Jebel Ali Racecourse EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) (IRE Incentive Race)

Newbury

18:45

Date 2023-07-27

Distance 7f

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £5,400

Winning Time 1m 27.95s (slow by 5.15s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Clifton Bay (GB) William Carver · Andrew Balding	16/1	Won
2nd	Hot Fashion (GB) Hector Crouch · Ralph Beckett	7/2	2.5
3rd	Quorate (GB) Richard Kingscote · Charles Hills	22/1	.5
4th	Royal Elysian (GB) Daniel Muscutt · James Ferguson	11/8F	3.25
5th	Ephyra (GB) Kyle Strydom · David Menuisier	50/1	1
6th	I Dare You (GB) Georgia Dobie · William Muir & Chris Grassick	28/1	.75
7th	Bramble Jelly (IRE) Finley Marsh · Dominic Ffrench Davis	80/1	1.25
8th	Wren House (GB) David Probert · Andrew Balding	13/2	0.3
9th	Call Me The Breeze (GB) Liam Keniry · Ed Walker	66/1	9.5
10th	Blue Eyed Kate (IRE) Jason Watson · Darryll Holland	4/1	2.5

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10 (7)	Royal Elysian Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	128	—	22	-	92	66	21d	—	—	-18	21	0.31/1	5/4 44%
Runner-up over 6f at Haydock on both starts and she sets a good form standard
11 (6)	Wren House Bay J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-11	4.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Has a useful pedigree; one of two newcomers for good yard; could go well
6 (1)	Hot Fashion Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-11	4.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Bred to have a bright future and she's one to be interested in on debut
1 (3)	Blue Eyed Kate Bay J:Jason Watson T:Darryll Holland	J:Jason Watson T:Darryll Holland	128	—	5	-	81	52	21d	—	—	-9	3.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Promising fifth on debut at Haydock; open to improvement and could be involved
NR (5)	I Love Paris Bay J:George Downing T:Ed Walker	J:George Downing T:Ed Walker	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	4.25/1	18 6%
Dam from useful family; she's likely to improve for this debut outing
4 (8)	Clifton Bay Chestnut J:William Carver(3) T:Andrew Balding	J:William Carver(3) T:Andrew Balding	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	5.25/1	22 5%
Dam South African 1m 2yo Grade 1 winner; fellow newcomer Wren House may be chief yard hope
9 (2)	Quorate Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Charles Hills	J:Richard Kingscote T:Charles Hills	128	—	8	-	63	45	41d	—	—	-6	2.1	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Could be sharper for last month's debut at Goodwood but considerable improvement needed
7 (4)	I Dare You Bay J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.1	6.75/1	28 4%
Half-sister to four winners but she may be one for further down the line
3 (10)	Call Me The Breeze Bay J:Liam Keniry T:Ed Walker	J:Liam Keniry T:Ed Walker	128	—	8	-	56	-	15d	—	—	-2	0.7	9.75/1	40 3%
May have needed her recent debut run at Kempton but a major step forward is needed
2 (11)	Bramble Jelly Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:Finley Marsh T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.7	16.25/1	66 2%
Trainer is having a good season with 2yos and the betting could guide on debut
5 (9)	Ephyra Bay J:Kyle Strydom T:David Menuisier	J:Kyle Strydom T:David Menuisier	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	19.75/1	80 1%
40,000gns yearling; check betting but she will need to be useful to make a winning start

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Royal Elysian	5/4	11/10	5/4	6/5	5/4
Wren House	5	4	5	9/2	9/2
Hot Fashion	5	4	9/2	4	5/1
Blue Eyed Kate	5	11/2	6	11/2	11/2
I Love Paris	18	18	18	18	18
Clifton Bay	22	18	18	16	14
Quorate	9	11	14	14/1	14/1
I Dare You	28	20	22	22	20
Call Me The Breeze	40	40	40	40	40
Bramble Jelly	66	50	50	40	40
Ephyra	66	80	66	50	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Royal Elysian

OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 12.5

5/4

2nd

Wren House

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Hot Fashion

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Blue Eyed Kate

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Quorate

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

14/1

Clifton Bay

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

I Love Paris

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

I Dare You

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Call Me The Breeze

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Bramble Jelly

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ephyra

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Royal Elysian	—	92	66
Wren House	—	—	—
Hot Fashion	—	—	—
Blue Eyed Kate	—	81	52
I Love Paris	—	—	—
Clifton Bay	—	—	—
Quorate	—	63	45
I Dare You	—	—	—
Call Me The Breeze	—	56	—
Bramble Jelly	—	—	—
Ephyra	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Call Me The Breeze	15d ago	Fit
Royal Elysian	21d ago	Fit
Blue Eyed Kate	21d ago	Fit
Quorate	41d ago	Fit
Wren House	—	—
Hot Fashion	—	—
I Love Paris	—	—
Clifton Bay	—	—
I Dare You	—	—
Bramble Jelly	—	—
Ephyra	—	—