R & M Electrical EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div I) (GBB/IRE Incentive Race)

Newbury

14:25

Date 2023-07-21

Distance 7f

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £6,480

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (3)	Maximum Dividend Chestnut J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	130	—	2	-	94	67	14d	—	—	-17	15	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Made a very promising debut at Sandown; the pick of the runners with experience
3 (9)	Boiling Point Bay J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-16	6.7	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Too Darn Hot colt; holds Group 1 entry; trainer won this contest in 2021; interesting
10 (4)	Trafalgar Square Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-12	5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
600,000gns yearling; by Too Darn Hot out of a 2yo Group 2 winner; respected debutant
6 (10)	King Of Luck Chestnut J:Jim Crowley T:Sir Michael Stoute	J:Jim Crowley T:Sir Michael Stoute	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-10	4	1.25/1	6 17%
325,000gns yearling; by New Bay; major connections; strong credentials
NR (6)	Sir Bolton Bay J:Kevin Stott T:Darryll Holland	J:Kevin Stott T:Darryll Holland	136	p	10	81	88	45	30d	—	—	+9	17	2.25/1	10 10%
Appears vulnerable under 6lb penalty upped to 7f in a traditionally smart novice event
4 (5)	Cogitate Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Charles Hills	J:Hollie Doyle T:Charles Hills	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	3.75/1	16 6%
105,000gns yearling; Churchill half-brother to four winners; check the betting
2 (2)	Arkhalia Flynn Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Jack Channon	J:Charles Bishop T:Jack Channon	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	4.75/1	20 5%
32,000gns yearling; by Ulysses; less appealing than most of the other newcomers on paper
5 (8)	Kings Gambit Chestnut J:Trevor Whelan T:Harry & Roger Charlton	J:Trevor Whelan T:Harry & Roger Charlton	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1	6.00/1	25 4%
125,000gns yearling; by Saxon Warrior; yard won this race in 2018; one to consider
9 (7)	Standbackandlook Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:William Knight	J:Marco Ghiani T:William Knight	130	—	—	-	66	34	14d	—	—	-1	0.5	12.25/1	50 2%
Finished about 10l behind Maximum Dividend at Sandown; best watched
8 (1)	Paradoxical Bay J:Liam Keniry T:Sylvester Kirk	J:Liam Keniry T:Sylvester Kirk	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	16.25/1	66 2%
60,000gns foal; by Saxon Warrior; stable has modest strike-rate with 2yos

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Maximum Dividend	6/4	15/8	2/1	15/8	7/4
Boiling Point	3	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Trafalgar Square	9/2	4	4	4	4
King Of Luck	6	5	5/1	5	6
Sir Bolton	10	9	9	9	9
Cogitate	16	14	14	14	14
Arkhalia Flynn	20	18	18/1	18	20
Kings Gambit	25	25	25	25	25
Standbackandlook	50	50	50	50	50
Paradoxical	66	50	50	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sir Bolton

OR: 7.8 Form: 7 Odds: 2.3

2nd

Maximum Dividend

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 10

2/1

3rd

Boiling Point

6.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

5/2

Trafalgar Square

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

King Of Luck

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

Cogitate

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Arkhalia Flynn

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Kings Gambit

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Standbackandlook

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Paradoxical

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sir Bolton	81	88	45
Maximum Dividend	—	94	67
Boiling Point	—	—	—
Trafalgar Square	—	—	—
King Of Luck	—	—	—
Cogitate	—	—	—
Arkhalia Flynn	—	—	—
Kings Gambit	—	—	—
Standbackandlook	—	66	34
Paradoxical	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Maximum Dividend	14d ago	Fit
Standbackandlook	14d ago	Fit
Sir Bolton	30d ago	Fit
Boiling Point	—	—
Trafalgar Square	—	—
King Of Luck	—	—
Cogitate	—	—
Arkhalia Flynn	—	—
Kings Gambit	—	—
Paradoxical	—	—