RBC Brewin Dolphin Rated Novice Hurdle – Ballinrobe

Ballinrobe

18:08

RBC Brewin Dolphin Rated Novice Hurdle

Date 2023-07-25

Distance 2m1f5y

Class

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €6,785

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7	Calico Bay J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	160	t	31-152	112	119	110	17d	—	—	0	22.2	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Guaranteed a good gallop to bring her into the race this time and it might be enough
5	Katou Bay J:Danny Mullins T:W P Mullins	J:Danny Mullins T:W P Mullins	163	—	3-17	-	121	111	15d	—	—	-12	7.8	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Safe to put a line through her Roscommon run and should do much better here
1	Killeemore Lad Bay J:Cian Quirke(5) T:Andrew Slattery	J:Cian Quirke(5) T:Andrew Slattery	168	—	U04-11	116	117	39	38d	—	—	+7	20.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Stays a bit further and needs to improve a bit more but that's perfectly possible
4	Katherine Bay J:Mr H E Sexton(7) T:Adrian Sexton	J:Mr H E Sexton(7) T:Adrian Sexton	163	—	50-381	111	117	103	19d	—	—	+7	18.3	1.25/1	6 17%
Tipperary winner needs more but does not mind ease in the ground and could go well
2	Lady Of The Vale Chestnut J:Mr A P Ryan(7) T:Andrew Slattery	J:Mr A P Ryan(7) T:Andrew Slattery	168	—	-41225	116	125	91	12d	—	—	+16	29.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Limitations exposed a little in novice company since and may find a couple too good again
3	Thunder Bay J:A P Heskin T:John Patrick Ryan	J:A P Heskin T:John Patrick Ryan	166	—	7/8-51	-	120	94	52d	—	—	-8	3.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Dominated from the front in a Tramore maiden hurdle last month; might find it harder
6	Flidais Brown J:Liam Quinlan(5) T:John Patrick Ryan	J:Liam Quinlan(5) T:John Patrick Ryan	161	—	92-914	109	123	66	36d	—	—	+11	16.1	3.75/1	16 6%
Hard to weigh up and probably the stable second-string here; others look more likely
8	Humanitarian Bay J:Shane Fenelon(7) T:John Joseph Hanlon	J:Shane Fenelon(7) T:John Joseph Hanlon	159	ht	8-3463	107	122	92	27d	—	—	+11	15.5	4.75/1	20 5%
Soundly beaten at Worcester last month and others have more solid claims here

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Calico	11/4	3	3	3	3
Katou	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Killeemore Lad	6	11/2	5	11/2	11/2
Katherine	6	6	6	6	6
Lady Of The Vale	11/2	5	11/2	11/2	11/2
Thunder	13/2	15/2	6	15/2	13/2
Flidais	16	14	14	14	14
Humanitarian	20	20	20	20	18

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lady Of The Vale

29.1

OR: 16.5 Form: 9 Odds: 3.6

11/2

2nd

Calico

22.2

OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

11/4

3rd

Killeemore Lad

20.1

OR: 16.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Katherine

18.3

OR: 15.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

Flidais

16.1

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Humanitarian

15.5

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Katou

7.8

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Thunder

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Killeemore Lad	116	117	39
Lady Of The Vale	116	125	91
Calico	112	119	110
Katherine	111	117	103
Flidais	109	123	66
Humanitarian	107	122	92
Katou	—	121	111
Thunder	—	120	94

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lady Of The Vale	12d ago	Quick return
Katou	15d ago	Fit
Calico	17d ago	Fit
Katherine	19d ago	Fit
Humanitarian	27d ago	Fit
Flidais	36d ago	Fit
Killeemore Lad	38d ago	Fit
Thunder	52d ago	Fresh