O'Neill & Co. Apprentice Handicap (Div II)

Naas

19:30

Date 2023-07-26

Distance 1m

Class

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €6,195

Runners (18)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
17 (12)	Sioux Princess Bay J:James Ryan(2) T:M D Ocallaghan	J:James Ryan(2) T:M D Ocallaghan	124	—	/6233-	47	66	46	292d	—	—	-5	12.6	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Began to show improvement last autumn, potentially interesting on yard/seasonal debut
NR (10)	Jazz Dreamers Bay J:TBC T:Seamus Fahey	J: T:Seamus Fahey	132	—	-93604	55	70	61	7d	—	—	-5	4.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Best form was two seasons ago on good ground but handled an ease at Killarney last week
4 (11)	Simply Sideways Chestnut J:Sean D Bowen(4) T:Timothy Doyle	J:Sean D Bowen(4) T:Timothy Doyle	136	—	-14634	59	72	56	20d	—	—	-2	9.7	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Gowran winner on seasonal return and holding form quite well since, could be involved
12 (15)	Pallasmore Lass Bay J:Robert Whearty(2) T:Paul W Flynn	J:Robert Whearty(2) T:Paul W Flynn	125	tp	-04038	48	75	63	7d	—	—	-6	5.2	1.75/1	8 13%
0-23, placed four times, went close at Roscommon before lesser display at Killarney
3 (13)	Brewel Hill Bay J:Jack Cleary(4) T:Peter Mccreery	J:Jack Cleary(4) T:Peter Mccreery	140	—	152-97	63	72	59	55d	—	—	-3	5.5	2.50/1	11 9%
Ended last season by going close at Gowran, not too far away at Fairyhouse last month
10 (1)	Singe Anglais Chestnut J:Hugh Horgan(2) T:H D Mcguigan	J:Hugh Horgan(2) T:H D Mcguigan	128	tv	60-254	51	73	58	38d	—	—	-6	2.6	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Five-time winner in Britain, first Irish success could be imminent after three solid runs
5 (17)	Skontonovski Bay J:Adam Caffrey T:Adrian Mcguinness	J:Adam Caffrey T:Adrian Mcguinness	135	v	346379	58	74	61	13d	—	—	-2	5.7	2.75/1	12 8%
Twice out of the money at Leopardstown since third at same venue in mid-June
2 (4)	Morning Approach Bay J:Jessica Maye(7) T:W Mccreery	J:Jessica Maye(7) T:W Mccreery	141	—	0-0496	64	72	57	22d	—	—	-4	6.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Best form has been on a sound surface, will not have conditions to her liking now
11 (9)	The Dazzer Grey J:Jack Kearney(2) T:Patrick Martin	J:Jack Kearney(2) T:Patrick Martin	126	t	700-86	49	76	53	71d	—	—	-6	2.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Now 7lb lower than when winning at Listowel last year, possible each-way chance
6 (8)	Geological Bay J:Amy Jo Hayes(4) T:Damian Joseph English	J:Amy Jo Hayes(4) T:Damian Joseph English	132	—	-00048	55	70	48	7d	—	—	-5	3.8	2.25/1	10 10%
Not a spent force judged on Dundalk run, a bit to find with Jazz Dreamers on Killarney run
8 (7)	Finke River Bay J:Conor Stone-Walsh(4) T:James Mcauley	J:Conor Stone-Walsh(4) T:James Mcauley	131	p	3-0457	54	74	53	19d	—	—	-3	5.3	2.50/1	11 9%
Needs to step up on the form shown on successive days at Bellewstown, cheekpieces on now
15 (18)	Lucky Number Grey J:Cian MacRedmond T:Oliver Mckiernan	J:Cian MacRedmond T:Oliver Mckiernan	124	etb	666-86	47	69	-	14d	—	—	-2	0.9	6.75/1	28 4%
Only win gained in Britain in 2019, not disgraced on seasonal debut at Dundalk
16 (14)	Shawaf Grey J:Dean Curran(4) T:John C Mcconnell	J:Dean Curran(4) T:John C Mcconnell	124	t	7538-0	47	66	52	20d	—	—	-3	1.2	6.00/1	25 4%
Best form on AW, probably needed his seasonal debut at Bellewstown, may improve
14 (16)	Lofoten Bay J:Cian Horgan(7) T:P J Rothwell	J:Cian Horgan(7) T:P J Rothwell	124	tp	008590	47	72	50	11d	—	—	-4	1.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Never better than fifth in ten races for this stable, a great deal to prove at this stage
9 (3)	Estella Bella Bay J:Jamie Powell T:M Halford & T Collins	J:Jamie Powell T:M Halford & T Collins	130	t	007-90	53	71	25	14d	—	—	-1	1.2	16.25/1	66 2%
Held by Singe Anglas on Gowran running, broke slowly and never involved at Dundalk
18 (6)	Von Krolock Bay J:Oisin McSweeney T:Timothy Doyle	J:Oisin McSweeney T:Timothy Doyle	124	b	007556	47	66	57	7d	—	—	-4	1.4	4.75/1	20 5%
Yet to reach the first four but not far off it on his last three starts, place possibility
1 (5)	Drakensberg Chestnut J:Paddy Harnett(2) T:A J Martin	J:Paddy Harnett(2) T:A J Martin	142	t	138-00	65	70	2	13d	—	—	+2	4.2	12.25/1	50 2%
More effective on AW and has failed to make an impact in two turf runs after long absence
13 (2)	Fan Na Tiobratan Bay J:Sean Bird(7) T:Ruaidhri Joseph Tierney	J:Sean Bird(7) T:Ruaidhri Joseph Tierney	124	—	0-0000	47	62	22	11d	—	—	-2	0.6	24.75/1	100 1%
Has struggled in two handicap outings over longer distances, impossible to make a case

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Sioux Princess	9/2	5	7/2	5	5
Jazz Dreamers	8	15/2	15/2	15/2	7
Simply Sideways	13/2	7	13/2	7	7
Pallasmore Lass	8	7	6	7	7
Brewel Hill	11	10	17/2	11	11
Singe Anglais	9	17/2	17/2	9	9
Skontonovski	12	11	17/2	12	12
Morning Approach	6	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
The Dazzer	9	17/2	15/2	9	9
Geological	9	9	15/2	10	10
Finke River	11	10	9	10	10
Lucky Number	28	25	25	25	25
Shawaf	25	22	20	22	22
Lofoten	14	16	12	16	16
Estella Bella	66	66	50	66	66
Von Krolock	20	18	14	18	18
Drakensberg	50	50	50	50	50
Fan Na Tiobratan	100	66	33	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sioux Princess

12.6

OR: 0 Form: 7.6 Odds: 5

9/2

2nd

Simply Sideways

9.7

OR: 2.3 Form: 4.1 Odds: 3.3

13/2

3rd

Morning Approach

6.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Skontonovski

5.7

OR: 2 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.2

Brewel Hill

5.5

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Finke River

5.3

OR: 1 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.2

Pallasmore Lass

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.1

Jazz Dreamers

4.8

OR: 1.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Drakensberg

4.2

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Geological

3.8

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

Singe Anglais

2.6

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

The Dazzer

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Lofoten

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Von Krolock

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Shawaf

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Estella Bella

1.2

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Lucky Number

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Fan Na Tiobratan

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Drakensberg	65	70	2
Morning Approach	64	72	57
Brewel Hill	63	72	59
Simply Sideways	59	72	56
Skontonovski	58	74	61
Jazz Dreamers	55	70	61
Geological	55	70	48
Finke River	54	74	53
Estella Bella	53	71	25
Singe Anglais	51	73	58
The Dazzer	49	76	53
Pallasmore Lass	48	75	63
Sioux Princess	47	66	46
Lucky Number	47	69	—
Shawaf	47	66	52
Lofoten	47	72	50
Von Krolock	47	66	57
Fan Na Tiobratan	47	62	22

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Jazz Dreamers	7d ago	Quick return
Pallasmore Lass	7d ago	Quick return
Geological	7d ago	Quick return
Von Krolock	7d ago	Quick return
Lofoten	11d ago	Quick return
Fan Na Tiobratan	11d ago	Quick return
Skontonovski	13d ago	Quick return
Drakensberg	13d ago	Quick return
Lucky Number	14d ago	Fit
Estella Bella	14d ago	Fit
Finke River	19d ago	Fit
Simply Sideways	20d ago	Fit
Shawaf	20d ago	Fit
Morning Approach	22d ago	Fit
Singe Anglais	38d ago	Fit
Brewel Hill	55d ago	Fresh
The Dazzer	71d ago	Fresh
Sioux Princess	292d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Naas over 1m. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18

Based on 3 draws with historical results at this course and distance.