	-11	6.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Maiden has been placed three times when sent off favourite over 1m/1m1f; Keane takes over
NR (11)	Shining Aitch Grey J:TBC T:T G Mccourt	J: T:T G Mccourt	138	t	0-0265	58	71	54	8d	—	—	-6	5.2	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Touched off over C&D in June and was placed in a division of this last year
1 (21)	Barretstown Bay J:Gavin Ryan T:Conor Odwyer	J:Gavin Ryan T:Conor Odwyer	140	—	86-184	60	68	25	21d	—	—	-4	5.2	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Fourth of 14 in higher grade at Down Royal is one of the strongest recent formlines
10 (1)	Rockview Roman Bay J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:John C Mcconnell	J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:John C Mcconnell	133	—	439-10	53	68	58	—	—	—	-6	3.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Fit from hurdling when making the breakthrough on turf at Gowran in April; beaten 7l since
4 (4)	Mauras Gift Bay J:Robert Whearty(7) T:Paul W Flynn	J:Robert Whearty(7) T:Paul W Flynn	137	p	310-58	57	70	46	176d	—	—	-3	3.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Second over 1m3f on soft terrain before winning over 1m4f on AW in November; held since
7 (3)	Deluca Chop Chestnut J:Shane Foley T:S M Duffy	J:Shane Foley T:S M Duffy	134	—	080095	54	66	36	10d	—	—	-6	3.7	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Best run since AW win in February when beaten 4l under Foley at Tipperary (1m4f) last week
17 (14)	Gudrun Genberg Brown J:Chris Hayes T:Aidan Anthony Howard	J:Chris Hayes T:Aidan Anthony Howard	127	—	620-90	47	71	25	59d	—	—	-5	1.7	3.25/1	14 7%
Just denied at 66-1 over C&D here in the autumn (soft ground); no trace of that form since
12 (19)	Blackstone Cliff Bay J:Gary Carroll T:Shane Crawley	J:Gary Carroll T:Shane Crawley	130	ht	30071-	50	68	-	211d	—	—	+6	12.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Knows how to win and gained fifth victory when landing AW handicap in December; new yard
8 (20)	Mr Mills Bay J:Robbie Colgan T:Christopher David Timmons	J:Robbie Colgan T:Christopher David Timmons	133	—	521-48	53	67	45	23d	—	—	-5	2.9	2.50/1	11 9%
Back from five months off when staying-on eighth of 22 over a furlong less at Leopardstown
14 (5)	Atlas Bay J:James Ryan(7) T:T G Mccourt	J:James Ryan(7) T:T G Mccourt	127	p	0-0056	47	74	50	21d	—	—	-4	1.4	3.75/1	16 6%
Fair efforts over 1m last twice but over three years since latest victory; opposable
NR (15)	Sea The Dawn Chestnut J:TBC T:Peter Lawlor	J: T:Peter Lawlor	138	—	460/0-	58	73	32	373d	—	—	-2	3.4	6.00/1	25 4%
Had only one run since her 3yo season, that when not shamed at Leopardstown a year ago
NR (12)	Gatsby Cap Bay J:TBC T:John C Mcconnell	J: T:John C Mcconnell	127	b	-09048	47	70	25	53d	—	—	-4	1.6	6.00/1	25 4%
Four-time winner showed a little bit more when beaten 7l over 1m at Gowran last time
NR (10)	Limited Edition Bay J:TBC T:Keith Henry Clarke	J: T:Keith Henry Clarke	132	—	3-0000	52	73	-	30d	—	—	-1	3.8	8.00/1	33 3%
Useful and consistent form in Britain; nothing in four starts for this yard this year
20 (16)	Wish Me Bay J:Jamie Powell(5) T:Keith Henry Clarke	J:Jamie Powell(5) T:Keith Henry Clarke	127	—	4400-0	47	64	50	150d	—	—	-3	1.2	4.75/1	20 5%
C&D winner two years ago and close-up fourth over 1m6f here last autumn; back from a break
18 (9)	Lofoten Bay J:Sean D Bowen(7) T:P J Rothwell	J:Sean D Bowen(7) T:P J Rothwell	127	tp	-00859	47	74	47	19d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Maiden's fifth over 1m at Listowel was promising and didn't stay 1m5f latest; could go ok
9 (18)	Prince Of Abington Bay J:Nathan Crosse T:Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch	J:Nathan Crosse T:Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch	133	—	200400	53	71	25	34d	—	—	-4	2.5	2.75/1	12 8%
Second in 6f AW claimer for John McConnell; beaten around 8l in two runs over this trip
21 (7)	Monnow Valley Bay J:Rory Cleary T:Damian Joseph English	J:Rory Cleary T:Damian Joseph English	124	v	8-3730	54	68	49	22d	—	—	-1	1.9	8.00/1	33 3%
Front-runner twice placed in 3yo handicaps (1m/1m1f) this term; stiff 1m2f a concern
6 (13)	Mutadaawel Bay J:Adam Caffrey(5) T:Nigel Thomas Slevin	J:Adam Caffrey(5) T:Nigel Thomas Slevin	135	p	4446-0	55	67	27	—	—	—	-1	2.1	8.00/1	33 3%
Three years winless; not shown much in three starts since returning from 15-month lay-off
13 (8)	Flier Bay J:Gary Halpin T:Mrs Denise Foster	J:Gary Halpin T:Mrs Denise Foster	128	t	0040-0	48	68	45	53d	—	—	-4	1.4	4.75/1	20 5%
Still early days and chance on fourth of 20 at the Curragh in October; not as good since
19 (2)	Music Magic Bay J:Wayne Hassett(7) T:Desmond Mcdonogh	J:Wayne Hassett(7) T:Desmond Mcdonogh	127	—	0-0000	47	60	-	88d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.25/1	66 2%
Has shown very little since promising 2yo debut and handicap form pretty dire
15 (17)	Fan Na Tiobratan Bay J:Luke McAteer T:Ruaidhri Joseph Tierney	J:Luke McAteer T:Ruaidhri Joseph Tierney	127	—	0-000	47	59	19	22d	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Very modest form in maidens and on handicap bow over 1m3f; outsider

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Stay Local	4	10/3	10/3	7/2	7/2
Shining Aitch	8	15/2	7	8	8
Barretstown	8	15/2	7/1	15/2	15/2
Rockview Roman	8	7	7	7	15/2
Mauras Gift	10	11/1	10/1	10	11/1
Deluca Chop	7	17/2	8	17/2	17/2
Gudrun Genberg	14	12	11	12	12
Blackstone Cliff	12	12	12/1	12	12/1
Mr Mills	9	11	11	11	11
Atlas	16	16	14	16	14
Sea The Dawn	25	18	20	14	18
Gatsby Cap	16	25	22	25	25
Limited Edition	33	33	28	33	33
Wish Me	20	20	16	20	20
Lofoten	8	17/2	8	17/2	17/2
Prince Of Abington	12	11	11/1	11	11
Monnow Valley	33	28	22/1	28	25
Mutadaawel	33	28	22/1	25/1	25
Flier	20	18	14	18	16
Music Magic	66	66	40/1	66	50
Fan Na Tiobratan	100	100	66	100	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Blackstone Cliff

12.2

OR: 0 Form: 10.6 Odds: 1.6

12/1

2nd

Stay Local

6.7

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

3rd

Shining Aitch

5.2

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 3.2

15/2

Barretstown

5.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Limited Edition

3.8

OR: 0.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.2

Mauras Gift

3.7

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Deluca Chop

3.7

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Rockview Roman

3.4

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Sea The Dawn

3.4

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Mr Mills

2.9

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Prince Of Abington

2.5

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Lofoten

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Mutadaawel

2.1

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Monnow Valley

1.9

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Gudrun Genberg

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Gatsby Cap

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Atlas

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Flier

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Wish Me

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Music Magic

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Fan Na Tiobratan

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Barretstown	60	68	25
Shining Aitch	58	71	54
Sea The Dawn	58	73	32
Mauras Gift	57	70	46
Stay Local	56	66	49
Mutadaawel	55	67	27
Deluca Chop	54	66	36
Monnow Valley	54	68	49
Rockview Roman	53	68	58
Mr Mills	53	67	45
Prince Of Abington	53	71	25
Limited Edition	52	73	—
Blackstone Cliff	50	68	—
Flier	48	68	45
Gudrun Genberg	47	71	25
Atlas	47	74	50
Gatsby Cap	47	70	25
Wish Me	47	64	50
Lofoten	47	74	47
Music Magic	47	60	—
Fan Na Tiobratan	47	59	19

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Shining Aitch	8d ago	Quick return
Deluca Chop	10d ago	Quick return
Lofoten	19d ago	Fit
Stay Local	21d ago	Fit
Barretstown	21d ago	Fit
Atlas	21d ago	Fit
Monnow Valley	22d ago	Fit
Fan Na Tiobratan	22d ago	Fit
Mr Mills	23d ago	Fit
Limited Edition	30d ago	Fit
Prince Of Abington	34d ago	Fit
Gatsby Cap	53d ago	Fresh
Flier	53d ago	Fresh
Gudrun Genberg	59d ago	Fresh
Music Magic	88d ago	Fresh
Wish Me	150d ago	Long break
Mauras Gift	176d ago	Long break
Blackstone Cliff	211d ago	Long break
Sea The Dawn	373d ago	Long break
Rockview Roman	—	—
Mutadaawel	—	—