British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands B/C/D) (Qual') (GBB Race)

Haydock

14:40

Date 2023-07-21

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £5,400

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (3)	Bint Havana Grey Grey J:Pat Cosgrave T:Richard Hughes	J:Pat Cosgrave T:Richard Hughes	128	—	3	-	87	55	24d	—	—	-16	11.4	0.53/1	17/8 32%
Near-3l third on last month's Newbury debut (6f, good to firm) sets a clear form standard
2 (8)	Cool Run Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	128	—	56	-	78	69	35d	—	—	-19	8.4	0.53/1	17/8 32%
Mid-60s RPRs for both runs so far, albeit over 5f trip that's possibly already inadequate
8 (7)	Welsh Harbour Brown J:Dougie Costello T:Ralph Beckett	J:Dougie Costello T:Ralph Beckett	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-10	4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Sire and (at sprint trips) full brother have both won Group contests here; looks the part
4 (5)	Great Generation Bay J:Stefano Cherchi T:Marco Botti	J:Stefano Cherchi T:Marco Botti	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.2	2.13/1	17/2 11%
One of yard's two winning 2yo debutantes in 2023 was sent off favourite; market can guide.
6 (9)	Princess Alex Bay J:Harrison Shaw T:K R Burke	J:Harrison Shaw T:K R Burke	128	—	4	-	67	19	22d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Didn't see out 5f on recent debut; will have learned plenty, but others persuade more
7 (2)	Toralou Bay J:Mark Winn(3) T:David Omeara	J:Mark Winn(3) T:David Omeara	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.6	2.75/1	12 8%
£40,000 half-sister to 3 winners; shaped well at Haydock on Friday; claims if lining up
9 (6)	Nina Hermosa Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	124	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	9.75/1	40 3%
Neither of her siblings to have won at 2 did so on debut; likelier there'll be other days
3 (4)	Emilshaan Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Grant Tuer	J:Cam Hardie T:Grant Tuer	128	—	6	-	52	-	8d	—	—	-1	0.5	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Wouldn't settle and beaten a long way out on last week's debut (7f); rather more needed
5 (1)	Kinetic Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	J:Ben Robinson T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	128	—	8	-	55	19	15d	—	—	-1	0.5	24.75/1	100 1%
80-1, slowly away and beaten 12l on her recent C&D debut (good); could need more time

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Bint Havana Grey	2	2	17/8	85/40	15/8
Cool Run	2	2	17/8	2	2
Welsh Harbour	11/2	5	5	5	11/2
Great Generation	9	17/2	17/2	9	9
Princess Alex	9	9/1	17/2	9	10/1
Toralou	12	12	12	12	12
Nina Hermosa	40	28	28/1	33	25/1
Emilshaan	80/1	50	50	50	50/1
Kinetic	100	66	66	66	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bint Havana Grey

11.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 8.4

17/8

2nd

Cool Run

8.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

17/8

3rd

Welsh Harbour

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Princess Alex

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Great Generation

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

17/2

Toralou

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Nina Hermosa

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Emilshaan

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Kinetic

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bint Havana Grey	—	87	55
Cool Run	—	78	69
Welsh Harbour	—	—	—
Great Generation	—	—	—
Princess Alex	—	67	19
Toralou	—	—	—
Nina Hermosa	—	—	—
Emilshaan	—	52	—
Kinetic	—	55	19

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Emilshaan	8d ago	Quick return
Kinetic	15d ago	Fit
Princess Alex	22d ago	Fit
Bint Havana Grey	24d ago	Fit
Cool Run	35d ago	Fit
Welsh Harbour	—	—
Great Generation	—	—
Toralou	—	—
Nina Hermosa	—	—