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Chelmsford (AW)

18:50

Ire-Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (IRE Incentive Race)

Date 2023-07-25
Distance 6f
Class Class 5
Going Standard To Slow
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 2yo
Prize £3,725

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
NR (9)
Invincible Royale
Bay
J:NON-RUNNER
T:David Loughnane
J:NON-RUNNER
T:David Loughnane
 133 — 5
-
-
-
 47d — — -52
20
— —
6 (10)
Macanudo
Bay
J:William Buick
T:Richard Hannon
J:William Buick
T:Richard Hannon
 133 — 422
76
83
-
 10d — — -3
23
0.56/1
9/4
31%
Another forward step from the front last time; holds obvious claims under William Buick
9 (14)
Parkers Piece
Grey
J:Oisin Murphy
T:Michael Bell
J:Oisin Murphy
T:Michael Bell
 133 — 52
-
79
61
 27d — — -7
10
1.13/1
9/2
18%
Drawn wider again tonight for a yard that's endured a quiet season thus far with 2yos
2 (7)
Commander Of Life
Bay
J:Robert Havlin
T:S Woods
J:Robert Havlin
T:S Woods
 133 — 82
-
83
50
 33d — — -5
9
1.38/1
11/2
15%
May ultimately be suited by more of a test but helps set the standard on his latest second
13 (13)
Zipster
Bay
J:James Doyle
T:Simon & Ed Crisford
J:James Doyle
T:Simon & Ed Crisford
 133 — —
-
-
-
 — — — -9
3.6
1.38/1
11/2
15%
Drawn wide on debut but is an interesting newcomer (James Doyle's only ride on the card)
7 (2)
Magic Fluke
Chestnut
J:David Egan
T:Roger Varian
J:David Egan
T:Roger Varian
 133 — 4
-
60
-
 42d — — -7
2.7
1.88/1
15/2
12%
Looked to need the experience on his turf debut six weeks ago; should fare better tonight
11 (3)
St Lukes Chelsea
Bay
J:Rossa Ryan
T:Ralph Beckett
J:Rossa Ryan
T:Ralph Beckett
 133 — —
-
-
-
 — — — -6
2.5
2.25/1
10
10%
78,000gns yearling who's a half-brother to five winners, none on debut; watch the market
3 (11)
Ihopeyoulike
Bay
J:Benoit De La Sayette
T:Ismail Mohammed
J:Benoit De La Sayette
T:Ismail Mohammed
 133 — 56
-
77
-
 39d — — -5
1.7
3.25/1
14
7%
Well held in two runs at big prices and the drop back from 7f isn't sure to help
10 (5)
Skilled Master
Bay
J:Tom Marquand
T:James Tate
J:Tom Marquand
T:James Tate
 133 — 44
-
75
45
 26d — — -8
3.3
3.25/1
14
7%
Did a bit better on turf last time but needs another decent forward step
12 (8)
Test Of Love
Bay
J:Luke Morris
T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt
J:Luke Morris
T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt
 133 — —
-
-
-
 — — — -2
0.7
9.75/1
40
3%
37,000gns yearling who holds a sales race entry in the autumn; the market will guide
1 (4)
Cogsworth
Bay
J:Stefano Cherchi
T:Chris Dwyer
J:Stefano Cherchi
T:Chris Dwyer
 133 — 5
-
75
-
 25d — — -1
0.5
19.75/1
80
1%
Yard just 3-57 with 2yos in recent times; may be one for nurseries over further
8 (6)
Merrimack
Bay
J:Harry Burns(3)
T:Simon & Ed Crisford
J:Harry Burns(3)
T:Simon & Ed Crisford
 133 t 87
-
65
44
 27d — 0W/0P 1 run -1
0.4
16.25/1
66
2%
260,000gns yearling; not much better on Polytrack last time and now goes in a tongue-tie
14 (12)
Babyigotyourmoney
Bay
J:Elle-May Croot(7)
T:Ivan Furtado
J:Elle-May Croot(7)
T:Ivan Furtado
 128 — —
-
-
-
 — — — -1
0.3
37.25/1
150
1%
Stable not noted for 2yos and she's drawn wide under a 7lb claimer on debut
5 (1)
Ludberg
Chestnut
J:George Wood
T:Charlie Wallis
J:George Wood
T:Charlie Wallis
 133 — —
-
-
-
 — — — -1
0.3
37.50/1
150/1
1%
3,000gns yearling who has stamina on the dam's side; trainer best known for older horses
Horse bet365 Unibet Boyle Sports Ladbrokes William Hill
Invincible Royale
 SP SP SP SP —
Macanudo
 2 9/4 2 9/4 9/4
Parkers Piece
 5 7/2 4 9/2 9/2
Commander Of Life
 5 9/2 5 11/2 5
Zipster
 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2
Magic Fluke
 8 7 15/2 8 15/2
St Lukes Chelsea
 10 10 10 10 9
Ihopeyoulike
 14 12 12 12 12
Skilled Master
 14 11/2 9 12 12
Test Of Love
 40 40 40 40 40
Cogsworth
 50/1 80 80 80 80
Merrimack
 66 66 66 66 66
Babyigotyourmoney
 150 100 100 100 100
Ludberg
 150/1 100 100 80 100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Macanudo
23
OR: 6.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 8
9/4
2nd Invincible Royale
20
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 20
—
3rd Parkers Piece
10
OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 5
9/2
4 Commander Of Life
9
OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 4
11/2
5 Zipster
3.6
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6
11/2
6 Skilled Master
3.3
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3
14
7 Magic Fluke
2.7
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7
15/2
8 St Lukes Chelsea
2.5
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5
10
9 Ihopeyoulike
1.7
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7
14
10 Test Of Love
0.7
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7
40
11 Cogsworth
0.5
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5
80
12 Merrimack
0.4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4
66
13 Babyigotyourmoney
0.3
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3
150
14 Ludberg
0.3
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3
150/1

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Macanudo
76
83
 —
Invincible Royale — — —
Parkers Piece —
79
61
Commander Of Life —
83
50
Zipster — — —
Magic Fluke —
60
 —
St Lukes Chelsea — — —
Ihopeyoulike —
77
 —
Skilled Master —
75
45
Test Of Love — — —
Cogsworth —
75
 —
Merrimack —
65
44
Babyigotyourmoney — — —
Ludberg — — —

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Macanudo 10d ago Quick return
Cogsworth 25d ago Fit
Skilled Master 26d ago Fit
Parkers Piece 27d ago Fit
Merrimack 27d ago Fit
Commander Of Life 33d ago Fit
Ihopeyoulike 39d ago Fit
Magic Fluke 42d ago Fit
Invincible Royale 47d ago Fresh
Zipster — —
St Lukes Chelsea — —
Test Of Love — —
Babyigotyourmoney — —
Ludberg — —