Venture Security Handicap – Newbury

Newbury

20:15

Venture Security Handicap

Date 2023-07-27

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £4,527

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (1)	Lunar Landscape Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	131	—	40-054	64	78	66	21d	—	—	-15	11.5	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Strong finish for 4th over 1m here latest; the step up in trip could be just what he needs
4 (3)	Ranger Thunderbolt Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Robyn Brisland	J:Richard Kingscote T:Robyn Brisland	134	—	657-1	67	78	69	21d	—	—	+1	20	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Won over 1m here on handicap debut and he's respected now back up in trip
10 (9)	Chester Tonik Chestnut J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Peter Chapple-Hyam	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Peter Chapple-Hyam	131	—	76-531	64	77	53	84d	—	—	-8	7.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Won at Salisbury in May last time out and could be thereabouts if in same form after break
NR (4)	Expert Witness Bay J:George Rooke T:Sir Mark Todd	J:George Rooke T:Sir Mark Todd	134	t	75053	67	77	51	28d	—	—	-1	10.7	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Close 3rd at Leicester when upped to 1m2f and that form reads well; firmly in calculations
3 (6)	Im Too Tired Bay J:David Probert T:Harry & Roger Charlton	J:David Probert T:Harry & Roger Charlton	135	p	84-54V	68	77	-	16d	—	—	-4	7.8	1.75/1	8 13%
Close fourth on handicap debut on AW and every chance he'll see out this longer trip
8 (8)	Plus Point Chestnut J:George Wood T:Harry Eustace	J:George Wood T:Harry Eustace	132	—	8-98	65	73	40	69d	—	—	-4	6.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Well beaten on all three runs but makes h'cap debut off fairly modest mark; check betting
2 (7)	Peaceful Story Bay J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	136	—	5-437	69	75	65	14d	—	—	-1	7	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Down the field on handicap debut but this step up in trip may suit if she can bounce back
1 (2)	Finn Russell Brown J:Liam Keniry T:Ian Williams	J:Liam Keniry T:Ian Williams	137	—	526-08	70	74	52	14d	—	—	+1	6.4	4.75/1	20 5%
Showed promise last year but well beaten at big odds this summer on both runs for new yard
NR (10)	Roman Art Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Hughie Morrison	J:Hector Crouch T:Hughie Morrison	128	—	0-6509	61	59	29	45d	—	—	-3	5.1	2.75/1	12 8%
Down the field in first two handicaps but things could click at some point
7 (11)	Pretty Peg Bay J:Sam Hitchcott T:Richard Hannon	J:Sam Hitchcott T:Richard Hannon	133	—	556	66	74	21	15d	—	—	+1	5.1	8.00/1	33 3%
The step up in trip could be a plus on handicap debut & she's one to watch in the betting
6 (5)	Mirabello Bay Chestnut J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:J S Moore	J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:J S Moore	134	—	36445V	67	75	45	16d	—	—	+2	5	12.25/1	50 2%
Won two in a row on AW in March but hasn't been in the same form on turf since

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Lunar Landscape	9/4	9/4	5/2	9/4	5/2
Ranger Thunderbolt	10/3	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3
Chester Tonik	5	4	4	4	9/2
Expert Witness	13/2	7	13/2	13/2	SP
Im Too Tired	7	8	11/2	7	7/1
Plus Point	7	7	6	13/2	13/2
Peaceful Story	9	9	17/2	9	9/1
Finn Russell	20	20	14	18	18/1
Roman Art	10	12	9	11	11
Pretty Peg	33	33	18	25	25/1
Mirabello Bay	40	50	28	33	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ranger Thunderbolt

OR: 4.3 Form: 10 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Lunar Landscape

11.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 8

5/2

3rd

Expert Witness

10.7

OR: 4.3 Form: 3 Odds: 3.5

13/2

Chester Tonik

7.9

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Im Too Tired

7.8

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

Peaceful Story

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

9/1

Plus Point

6.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Finn Russell

6.4

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Roman Art

5.1

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Pretty Peg

5.1

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Mirabello Bay

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Finn Russell	70	74	52
Peaceful Story	69	75	65
Im Too Tired	68	77	—
Ranger Thunderbolt	67	78	69
Expert Witness	67	77	51
Mirabello Bay	67	75	45
Pretty Peg	66	74	21
Plus Point	65	73	40
Lunar Landscape	64	78	66
Chester Tonik	64	77	53
Roman Art	61	59	29

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Peaceful Story	14d ago	Fit
Finn Russell	14d ago	Fit
Pretty Peg	15d ago	Fit
Im Too Tired	16d ago	Fit
Mirabello Bay	16d ago	Fit
Lunar Landscape	21d ago	Fit
Ranger Thunderbolt	21d ago	Fit
Expert Witness	28d ago	Fit
Roman Art	45d ago	Fit
Plus Point	69d ago	Fresh
Chester Tonik	84d ago	Fresh