50 Days Until The St Leger Handicap – Doncaster

Doncaster

16:45

50 Days Until The St Leger Handicap

Date 2023-07-27

Distance 1m2f43y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £4,397

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (5)	Golden Maverick Bay J:Jim Crowley T:Ian Williams	J:Jim Crowley T:Ian Williams	136	—	116211	75	87	70	7d	—	—	0	41.1	0.28/1	11/10 48%
Won four of last six and 1lb well in under a penalty; holds strong claims once again
6 (7)	Mathematician Bay J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	126	h	066V	65	82	56	16d	—	—	-12	10.4	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Well held in three novices, but may improve for the longer trip on handicap debut
5 (6)	Leap Year Lad Grey Roan J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	129	—	231441	68	84	64	20d	—	—	+10	21.4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Relatively exposed, but seemed to improve for the step up to 1m2f when winning last time
3 (4)	Hondo Bay J:Jason Hart T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Jason Hart T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	135	—	446	74	81	57	30d	—	—	+1	8.1	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Return to a softer surface and longer trip may help, but others are more convincing
7 (3)	Lunacy Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	124	t	0-8461	63	83	65	12d	—	—	-1	5	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Narrowly off the mark at Hamilton 12 days ago; 4lb rise demands more dropping a furlong
4 (2)	Bosc Girl Bay J:Connor Murtagh T:Richard Fahey	J:Connor Murtagh T:Richard Fahey	134	—	3220	73	85	63	13d	—	—	+10	13.7	4.25/1	18 6%
Placed in first three starts, but well beaten on handicap debut; needs to resume progress
2 (1)	Mandega Bay J:Aiden Brookes(5) T:Micky Hammond	J:Aiden Brookes(5) T:Micky Hammond	135	—	318257	74	81	43	10d	—	—	+7	11.9	5.25/1	22 5%
Three wins in France, but out of the frame in both starts in this country; more needed

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Golden Maverick	11/10	11/10	1	1	1
Mathematician	11/4	3	3	3	3
Leap Year Lad	13/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Hondo	10	10	10	10	10/1
Lunacy	12	12	12	12	12/1
Bosc Girl	18	18	18	18	18
Mandega	18	18	18/1	16	22

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Golden Maverick

41.1

OR: 6.3 Form: 21.5 Odds: 13.3

11/10

2nd

Leap Year Lad

21.4

OR: 4.5 Form: 13.6 Odds: 3.3

13/2

3rd

Bosc Girl

13.7

OR: 5.8 Form: 6.9 Odds: 1.1

Mandega

11.9

OR: 6 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.4

Mathematician

10.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

11/4

Hondo

8.1

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Lunacy

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Golden Maverick	75	87	70
Hondo	74	81	57
Mandega	74	81	43
Bosc Girl	73	85	63
Leap Year Lad	68	84	64
Mathematician	65	82	56
Lunacy	63	83	65

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Golden Maverick	7d ago	Quick return
Mandega	10d ago	Quick return
Lunacy	12d ago	Quick return
Bosc Girl	13d ago	Quick return
Mathematician	16d ago	Fit
Leap Year Lad	20d ago	Fit
Hondo	30d ago	Fit