Dick Lovett Melksham Handicap – Bath

Bath

16:50

Dick Lovett Melksham Handicap

Date 2023-07-26

Distance 1m6f

Class Class 6

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,245

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (3)	Dirham Emirati Bay J:Tom Queally T:Gary Moore	J:Tom Queally T:Gary Moore	135	tv	980041	60	69	39	14d	—	—	-3	19.2	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Has turned things around in headgear lately, and won over 1m5f here a fortnight ago
5 (9)	Geelong Bay J:Mohammed Tabti(5) T:Paul & Oliver Cole	J:Mohammed Tabti(5) T:Paul & Oliver Cole	132	b	469263	57	72	57	6d	—	—	-4	11.7	0.75/1	4 25%
Placed off today's mark over 1m4f on Thursday and is worth another go over a staying trip
8 (10)	Cloudy Rose Chestnut J:Adam Farragher(3) T:John Berry	J:Adam Farragher(3) T:John Berry	129	—	-71117	54	72	45	21d	—	—	+8	19.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Didn't fire last time but won three in a row over 1m4f in May/June
4 (2)	Beggarman Chestnut J:Tom Marquand T:Hughie Morrison	J:Tom Marquand T:Hughie Morrison	134	p	0-7828	59	75	64	18d	—	—	-6	5.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Second to well-handicapped rival last month but well beaten since; not one to rely upon
7 (4)	Thunder Flash Bay J:Sean Levey T:Ian Williams	J:Sean Levey T:Ian Williams	130	p	23-064	55	63	42	18d	—	—	-5	3.6	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Yet to hit top gear this season but latest run was a step back in the right direction
6 (5)	Silver Bubble Grey J:Liam Wright(7) T:Gay Kelleway	J:Liam Wright(7) T:Gay Kelleway	131	—	-67654	56	78	36	7d	—	—	-4	3.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Ran well over 11.6f here last week and could have untapped potential over this new trip
9 (1)	Hidden Pearl Chestnut J:Faye McManoman T:John Berry	J:Faye McManoman T:John Berry	127	—	42-133	52	72	37	14d	—	—	-4	2.2	3.25/1	14 7%
Holds no secrets from the handicapper but is in good form and has conditions to suit
10 (8)	Urban Forest Chestnut J:Trevor Whelan T:Ed De Giles	J:Trevor Whelan T:Ed De Giles	124	b	789242	49	70	63	14d	—	—	+3	9.4	2.75/1	12 8%
0-24 but went down fighting over 1m5f here a fortnight ago; probably in the mix again
1 (7)	Humaniste Bay J:Taylor Fisher(5) T:Joe Tickle	J:Taylor Fisher(5) T:Joe Tickle	135	—	/5370-	60	78	67	—	—	—	-1	5.7	2.75/1	12 8%
Has won four points since we last saw him under rules but his claims are not convincing
3 (6)	Thahab Ifraj Chestnut J:Connor Planas(5) T:Alexandra Dunn	J:Connor Planas(5) T:Alexandra Dunn	135	—	510/8/	60	-	-	—	—	—	+1	3.1	16.25/1	66 2%
Didn't run badly over hurdles this month; unraced on the Flat since January 2020

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Dirham Emirati	11/4	5/2	11/4	11/4	11/4
Geelong	4	4	4	4	4
Cloudy Rose	6	6	13/2	6	6
Beggarman	7	7	13/2	13/2	13/2
Thunder Flash	9	8	17/2	17/2	17/2
Silver Bubble	12	12	11	12/1	12/1
Hidden Pearl	12	14	11	12	12
Urban Forest	10	12	12	12	12
Humaniste	12	12	11	12	12
Thahab Ifraj	66	50	50	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Cloudy Rose

19.3

OR: 1 Form: 15 Odds: 3.3

13/2

2nd

Dirham Emirati

19.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 10 Odds: 6.7

11/4

3rd

Geelong

11.7

OR: 1.8 Form: 5.5 Odds: 4.4

Urban Forest

9.4

OR: 0 Form: 7.5 Odds: 1.9

Humaniste

5.7

OR: 2.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.7

Beggarman

5.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Thunder Flash

3.6

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Silver Bubble

3.6

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Thahab Ifraj

3.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Hidden Pearl

2.2

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dirham Emirati	60	69	39
Humaniste	60	78	67
Thahab Ifraj	60	—	—
Beggarman	59	75	64
Geelong	57	72	57
Silver Bubble	56	78	36
Thunder Flash	55	63	42
Cloudy Rose	54	72	45
Hidden Pearl	52	72	37
Urban Forest	49	70	63

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Geelong	6d ago	Quick return
Silver Bubble	7d ago	Quick return
Dirham Emirati	14d ago	Fit
Hidden Pearl	14d ago	Fit
Urban Forest	14d ago	Fit
Beggarman	18d ago	Fit
Thunder Flash	18d ago	Fit
Cloudy Rose	21d ago	Fit
Humaniste	—	—
Thahab Ifraj	—	—