bet365 Hackwood Stakes (Group 3) – Newbury

Newbury

15:00

bet365 Hackwood Stakes (Group 3)

Date 2023-07-22

Distance 6f

Class Class 1

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £39,697

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (9)	Rohaan Bay J:Adam Kirby T:David Evans	J:Adam Kirby T:David Evans	135	—	14-807	108	122	107	7d	—	—	+4	18.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
High class; this race didn't go his way in 2022; revival latest; return to 6f ideal
3 (8)	Commanche Falls Brown J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	135	p	-72331	112	121	97	20d	—	—	+21	34.6	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Superb 6f sprinter at different levels; close up in Group 2 at York in May; big say
NR (1)	Lezoo Bay J:Frankie Dettori T:Ralph Beckett	J:Frankie Dettori T:Ralph Beckett	127	—	211-80	112	121	72	29d	—	—	+6	19.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Classy sprinting juvenile, winner of 6f Group 1; return to 6f was a letdown at Royal Ascot
8 (12)	Cold Case Bay J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	133	—	311-15	108	114	85	56d	—	—	+7	17.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Can lead; ran poorly on good to firm in May; competitive on earlier 6f results
9 (2)	Rumstar Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Jonathan Portman	J:Rob Hornby T:Jonathan Portman	130	—	141-65	109	117	91	29d	—	—	+7	17.6	1.75/1	8 13%
Made excellent progress as 2yo; good 5th in Group 1 Commonwealth Cup; this is competitive
2 (5)	Annaf Brown J:Kevin Stott T:Michael Appleby	J:Kevin Stott T:Michael Appleby	135	—	134834	109	120	99	14d	—	—	+11	20	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Five AW wins; 0-9 on turf but very good 4th in 6f Group 2 in May; first run at trip since
5 (6)	Ehraz Chestnut J:Jim Crowley T:Richard Hannon	J:Jim Crowley T:Richard Hannon	135	b	2691-3	105	105	89	112d	—	—	+11	18.9	2.25/1	10 10%
Talented sprinter, including over C&D; capable of better but first-time headgear a query
10 (7)	Shartash Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:J P Murtagh	J:Oisin Murphy T:J P Murtagh	130	—	334-45	109	115	91	62d	—	—	+9	16.9	2.25/1	10 10%
Group 2 winner in Ireland as 2yo; close 5th on second run of 2023; needs extra push today
11 (4)	Shouldvebeenaring Grey J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	130	—	231275	110	117	103	13d	—	—	+15	23.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Dual Listed winner as 2yo and 3yo; well held in Group 1s of late; this is tough, too
NR (10)	Garrus Grey J:William Buick T:Charles Hills	J:William Buick T:Charles Hills	138	—	0-8142	113	119	70	23d	—	—	+12	17.1	4.25/1	18 6%
Top form when 3rd in French Group 1 last August; has small penalty but big run expected
4 (11)	Diligent Harry Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	135	—	191647	107	117	96	14d	—	—	+14	18.5	4.25/1	18 6%
5-9 on AW; turf maiden; close 2nd in 2021 running; others more likely on recent turf runs
6 (3)	Mitbaahy Bay J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	135	—	018-58	106	119	85	32d	—	—	+9	15.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Progressive at 5f; staying-on 8th at Ascot suggests return to 6f is worth investigating

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Rohaan	9/2	5	9/2	9/2	9/2
Commanche Falls	9/2	9/2	5	9/2	9/2
Lezoo	11/2	11/2	9/2	9/2	5
Cold Case	7	7	7	7	13/2
Rumstar	13/2	8	7	7	7
Annaf	15/2	17/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Ehraz	10	9	10	9	9
Shartash	10	10	9	10	10
Shouldvebeenaring	15/2	8	15/2	15/2	15/2
Garrus	18	14	18	18	18
Diligent Harry	16	18	16	18	18
Mitbaahy	12	10	12	12	11

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Commanche Falls

34.6

OR: 15.5 Form: 15.1 Odds: 4

9/2

2nd

Shouldvebeenaring

23.6

OR: 15 Form: 6.1 Odds: 2.5

15/2

3rd

Annaf

OR: 14.8 Form: 2.7 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Lezoo

19.5

OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Rohaan

18.9

OR: 14.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Ehraz

18.9

OR: 13.8 Form: 3 Odds: 2.1

Diligent Harry

18.5

OR: 14.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.2

Cold Case

17.6

OR: 14.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Rumstar

17.6

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

Garrus

17.1

OR: 15.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Shartash

16.9

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Mitbaahy

15.9

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Garrus	113	119	70
Commanche Falls	112	121	97
Lezoo	112	121	72
Shouldvebeenaring	110	117	103
Rumstar	109	117	91
Annaf	109	120	99
Shartash	109	115	91
Rohaan	108	122	107
Cold Case	108	114	85
Diligent Harry	107	117	96
Mitbaahy	106	119	85
Ehraz	105	105	89

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Rohaan	7d ago	Quick return
Shouldvebeenaring	13d ago	Quick return
Annaf	14d ago	Fit
Diligent Harry	14d ago	Fit
Commanche Falls	20d ago	Fit
Garrus	23d ago	Fit
Lezoo	29d ago	Fit
Rumstar	29d ago	Fit
Mitbaahy	32d ago	Fit
Cold Case	56d ago	Fresh
Shartash	62d ago	Fresh
Ehraz	112d ago	Long break