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Chelmsford (AW)

19:50

Racing Welfare Handicap

Date 2023-07-25
Distance 1m2f
Class Class 4
Going Standard To Slow
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £6,621

Runners (15)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
12 (3)
Totnes
Bay
J:Oisin Murphy
T:Andrew Balding
J:Oisin Murphy
T:Andrew Balding
 131 — 151433
75
83
64
 25d — — -10
25.8
0.34/1
11/8
42%
2-3 on the AW early in the year and should be happier back to Polytrack; on the shortlist
NR (14)
Yeoman
Bay
J:NON-RUNNER
T:James Fanshawe
J:NON-RUNNER
T:James Fanshawe
 130 — 5-6151
74
-
-
 36d — — -9
12.2
0.75/1
4
25%
This stronger, up in trip from a wide stall off 4lb higher, but open to more improvement
2 (13)
Wild Hurricane
Bay
J:David Egan
T:Saeed Bin Suroor
J:David Egan
T:Saeed Bin Suroor
 140 p 3-352
75
83
57
 27d — — -3
12.8
1.25/1
6
17%
Claims but not certain to be suited by the drop back in trip round an easy course
1 (9)
Tarbaan
Chestnut
J:Tom Marquand
T:Amy Murphy
J:Tom Marquand
T:Amy Murphy
 141 tb 4-4674
76
88
62
 31d — — -4
10.5
1.63/1
13/2
13%
C&D winner off a 2lb higher mark last winter; turned in a better effort last time; player
15 (8)
Wadacre Gomez
Bay
J:Franny Norton
T:Charlie Johnston
J:Franny Norton
T:Charlie Johnston
 126 — 62167V
70
80
57
 14d — — +3
11.5
2.13/1
17/2
11%
Showed more back on the AW in a void race last time; that gave something to build on
NR (12)
Miss Bluebelle
Bay
J:NON-RUNNER
T:Marcus Tregoning
J:NON-RUNNER
T:Marcus Tregoning
 139 h 761-27
74
82
-
 61d — — -7
11.3
3.25/1
14
7%
Should be happier back on the AW and in the hood but she'll need a career-best
NR (15)
Noodle Mission
Bay
J:NON-RUNNER
T:Michael Bell
J:NON-RUNNER
T:Michael Bell
 135 — 7-1516
79
-
-
 25d — — -45
27.3
3.25/1
14
7%
Only has daylight on his outside from stall 15 and needs to settle better
8 (10)
Semser
Bay
J:Tom Queally
T:Gary Moore
J:Tom Queally
T:Gary Moore
 135 p -94124
70
84
62
 31d — — +9
15.4
2.75/1
12
8%
Often misses the kick and/or pulls hard; return here will help, with him 2-2 over C&D
10 (1)
Nasim
Chestnut
J:William Buick
T:Michael Appleby
J:William Buick
T:Michael Appleby
 134 eb 477326
69
84
62
 13d — — +6
11.4
4.25/1
18
6%
Free enough early in a smaller field over 1m3f latest; one of the more interesting runners
6 (6)
Mayfair Gold
Bay
J:Rossa Ryan
T:Alan King
J:Rossa Ryan
T:Alan King
 137 h 2-1180
72
84
59
 48d — — +4
10.9
3.75/1
16
6%
Struggled in two runs since C&D win; return to 1m2f and first-time headgear are the angles
4 (5)
Boasty
Bay
J:Marco Ghiani
T:Ivan Furtado
J:Marco Ghiani
T:Ivan Furtado
 138 v 231125
73
81
58
 43d — — +14
19.2
5.25/1
22
5%
Has three wins and three seconds to his name from eight runs over C&D; high in the weights
5 (7)
One For The Frog
Bay
J:Robert Havlin
T:S Woods
J:Robert Havlin
T:S Woods
 138 t 2-4175
73
79
63
 41d — — +5
11
5.25/1
22
5%
Needs to improve for the stiffer test, which is no certainty on pedigree
11 (4)
Marions Boy
Chestnut
J:Cieren Fallon
T:Roger Teal
J:Cieren Fallon
T:Roger Teal
 134 b 074245
69
82
55
 49d — — +4
8.3
6.00/1
25
4%
Most of his best efforts, and all four wins, have come at Lingfield in the autumn/winter
9 (11)
Jenson Benson
Bay
J:Luke Morris
T:Shaun Lycett
J:Luke Morris
T:Shaun Lycett
 134 — 612936
69
82
57
 75d — — +9
10.9
12.25/1
50
2%
Happiest round here but is weighted to his best and is some way down the pecking order
14 (2)
The Bay Warrior
Bay
J:Rhys Clutterbuck
T:Mark Usher
J:Rhys Clutterbuck
T:Mark Usher
 130 p 424146
65
81
63
 96d — — +8
10.3
16.25/1
66
2%
Three C&D wins all came off slightly lower marks in the spring; needs to be at his best
Horse bet365 William Hill Unibet Boyle Sports Ladbrokes
Totnes
 5/4 5/4 11/8 5/4 5/4
Yeoman
 SP 4 SP SP SP
Wild Hurricane
 6 5 5 9/2 5
Tarbaan
 6 13/2 13/2 9/2 13/2
Wadacre Gomez
 9 17/2 15/2 15/2 8
Miss Bluebelle
 SP 14 SP SP SP
Noodle Mission
 SP 14 SP SP SP
Semser
 11 12 10 11/1 11
Nasim
 18 14 14 12 14
Mayfair Gold
 16 16 10 14 14
Boasty
 22 18 14 16 16
One For The Frog
 22 18/1 11 16 18
Marions Boy
 25 22 18 22 22
Jenson Benson
 50 40 33 40 40
The Bay Warrior
 66 50 33 50 50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Noodle Mission
27.3
OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 20
14
2nd Totnes
25.8
OR: 6.3 Form: 8.1 Odds: 11.4
11/8
3rd Boasty
19.2
OR: 5.8 Form: 12.1 Odds: 1.4
22
4 Semser
15.4
OR: 5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.9
12
5 Wild Hurricane
12.8
OR: 6.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 4.4
6
6 Yeoman
12.2
OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2
4
7 Wadacre Gomez
11.5
OR: 5 Form: 4 Odds: 2.5
17/2
8 Nasim
11.4
OR: 4.8 Form: 5 Odds: 1.6
18
9 Miss Bluebelle
11.3
OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 5.3
14
10 One For The Frog
11
OR: 5.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.7
22
11 Mayfair Gold
10.9
OR: 5.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.9
16
12 Jenson Benson
10.9
OR: 4.8 Form: 5.6 Odds: 0.6
50
13 Tarbaan
10.5
OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4
13/2
14 The Bay Warrior
10.3
OR: 3.8 Form: 6 Odds: 0.6
66
15 Marions Boy
8.3
OR: 4.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.1
25

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Noodle Mission
79
 — —
Tarbaan
76
88
62
Totnes
75
83
64
Wild Hurricane
75
83
57
Yeoman
74
 — —
Miss Bluebelle
74
82
 —
Boasty
73
81
58
One For The Frog
73
79
63
Mayfair Gold
72
84
59
Wadacre Gomez
70
80
57
Semser
70
84
62
Nasim
69
84
62
Marions Boy
69
82
55
Jenson Benson
69
82
57
The Bay Warrior
65
81
63

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Nasim 13d ago Quick return
Wadacre Gomez 14d ago Fit
Totnes 25d ago Fit
Noodle Mission 25d ago Fit
Wild Hurricane 27d ago Fit
Tarbaan 31d ago Fit
Semser 31d ago Fit
Yeoman 36d ago Fit
One For The Frog 41d ago Fit
Boasty 43d ago Fit
Mayfair Gold 48d ago Fresh
Marions Boy 49d ago Fresh
Miss Bluebelle 61d ago Fresh
Jenson Benson 75d ago Fresh
The Bay Warrior 96d ago Long break