eventmasters.co.uk Handicap Hurdle (Div I) – Worcester

Worcester

20:25

eventmasters.co.uk Handicap Hurdle (Div I)

Date 2023-07-20

Distance 2m4f

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,406

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4	Ranco Bay J:Tom Buckley(3) T:Nigel Hawke	J:Tom Buckley(3) T:Nigel Hawke	156	tp	433-74	88	109	71	23d	—	—	-5	15.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Not disgraced latest; better needed but longer trip a possible help
8	Only Fools Bay J:Philip Armson(3) T:David Pipe	J:Philip Armson(3) T:David Pipe	146	ht	65-522	83	102	92	35d	—	—	-4	13.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Improved efforts since handicapping; second over 2m here latest; entitled to be involved
NR	Jacks Orchard b/br J:NON-RUNNER T:Dr Richard Newland	J:NON-RUNNER T:Dr Richard Newland	151	—	/6P54-	83	101	81	132d	—	—	-3	12.6	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Ran well when last seen in March and should be better served by going left-handed
3	Achnamara Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Harry Fry	J:Harry Cobden T:Harry Fry	158	tb	567-	95	105	65	—	—	—	-1	16.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Little over hurdles and tailed off on the Flat latest but lots of reasons to be interested
NR	Blazing Court Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Martin Keighley	J:NON-RUNNER T:Martin Keighley	163	p	59P-52	95	91	49	1d	—	—	0	15.8	1.50/1	7 14%
Close second on yesterday's handicap debut at Uttoxeter and has to be respected
1	Genever Dragon Bay J:Theo Gillard T:Donald Mccain	J:Theo Gillard T:Donald Mccain	168	b	2312-3	100	101	89	30d	—	—	+8	18.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Good effort at Stratford, after a break, and one of the likelier candidates
7	Boomtime Banker Bay J:Lilly Pinchin(3) T:D J Jeffreys	J:Lilly Pinchin(3) T:D J Jeffreys	149	—	6/11-9	81	101	69	57d	—	—	-1	11.1	2.13/1	17/2 11%
C&D win a year ago and followed up; tailed off only run this year; could bounce back
5	Dirk Gently Chestnut J:Nick Slatter(5) T:David Killahena & Graeme Mcpherson	J:Nick Slatter(5) T:David Killahena & Graeme Mcpherson	153	tp	6PP3-3	85	106	94	33d	—	—	+6	14.1	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Better when third on handicap debut last month; could play a part
9	Nowyouvebinandunit Bay J:James Best T:Simon Earle	J:James Best T:Simon Earle	142	p	799-63	74	101	64	42d	—	—	0	8.4	2.25/1	10 10%
Improved recently and repeat of her Ffos Las third puts her firmly in the picture
NR	Ulysses Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Derek Shaw	J:NON-RUNNER T:Derek Shaw	142	v	089-59	74	99	58	10d	—	—	+3	7.1	4.75/1	20 5%
C&D winner two years ago but unplaced in 15 starts since then
11	Emberscombe Brown J:Rex Dingle T:Jeremy Scott	J:Rex Dingle T:Jeremy Scott	142	—	/03-98	74	95	54	43d	—	—	+2	7.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Not much so far; slightly better latest; up in trip a help but needs plenty of improvement
12	Chain Smoker Chestnut J:Tabitha Worsley(3) T:Georgie Howell	J:Tabitha Worsley(3) T:Georgie Howell	142	b	P-5646	74	-	52	29d	—	—	+4	6.9	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Placed once from 13 starts for yard; 10lb out of the handicap

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Ranco	3	10/3	10/3	11/4	3
Only Fools	10/3	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2
Jacks Orchard	5	5	5	9/2	9/2
Achnamara	9/2	4	10/3	4	4
Blazing Court	7	11/2	9/2	11/2	5
Genever Dragon	13/2	13/2	6	13/2	13/2
Boomtime Banker	17/2	7	13/2	7	7
Dirk Gently	9	17/2	17/2	8	17/2
Nowyouvebinandunit	10	9/1	9	10	10
Ulysses	18	20	18	20	20
Emberscombe	14	16	14	14	16
Chain Smoker	28	28	22	22	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Genever Dragon

18.6

OR: 12.5 Form: 3 Odds: 3.1

13/2

2nd

Achnamara

16.5

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

9/2

3rd

Blazing Court

15.8

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.5

Ranco

15.7

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

10/3

Dirk Gently

14.1

OR: 8.8 Form: 3 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Only Fools

13.5

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Jacks Orchard

12.6

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Boomtime Banker

11.1

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

17/2

Nowyouvebinandunit

8.4

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Emberscombe

7.6

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Ulysses

7.1

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Chain Smoker

6.9

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Genever Dragon	100	101	89
Achnamara	95	105	65
Blazing Court	95	91	49
Ranco	88	109	71
Dirk Gently	85	106	94
Only Fools	83	102	92
Jacks Orchard	83	101	81
Boomtime Banker	81	101	69
Nowyouvebinandunit	74	101	64
Ulysses	74	99	58
Emberscombe	74	95	54
Chain Smoker	74	—	52

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Blazing Court	1d ago	Quick return
Ulysses	10d ago	Quick return
Ranco	23d ago	Fit
Chain Smoker	29d ago	Fit
Genever Dragon	30d ago	Fit
Dirk Gently	33d ago	Fit
Only Fools	35d ago	Fit
Nowyouvebinandunit	42d ago	Fit
Emberscombe	43d ago	Fit
Boomtime Banker	57d ago	Fresh
Jacks Orchard	132d ago	Long break
Achnamara	—	—