Harrington Concrete & Quarries Maiden Hurdle – Ballinrobe

Ballinrobe

17:08

Harrington Concrete & Quarries Maiden Hurdle

Date 2023-07-25

Distance 2m1f5y

Class

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 6yo+

Prize €6,195

Runners (18)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3	Extrapolation Grey J:Danny Mullins T:Richard John Obrien	J:Danny Mullins T:Richard John Obrien	166	—	4-1266	-	127	107	15d	—	—	-18	8	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Not at his best in a Roscommon novice race latest; much respected on his Punchestown run
NR	Scott Lang Grey J:TBC T:Paul W Flynn	J: T:Paul W Flynn	166	p	3-3	-	102	68	—	—	—	-4	8.7	1.25/1	6 17%
Held in a couple of Flat handicaps but a player here if returning to his Punchestown form
6	Stormy Jenn Bay J:Donagh Meyler T:P Cluskey	J:Donagh Meyler T:P Cluskey	159	h	3	-	113	82	15d	—	—	-5	6.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Third in a Roscommon maiden hurdle two weeks ago; hood tried here and has place claims
NR	Casey West Bay J:TBC T:P J Rothwell	J: T:P J Rothwell	158	—	S223/	-	120	-	841d	—	—	+4	10.9	2.50/1	11 9%
Off for over two years and best watched on his debut for Philip Rothwell
2	Clifftop Bay J:Kieren Buckley(3) T:H Rogers	J:Kieren Buckley(3) T:H Rogers	166	t	4/40-4	102	110	86	15d	—	—	+8	14.9	3.25/1	14 7%
Fair run in Roscommon maiden hurdle last time; would not want much more rain
NR	Nevermindestranger Bay J:TBC T:D M Christie	J: T:D M Christie	158	—	1-U883	-	114	66	16d	—	—	+2	8.7	2.75/1	12 8%
Unlikely to be too far away if he can run to the same level here as at Sligo
9	General Maximus Bay J:Phillip Enright T:Brian M Mcmahon	J:Phillip Enright T:Brian M Mcmahon	158	h	82/4-	-	118	42	291d	—	—	-6	2.1	3.25/1	14 7%
Hooded for his stable debut and difficult to know what to expect; likely to improve for it
15	Lodestar Bay J:Cian Quirke(5) T:David Harry Kelly	J:Cian Quirke(5) T:David Harry Kelly	151	t	/7-453	-	106	90	21d	—	—	-3	1.2	6.00/1	25 4%
Needs more on her return to hurdles but enough there to suggest she could improve
10	Gino Drummer Boy Bay J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	158	p	0/5642	104	118	98	12d	—	—	+1	18.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Consistent this year; second at Downpatrick 12 days ago; might not want much more rain
13	Simpletwistoffaith Bay J:Kieran Callaghan(5) T:Patrick J F Hassett	J:Kieran Callaghan(5) T:Patrick J F Hassett	158	—	/445-2	114	128	60	51d	—	—	+6	27.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Second in a Kilbeggan maiden hurdle early last month; big chance if he can reproduce that
1	Blackcastle Storm Black J:Sean Flanagan T:Matthew J Smith	J:Sean Flanagan T:Matthew J Smith	166	ht	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.1	8.00/1	33 3%
Last month's comeback run here should have him fit for this hurdling debut
12	Rohans Successor Bay J:Sam Ewing T:Peter Fahey	J:Sam Ewing T:Peter Fahey	158	—	06/U4	-	111	62	16d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.25/1	10 10%
Plenty to like about his staying on fourth at Sligo last time; could improve and go close
NR	Farewellchancer Chestnut J:TBC T:Gordon Elliott	J: T:Gordon Elliott	158	—	—	-	65	35	12d	—	—	-3	1.2	8.00/1	33 3%
Third reserve; showed little on debut at Downpatrick and best watched
R16	Longagoanfarbehind Grey J:Benjamin P Kennedy(7) T:Seamus Fahey	J:Benjamin P Kennedy(7) T:Seamus Fahey	158	h	3U-P7	-	109	76	15d	—	—	-2	0.7	8.00/1	33 3%
First reserve; midfield finish at Roscommon latest; still awaits a mark and best watched
R17	Mahlermore Bay J:J J Slevin T:Donal Hassett	J:J J Slevin T:Donal Hassett	151	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	8.00/1	33 3%
Second reserve; best watched on somewhat belated debut
5	Lady Leanora Grey J:Peter Carberry T:A J Martin	J:Peter Carberry T:A J Martin	159	—	—	-	103	71	85d	—	—	-1	0.4	49.75/1	200 1%
Down the field on his stable debut after 11 months off at Down Royal in May
8	Dun Ar Aill Bay J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Paul Oflynn	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Paul Oflynn	158	—	P000-	-	62	20	156d	—	—	-1	0.2	62.25/1	250 0%
Nothing to recommend in three maiden hurdles over the winter; makes no appeal
14	Fanta Magic Chestnut J:Robbie Geoghegan(7) T:Norman Lee	J:Robbie Geoghegan(7) T:Norman Lee	151	—	P/08	-	95	69	15d	—	—	-1	0.2	62.25/1	250 0%
Poor Flat mare and little to recommend over hurdles to date; not hard to rule out

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Extrapolation	5/2	2	9/4	9/4	9/4
Scott Lang	6	6	6	5	SP
Stormy Jenn	13/2	6	11/2	6	6
Casey West	10	11	11	10	10
Clifftop	12	14	12	12	12
Nevermindestranger	11	11	11	12	SP
General Maximus	11	14	9	12	12
Lodestar	25	22	25	22	20
Gino Drummer Boy	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3
Simpletwistoffaith	10/3	3	11/4	3	3
Blackcastle Storm	33	28	28	28	28
Rohans Successor	10	9	10	9	9
Farewellchancer	28	33	33	33	33
Longagoanfarbehind	33	33	33	33	33
Mahlermore	33	33	33	33	33
Lady Leanora	200	125	100	125	125
Dun Ar Aill	250	200	200	200	200
Fanta Magic	250	200	200	200	200

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Simpletwistoffaith

27.2

OR: 16 Form: 5 Odds: 6.2

10/3

2nd

Gino Drummer Boy

18.7

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

3rd

Clifftop

14.9

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Casey West

10.9

OR: 0 Form: 9 Odds: 1.9

Scott Lang

8.7

OR: 0 Form: 5.1 Odds: 3.6

Nevermindestranger

8.7

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 1.7

Extrapolation

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8

5/2

Stormy Jenn

6.3

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Rohans Successor

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

General Maximus

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Lodestar

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Farewellchancer

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Blackcastle Storm

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Mahlermore

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Longagoanfarbehind

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Lady Leanora

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

200

Dun Ar Aill

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250

Fanta Magic

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Simpletwistoffaith	114	128	60
Gino Drummer Boy	104	118	98
Clifftop	102	110	86
Extrapolation	—	127	107
Scott Lang	—	102	68
Stormy Jenn	—	113	82
Casey West	—	120	—
Nevermindestranger	—	114	66
General Maximus	—	118	42
Lodestar	—	106	90
Blackcastle Storm	—	—	—
Rohans Successor	—	111	62
Farewellchancer	—	65	35
Longagoanfarbehind	—	109	76
Mahlermore	—	—	—
Lady Leanora	—	103	71
Dun Ar Aill	—	62	20
Fanta Magic	—	95	69

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Gino Drummer Boy	12d ago	Quick return
Farewellchancer	12d ago	Quick return
Extrapolation	15d ago	Fit
Stormy Jenn	15d ago	Fit
Clifftop	15d ago	Fit
Longagoanfarbehind	15d ago	Fit
Fanta Magic	15d ago	Fit
Nevermindestranger	16d ago	Fit
Rohans Successor	16d ago	Fit
Lodestar	21d ago	Fit
Simpletwistoffaith	51d ago	Fresh
Lady Leanora	85d ago	Fresh
Dun Ar Aill	156d ago	Long break
General Maximus	291d ago	Long break
Casey West	841d ago	Long break
Scott Lang	—	—
Blackcastle Storm	—	—
Mahlermore	—	—