Massey Ferguson Johnston Farm Equipment Longford Handicap Hurdle (Div I)

Kilbeggan

17:05

Date 2023-07-21

Distance 2m2f

Class

Going Good To Yielding

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €6,195

Runners (19)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR	Sayitfirst Brown J:NON-RUNNER T:Darren Collins	J:NON-RUNNER T:Darren Collins	155	—	000-06	80	91	-	12d	—	—	-42	27.5	—	—
Non-runner
2	Black Tonic Bay J:Denis O'Regan T:Richard John Obrien	J:Denis O'Regan T:Richard John Obrien	168	—	40844-	93	95	82	121d	—	—	-6	18	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Ex British-trained; hard to see him making an immediate impact for current yard
5	On My Bike Bay J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	167	—	0900-4	92	95	71	13d	—	—	-3	16.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Bellewstown run encouraging; slight drop in trip could suit on that evidence
8	Jinxs Link Chestnut J:J J Slevin T:M M Rice	J:J J Slevin T:M M Rice	164	—	090-32	89	98	63	—	—	—	-2	14.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Placings at Ballinrobe and Downpatrick would give him each-way claims here
6	Maggie Walsh Bay J:Cian Quirke(5) T:Michael J Bowe	J:Cian Quirke(5) T:Michael J Bowe	166	—	680-10	91	100	80	40d	—	—	0	14.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Tramore winner can't be ruled out here given an error-free round
4	The Virginian Chestnut J:Peter Smithers(7) T:Padraig Roche	J:Peter Smithers(7) T:Padraig Roche	168	t	/00-54	93	97	69	39d	—	—	+2	14.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Staying on in 2m handicaps of late; extra trip could suit and one to consider
13	Prince Of Air Bay J:Simon Torrens T:P J Rothwell	J:Simon Torrens T:P J Rothwell	156	—	0/83-5	81	97	76	62d	—	—	+2	10	2.50/1	11 9%
Steadily working his way into form after a long absence; place claims
1	Applejack Poet Bay J:Tom Harney(7) T:Liz Doyle	J:Tom Harney(7) T:Liz Doyle	168	—	8900-9	93	98	62	40d	—	—	+5	13	2.75/1	12 8%
No impact despite declining mark in handicaps, remains opposable
16	War God Bay J:Conor Owens(7) T:R Donohoe	J:Conor Owens(7) T:R Donohoe	155	tp	6P9-70	80	95	21	32d	—	—	+4	8.7	6.75/1	28 4%
Handicap form this year moderate and cheekpieces now tried
11	Cathys Quest Bay J:John Shinnick(7) T:Terence Obrien	J:John Shinnick(7) T:Terence Obrien	158	p	0/P9-0	83	79	66	51d	—	—	+6	9.1	8.00/1	33 3%
Showed little on handicap debut at Wexford in May; cheekpieces now tried
3	Fireworks Bay J:Sam Ewing T:John Joseph Hanlon	J:Sam Ewing T:John Joseph Hanlon	168	p	00-9P8	93	91	61	—	—	—	+7	12.1	6.75/1	28 4%
Mixing hurdles, chases and flat of late with little impact; hard to fancy
R17	Rathnaleen Zoey Bay J:Shane Fitzgerald T:Eoin Christopher Mccarthy	J:Shane Fitzgerald T:Eoin Christopher Mccarthy	158	t	500-80	83	96	-	40d	—	—	+6	9.1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Maiden promise but struggling in handicaps; tongue tie tried; reserve
7	Red Striker Bay J:Dillon Maxwell(7) T:Andrew Mcnamara	J:Dillon Maxwell(7) T:Andrew Mcnamara	166	tp	1P-P00	91	99	40	14d	—	—	+8	11.1	8.00/1	33 3%
Yet to hit form this summer, way behind Maggie Walsh at Tramore on penultimate
9	Enchanted One Brown J:Liam Quinlan(5) T:John Patrick Ryan	J:Liam Quinlan(5) T:John Patrick Ryan	161	—	600-0	86	97	77	38d	—	—	+7	9.7	9.75/1	40 3%
Ran okay in a maiden hurdle here last summer but hasn't progressed
10	No Show Chestnut J:Phillip Enright T:James Joseph Mangan	J:Phillip Enright T:James Joseph Mangan	161	p	0-70	86	92	16	15d	—	—	+7	9.7	9.75/1	40 3%
No show in three maidens; hard to make a case for on handicap debut
12	Sekifi Bay J:Ricky Doyle T:Matthew J Smith	J:Ricky Doyle T:Matthew J Smith	157	—	000PP-	82	90	69	283d	—	—	+6	8.7	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Has struggled in handicaps, pulled up the last twice; cheekpieces worn last time discarded
NR	Mooney Boy Bay J:TBC T:P J Rothwell	J: T:P J Rothwell	155	—	/0PP-7	80	82	76	12d	—	—	+5	8.6	19.75/1	80 1%
Recent comeback run after year's absence leaves him with plenty to find; reserve
14	Howsthewoman Bay J:A P Heskin T:John G Carr	J:A P Heskin T:John G Carr	155	tb	480-00	80	87	-	52d	—	—	+6	8.1	19.75/1	80 1%
20-race maiden with new headgear combination tried here and hard to be confident in
NR	Zahina Bay J:TBC T:J P Broderick	J: T:J P Broderick	158	p	07-PU7	83	99	49	12d	—	—	+6	9.1	24.75/1	100 1%
Recent Sligo maiden (first-time cheekpieces) run okay so don't dismiss; reserve

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Sayitfirst	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Black Tonic	9/4	3	5/2	16/5	10/3
On My Bike	7/2	4	9/2	9/2	9/2
Jinxs Link	4	4	7/2	4	9/2
Maggie Walsh	13/2	6	5	6	13/2
The Virginian	7	15/2	7/1	15/2	15/2
Prince Of Air	11	10	9	10	11
Applejack Poet	12	11	17/2	11	12
War God	28	22	16	22	22
Cathys Quest	28	33	25	28	28
Fireworks	25	28	25	25	25
Rathnaleen Zoey	33/1	33	28	33	28
Red Striker	33	28	22/1	28	25
Enchanted One	40	33	28	33	28
No Show	40	33	28	33	33
Sekifi	50/1	40	28/1	33	33
Mooney Boy	80	66	50	66	66
Howsthewoman	80	50	33	50	40
Zahina	100	66	50	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sayitfirst

27.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 20

—

2nd

Black Tonic

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

10/3

3rd

On My Bike

16.2

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

9/2

Jinxs Link

14.8

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

The Virginian

14.4

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

15/2

Maggie Walsh

14.3

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

13/2

Applejack Poet

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Fireworks

12.1

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Red Striker

11.1

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Prince Of Air

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Enchanted One

9.7

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

No Show

9.7

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Cathys Quest

9.1

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Rathnaleen Zoey

9.1

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Zahina

9.1

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

100

War God

8.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Sekifi

8.7

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Mooney Boy

8.6

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Howsthewoman

8.1

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Black Tonic	93	95	82
The Virginian	93	97	69
Applejack Poet	93	98	62
Fireworks	93	91	61
On My Bike	92	95	71
Maggie Walsh	91	100	80
Red Striker	91	99	40
Jinxs Link	89	98	63
Enchanted One	86	97	77
No Show	86	92	16
Cathys Quest	83	79	66
Rathnaleen Zoey	83	96	—
Zahina	83	99	49
Sekifi	82	90	69
Prince Of Air	81	97	76
Sayitfirst	80	91	—
War God	80	95	21
Mooney Boy	80	82	76
Howsthewoman	80	87	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sayitfirst	12d ago	Quick return
Mooney Boy	12d ago	Quick return
Zahina	12d ago	Quick return
On My Bike	13d ago	Quick return
Red Striker	14d ago	Fit
No Show	15d ago	Fit
War God	32d ago	Fit
Enchanted One	38d ago	Fit
The Virginian	39d ago	Fit
Maggie Walsh	40d ago	Fit
Applejack Poet	40d ago	Fit
Rathnaleen Zoey	40d ago	Fit
Cathys Quest	51d ago	Fresh
Howsthewoman	52d ago	Fresh
Prince Of Air	62d ago	Fresh
Black Tonic	121d ago	Long break
Sekifi	283d ago	Long break
Jinxs Link	—	—
Fireworks	—	—