Shape Engineering Handicap – Haydock

Haydock

15:15

Shape Engineering Handicap

Date 2023-07-21

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,449

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (6)	Asadjumeirah Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	131	tp	543822	70	96	70	4d	—	—	+1	20.1	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Needs the breaks and risks attached, but two good seconds of late and still well treated
2 (4)	Cold Stare Bay J:Mark Winn(3) T:David Omeara	J:Mark Winn(3) T:David Omeara	135	tp	423252	74	88	77	11d	—	—	+3	20.4	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Trip and slow ground perfect; lost last 22 starts, but another rock-solid second latest
6 (3)	Danzart Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Stella Barclay	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Stella Barclay	130	h	511124	69	84	79	14d	—	—	+6	23.3	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Stamina to spare at trip; refusal to settle was more the issue than current mark last time
8 (7)	Hour By Hour Bay J:Pat Cosgrave T:Iain Jardine	J:Pat Cosgrave T:Iain Jardine	130	—	50-238	74	84	69	68d	—	—	-4	10	1.00/1	5 20%
Given time since Hamilton flop, and a player on April's Pontefract near-miss (6f, soft)
7 (1)	Knebworth Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	130	—	497666	74	91	68	22d	—	—	-3	9.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Still more convincing on Polytrack, but this is the lowest grade handicap he's ever run in
3 (5)	Bellagio Man Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Antony Brittain	J:Ben Robinson T:Antony Brittain	134	p	188508	73	88	42	46d	—	—	0	7.9	2.00/1	9 11%
Tapeta 6f/soft turf 7f winner; below par last twice, but given a chance by the assessor
5 (2)	Mighty Power Grey J:Barry McHugh T:Stella Barclay	J:Barry McHugh T:Stella Barclay	131	—	516707	70	90	48	15d	—	—	+3	8.4	4.75/1	20 5%
Never really a factor when seventh over C&D latest (good) and others persuade more
1 (8)	Desert Doctor Chestnut J:George Downing T:Ed Walker	J:George Downing T:Ed Walker	135	—	37860-	74	92	57	348d	—	—	+5	7.3	8.00/1	33 3%
In a class 5 handicap for the first time, but only 1-18 on turf; sizeable absence to defy

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Asadjumeirah	3	3	10/3	3	3
Cold Stare	4	4	7/2	4	4
Danzart	7/2	4	4	4	4
Hour By Hour	5	5	5	5	5
Knebworth	11/2	5	5	5	11/2
Bellagio Man	9	9	9	9	9
Mighty Power	20	18	14	18	18
Desert Doctor	33	33	33	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Danzart

23.3

OR: 4.8 Form: 13.5 Odds: 5

7/2

2nd

Cold Stare

20.4

OR: 6 Form: 9.4 Odds: 5

7/2

3rd

Asadjumeirah

20.1

OR: 5 Form: 9.4 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Hour By Hour

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 4

Knebworth

9.6

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Mighty Power

8.4

OR: 5 Form: 2 Odds: 1.4

Bellagio Man

7.9

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Desert Doctor

7.3

OR: 6 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Cold Stare	74	88	77
Hour By Hour	74	84	69
Knebworth	74	91	68
Desert Doctor	74	92	57
Bellagio Man	73	88	42
Asadjumeirah	70	96	70
Mighty Power	70	90	48
Danzart	69	84	79

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Asadjumeirah	4d ago	Quick return
Cold Stare	11d ago	Quick return
Danzart	14d ago	Fit
Mighty Power	15d ago	Fit
Knebworth	22d ago	Fit
Bellagio Man	46d ago	Fresh
Hour By Hour	68d ago	Fresh
Desert Doctor	348d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Desert Doctor	Mid-Pack
Knebworth	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 8 runners classified.