Ministry Of Sound Disco Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

20:20

Ministry Of Sound Disco Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2023-07-25

Distance 1m

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,346

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (9)	Alexandretta Bay J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	128	—	23-2	79	90	-	10d	—	—	-12	23.7	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Useful and willing efforts at 7f on AW as 2yo; soft turf may not have suited on return
NR (14)	Fleurir Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:Roger Varian	J:NON-RUNNER T:Roger Varian	128	—	3-2562	77	89	-	25d	—	—	-11	17.5	—	—
Headed close home over 1m at Newmarket in June; acts well on Tapeta; drawn widest
3 (7)	Arctic Mountain Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Saeed Bin Suroor	J:Oisin Murphy T:Saeed Bin Suroor	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-16	6.7	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Good paper claims for yard with 32% strike-rate in AW maidens, also strong record here
6 (3)	Motriff Bay J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-12	5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
180,000gns yearling; top yard 22% both in AW maidens and on this track overall
5 (5)	Endless Power Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:James Tate	J:Rossa Ryan T:James Tate	133	—	58	-	81	48	35d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Modest on soft ground latest but AW promise on debut in race that has worked out well
12 (10)	Hard Act To Follow Chestnut J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Ismail Mohammed	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Ismail Mohammed	128	—	8	-	63	-	41d	—	—	-5	1.9	3.25/1	14 7%
£200,000 yearling; short-lived effort when 8th on Yarmouth debut (7f)
4 (2)	Atlantic Dream Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Michael Bell	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Michael Bell	133	—	3	-	58	-	26d	—	—	0	4	6.00/1	25 4%
Scopey but ran green when remote third on 1m turf debut; query about switch to AW
9 (6)	Dreamrocker Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.9	8.00/1	33 3%
Half-sister to Group 1/smart types for this yard; no surprise if she is better for the run
14 (11)	Rapallo Chestnut J:Connor Planas(5) T:George Boughey	J:Connor Planas(5) T:George Boughey	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.1	12.25/1	50 2%
26,000gns 2yo; bred for longer trips but market can guide
7 (8)	Shaheen Saqaar Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Ed Dunlop	J:Robert Havlin T:Ed Dunlop	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	12.25/1	50 2%
4,500gns 3yo; likely to come on plenty for the run
13 (4)	Nannie Dee Bay J:Harry Burns(3) T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Harry Burns(3) T:Simon & Ed Crisford	128	—	07	-	61	-	20d	—	—	-1	0.4	16.25/1	66 2%
Nothing special in form terms on defeats at Yarmouth (7f) and Thirsk (1m); handicaps soon
1 (13)	Brigantes Warrior Bay J:George Rooke T:Richard Hughes	J:George Rooke T:Richard Hughes	141	—	9	-	48	-	29d	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Handy pedigree but 1m Windsor debut didn't yield much (20-1); needs more time
2 (12)	Lite And Airy Bay J:Dougie Costello T:S Woods	J:Dougie Costello T:S Woods	141	—	90	-	26	5	14d	—	—	-1	0.3	31.00/1	125 1%
Big prices, out with the washing in two 1m2f starts on AW/turf; handicaps more suitable
10 (1)	Expert Bear Bay J:Luke Catton(5) T:Stuart Williams	J:Luke Catton(5) T:Stuart Williams	128	h	60	-	49	-	4d	—	—	-1	0.3	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Low-key form in 7f and 1m novices on the AW and at Newmarket; handicaps more suitable

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Alexandretta	11/8	6/4	5/4	11/8	11/8
Fleurir	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Arctic Mountain	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
Motriff	4	9/2	9/2	9/2	4
Endless Power	8	17/2	17/2	8	17/2
Hard Act To Follow	14	12	11	11	12/1
Atlantic Dream	25	20	20	20	20
Dreamrocker	33	28/1	25	25	28
Rapallo	50	28	33	33	50
Shaheen Saqaar	50	40	40	40	50
Nannie Dee	66	66	66	66	66
Brigantes Warrior	80	80	50	66	100
Lite And Airy	100	100	100	100	125
Expert Bear	100	100	100	100	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Alexandretta

23.7

OR: 7.3 Form: 5 Odds: 11.4

6/4

2nd

Fleurir

17.5

OR: 6.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 8.6

—

3rd

Arctic Mountain

6.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

11/4

Motriff

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Atlantic Dream

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1

Endless Power

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Hard Act To Follow

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Rapallo

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Dreamrocker

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Shaheen Saqaar

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Nannie Dee

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Brigantes Warrior

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Lite And Airy

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

125

Expert Bear

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Alexandretta	79	90	—
Fleurir	77	89	—
Arctic Mountain	—	—	—
Motriff	—	—	—
Endless Power	—	81	48
Hard Act To Follow	—	63	—
Atlantic Dream	—	58	—
Dreamrocker	—	—	—
Rapallo	—	—	—
Shaheen Saqaar	—	—	—
Nannie Dee	—	61	—
Brigantes Warrior	—	48	—
Lite And Airy	—	26	5
Expert Bear	—	49	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Expert Bear	4d ago	Quick return
Alexandretta	10d ago	Quick return
Lite And Airy	14d ago	Fit
Nannie Dee	20d ago	Fit
Fleurir	25d ago	Fit
Atlantic Dream	26d ago	Fit
Brigantes Warrior	29d ago	Fit
Endless Power	35d ago	Fit
Hard Act To Follow	41d ago	Fit
Arctic Mountain	—	—
Motriff	—	—
Dreamrocker	—	—
Rapallo	—	—
Shaheen Saqaar	—	—