Doncaster Supports The Development Series Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Doncaster

16:15

Date 2023-07-27

Distance 1m3f197y

Class Class 2

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £27,000

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (5)	Cherry Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	128	—	3-23	85	100	49	24d	—	—	-4	17	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Placed in all three starts but 4-11 when only third last time; needs to turn things around
2 (4)	Shagpyle Brown J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	134	—	12	84	93	82	43d	—	—	+7	26.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Made a winning debut and chased home a nice sort next time; in the St Leger; respected
7 (1)	Sea Theme Bay J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	128	—	3	-	93	22	39d	—	—	-11	8.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Looked in need of this far when third on Salisbury debut; should have learnt from it
3 (2)	Alrashaka Bay J:Jim Crowley T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Jim Crowley T:John & Thady Gosden	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-11	4.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Pedigree makes her one to be interested in on debut, especially if market positive
1 (3)	Lunar Bird Bay J:Jamie Spencer T:David Simcock	J:Jamie Spencer T:David Simcock	134	—	0-1	-	91	80	89d	—	—	+3	12.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Made a winning return at Ripon in April; off since but still open to further progress
NR (6)	Franberri Bay J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Nice pedigree and well worth monitoring in market on belated debut
8 (8)	Wilding Bay J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	128	—	3	-	78	66	19d	—	—	-1	4.4	3.75/1	16 6%
Encouraging third on Carlisle debut but the winner had previously finished behind Shagpyle
6 (7)	Sabriel Bay J:J F Egan T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:J F Egan T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	128	—	5	-	91	39	28d	—	—	-2	0.9	6.00/1	25 4%
Looked in need of the experience on her Nottingham debut, but plenty more will be needed

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Cherry	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	3
Shagpyle	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Sea Theme	10/3	10/3	3	10/3	10/3
Alrashaka	9/2	9/2	4	4/1	4
Lunar Bird	15/2	7	7	15/2	15/2
Franberri	16	14	14	14	14
Wilding	14	16	14	16	14
Sabriel	22	25	25	25	25

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Shagpyle

26.2

OR: 8.5 Form: 12 Odds: 5.7

10/3

2nd

Cherry

OR: 8.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 6.2

11/4

3rd

Lunar Bird

12.7

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Sea Theme

8.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Alrashaka

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Wilding

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.4

Franberri

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Sabriel

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Cherry	85	100	49
Shagpyle	84	93	82
Sea Theme	—	93	22
Alrashaka	—	—	—
Lunar Bird	—	91	80
Franberri	—	—	—
Wilding	—	78	66
Sabriel	—	91	39

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Wilding	19d ago	Fit
Cherry	24d ago	Fit
Sabriel	28d ago	Fit
Sea Theme	39d ago	Fit
Shagpyle	43d ago	Fit
Lunar Bird	89d ago	Fresh
Alrashaka	—	—
Franberri	—	—