British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Handicap – Newmarket (July)

Newmarket (July)

20:05

British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Handicap

Date 2023-07-21

Distance 6f

Class Class 3

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £13,500

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (4)	Star Guest Bay J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	133	—	-21231	87	95	69	21d	—	—	+9	36.3	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Impressive here 21 days ago and could easily have what it takes to deal with the 10lb hike
9 (2)	Sophias Starlight Bay J:Oliver Stammers T:Grant Tuer	J:Oliver Stammers T:Grant Tuer	132	—	131311	86	99	87	8d	—	—	+16	37.3	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Has won three of her five handicaps; up in class with a penalty but strong contender
10 (1)	Peony Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	127	—	29-211	81	96	73	42d	—	—	-2	11.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Tapeta maiden winner who followed up in a 6f handicap at Haydock; 4lb higher for this
8 (5)	Jumbeau Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Tom Clover	J:Robert Havlin T:Tom Clover	132	—	82-522	86	93	77	21d	—	—	0	12.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Little margin for error off her current mark after three handicap defeats this season
4 (10)	Cuban Breeze Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:David Evans	J:Saffie Osborne T:David Evans	134	b	522343	83	97	76	12d	—	—	+10	17.2	2.50/1	11 9%
Five wins last year came at an inevitable cost and her losing run is beginning to mount up
6 (9)	Sweet Harmony Bay J:Connor Planas(5) T:Richard Spencer	J:Connor Planas(5) T:Richard Spencer	134	p	4-7040	88	94	69	28d	—	—	+5	11.4	3.75/1	16 6%
With cheekpieces tried, she made no impression in a 5f handicap at Royal Ascot
5 (7)	Minnetonka Bay J:Jamie Spencer T:Richard Hannon	J:Jamie Spencer T:Richard Hannon	134	—	54-487	88	94	77	27d	—	—	+6	10.9	3.75/1	16 6%
Now exposed but entitled to make her presence felt on handicap debut
1 (8)	Dora Penny Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:David Evans	J:Daniel Muscutt T:David Evans	139	t	1-7187	88	93	64	18d	—	—	+14	17.4	8.00/1	33 3%
Prolific winner but now has to bounce back from two below-par runs
2 (6)	Mottisfont Bay J:David Probert T:Hughie Morrison	J:David Probert T:Hughie Morrison	135	v	46-089	89	94	55	28d	—	—	+7	10.7	6.75/1	28 4%
Not disgraced at Royal Ascot and possibilities if she takes well to first-time headgear
11 (3)	Premiere Beauty Bay J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Stuart Williams	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Stuart Williams	122	—	919-38	76	94	85	12d	—	—	+4	7.4	8.00/1	33 3%
Third on handicap debut; unwise to be too critical for a lesser effort on AW debut
3 (11)	Noor Bano Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Ismail Mohammed	J:Jack Mitchell T:Ismail Mohammed	135	—	36-331	89	89	71	152d	—	—	+8	10.3	12.25/1	50 2%
Meydan maiden winner; could be on a toughish mark for her handicap debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Star Guest	15/8	2	2	15/8	15/8
Sophias Starlight	3	10/3	11/4	10/3	10/3
Peony	6	11/2	9/2	6	6
Jumbeau	6	11/2	5	6	13/2
Cuban Breeze	11	11	10	11	11
Sweet Harmony	16	12	10	12	12
Minnetonka	14	16	14	16	16
Dora Penny	33	28	25	28	25
Mottisfont	28	25	20	25	22
Premiere Beauty	33	33	25	33	33
Noor Bano	50	50	33	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sophias Starlight

37.3

OR: 9 Form: 22.1 Odds: 6.2

10/3

2nd

Star Guest

36.3

OR: 9.3 Form: 18.6 Odds: 8.4

15/8

3rd

Dora Penny

17.4

OR: 9.5 Form: 7 Odds: 0.9

Cuban Breeze

17.2

OR: 8.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1.9

Jumbeau

12.6

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Peony

11.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Sweet Harmony

11.4

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Minnetonka

10.9

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Mottisfont

10.7

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Noor Bano

10.3

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Premiere Beauty

7.4

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mottisfont	89	94	55
Noor Bano	89	89	71
Sweet Harmony	88	94	69
Minnetonka	88	94	77
Dora Penny	88	93	64
Star Guest	87	95	69
Sophias Starlight	86	99	87
Jumbeau	86	93	77
Cuban Breeze	83	97	76
Peony	81	96	73
Premiere Beauty	76	94	85

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sophias Starlight	8d ago	Quick return
Cuban Breeze	12d ago	Quick return
Premiere Beauty	12d ago	Quick return
Dora Penny	18d ago	Fit
Star Guest	21d ago	Fit
Jumbeau	21d ago	Fit
Minnetonka	27d ago	Fit
Sweet Harmony	28d ago	Fit
Mottisfont	28d ago	Fit
Peony	42d ago	Fit
Noor Bano	152d ago	Long break