Arqana Irish EBF Marwell Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies)

Naas

17:15

Date 2023-07-26

Distance 5f

Class Class 1

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize €29,500

Winning Time 1m 3.76s (slow by 5.66s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Tiger Belle (IRE) Ben Coen · Adrian McGuinness	11/1	Won
2nd	Storm Miami (IRE) Colin Keane · G M Lyons	100/30	0.05
3rd	Indispensable (GB) Chris Hayes · William Haggas	4/1	0.3
4th	Cherry Blossom (IRE) Ryan Moore · A P O'Brien	7/4F	1
5th	Vanity Pays (GB) W J Lee · P Twomey	8/1	1
6th	Brighter (FR) Seamie Heffernan · A P O'Brien	12/1	3.25
7th	Bated Moon (IRE) Declan McDonogh · Joseph Patrick O'Brien	16/1	.5

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (7)	Cherry Blossom Bay J:Ryan Moore T:A P Obrien	J:Ryan Moore T:A P Obrien	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-25	11.8	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Debutante doesn't hold big-race entries but Ryan Moore's selected so has to be respected
6 (3)	Storm Miami Bay J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	128	—	1	-	97	61	18d	—	—	-4	15.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Got up on the post on C&D debut; will appreciate a strongly-run race
5 (6)	Indispensable Bay J:Chris Hayes T:William Haggas	J:Chris Hayes T:William Haggas	128	—	3214	82	94	86	25d	—	—	+6	23.6	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Drop back to 5f should suit but has raced only on a sound surface so far
7 (1)	Tiger Belle Bay J:Ben Coen T:Adrian Mcguinness	J:Ben Coen T:Adrian Mcguinness	128	—	124	90	97	80	21d	—	—	+14	20.4	2.75/1	12 8%
Solid form claims at this trip but possibly vulnerable to improvers
2 (5)	Brighter Bay J:Seamie Heffernan T:A P Obrien	J:Seamie Heffernan T:A P Obrien	128	—	1	-	88	-	106d	—	—	+5	11.9	3.25/1	14 7%
Just beat Vanity Pays on Dundalk debut; looks the type to progress
8 (4)	Vanity Pays Bay J:W J Lee T:P Twomey	J:W J Lee T:P Twomey	128	—	22	-	85	59	93d	—	—	+4	10.4	2.75/1	12 8%
Outstayed here over 6f after forcing much of the pace; back in trip now
1 (8)	Bated Moon Bay J:Declan McDonogh T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	J:Declan McDonogh T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	128	p	190	82	90	68	35d	—	—	+10	14.2	5.25/1	22 5%
Back on softer ground here and cheekpieces fitted but fair bit of improvement needed
NR (2)	Clarita Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Gavin Cromwell	J:NON-RUNNER T:Gavin Cromwell	128	—	27	-	87	68	18d	—	—	+1	4.6	16.25/1	66 2%
Folded quite tamely behind Storm Miami over C&D early this month; questions to answer now

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Cherry Blossom	5/4	11/8	5/4	5/4	5/4
Storm Miami	7/2	10/3	3	3	10/3
Indispensable	4	10/3	7/2	4	9/2
Tiger Belle	12	11	10	12	12
Brighter	14	14	10	12	12/1
Vanity Pays	11	12	12	12	12
Bated Moon	22	20/1	20	20	20/1
Clarita	66	50	50	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Indispensable

23.6

OR: 8 Form: 10.4 Odds: 5.2

9/2

2nd

Tiger Belle

20.4

OR: 10 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.9

3rd

Storm Miami

15.7

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Bated Moon

14.2

OR: 8 Form: 5 Odds: 1.2

Brighter

11.9

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 1.9

Cherry Blossom

11.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 11.8

11/8

Vanity Pays

10.4

OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.9

Clarita

4.6

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Tiger Belle	90	97	80
Indispensable	82	94	86
Bated Moon	82	90	68
Cherry Blossom	—	—	—
Storm Miami	—	97	61
Brighter	—	88	—
Vanity Pays	—	85	59
Clarita	—	87	68

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Storm Miami	18d ago	Fit
Clarita	18d ago	Fit
Tiger Belle	21d ago	Fit
Indispensable	25d ago	Fit
Bated Moon	35d ago	Fit
Vanity Pays	93d ago	Long break
Brighter	106d ago	Long break
Cherry Blossom	—	—