CNRE NEC BU Family Day Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle

Stratford

14:15

Date 2023-07-16

Distance 2m2f148y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,776

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR	Ranco Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Nigel Hawke	J:NON-RUNNER T:Nigel Hawke	159	tp	433-74	88	103	-	19d	—	—	-41	29.5	—	—
Just a respectable fourth at Newton Abbot in June but refitted cheekpieces might help here
7	Nadim Bay J:Bradley Harris(3) T:Milton Harris	J:Bradley Harris(3) T:Milton Harris	155	tp	753-22	89	99	81	34d	—	—	-10	18.6	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Runner-up in both handicaps; upped in trip with cheekpieces added today; may not want rain
9	Mickyh Bay J:Niall Houlihan T:Neil Mulholland	J:Niall Houlihan T:Neil Mulholland	150	tp	522F-5	79	102	86	59d	—	—	-7	13.4	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Finished weakly on latest outing but earlier form makes him of significant interest
8	Born To Please Bay J:Harriet Tucker(5) T:Mark Usher	J:Harriet Tucker(5) T:Mark Usher	155	p	5242-4	84	101	78	24d	—	—	-3	12.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Went close over 2m here in April and also ran well over 2m4f at Uttoxeter last month
2	Ayr Of Elegance Bay J:Lewis Stones T:D J Jeffreys	J:Lewis Stones T:D J Jeffreys	166	b	424-61	95	104	73	32d	—	—	+1	15.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Still well handicapped after last month's small-field win and this C&D suits her well
1	Zafar Bay J:Abbie McCain(3) T:Donald Mccain	J:Abbie McCain(3) T:Donald Mccain	168	p	6307-6	97	102	86	68d	—	—	+6	14.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Won't mind what the weather does here but needs a revival
10	Rebel Royal Bay J:Tristan Durrell T:Ben Case	J:Tristan Durrell T:Ben Case	143	p	526-P7	72	102	36	42d	—	—	0	7.6	2.75/1	12 8%
Gained only win in 2019 but runs this track well; not ruled out off career-lo mark
NR	Definite Bay J:Toby Wynne T:Milton Harris	J:Toby Wynne T:Milton Harris	161	t	6-3O4	95	89	64	20d	—	—	+3	14.5	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Fair Flat-racer who has shown aptitude for hurdling this year; makes handicap hurdle debut
4	Dutch Admiral Chestnut J:Lilly Pinchin T:David Bridgwater	J:Lilly Pinchin T:David Bridgwater	162	—	/020/4	91	101	45	31d	—	—	+8	11.2	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Ran okay when back over hurdles last month but overall profiles remains unconvincing
3	Jakamani Bay J:Caoilin Quinn T:Mark Bradstock	J:Caoilin Quinn T:Mark Bradstock	166	—	5/P5-P	95	-	66	14d	—	—	+9	12	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Made good start to handicap career in 2021 but lightly raced and very disappointing since

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Ranco	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Nadim	15/8	15/8	2	2/1	15/8
Mickyh	3/1	3	11/4	3	10/3
Born To Please	11/2	11/2	9/2	11/2	4/1
Ayr Of Elegance	5	5	9/2	5	5
Zafar	9	9	17/2	9	11/1
Rebel Royal	12	12	11	12	12
Definite	7	7	13/2	13/2	SP
Dutch Admiral	28	25	20	25	28/1
Jakamani	33	33	28	33	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ranco

29.5

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 20

—

2nd

Nadim

18.6

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

2/1

3rd

Ayr Of Elegance

15.3

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Definite

14.5

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.2

13/2

Zafar

14.1

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Mickyh

13.4

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

10/3

Born To Please

12.9

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Jakamani

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Dutch Admiral

11.2

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Rebel Royal

7.6

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Zafar	97	102	86
Ayr Of Elegance	95	104	73
Definite	95	89	64
Jakamani	95	—	66
Dutch Admiral	91	101	45
Nadim	89	99	81
Ranco	88	103	—
Born To Please	84	101	78
Mickyh	79	102	86
Rebel Royal	72	102	36

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Jakamani	14d ago	Fit
Ranco	19d ago	Fit
Definite	20d ago	Fit
Born To Please	24d ago	Fit
Dutch Admiral	31d ago	Fit
Ayr Of Elegance	32d ago	Fit
Nadim	34d ago	Fit
Rebel Royal	42d ago	Fit
Mickyh	59d ago	Fresh
Zafar	68d ago	Fresh