William Hill Epic Value Racing League Race 2 Handicap (Racing League)

Yarmouth

18:00

Date 2023-07-27

Distance 6f3y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £12,885

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (3)	Shobiz Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charles Hills	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charles Hills	135	—	96-312	82	96	88	42d	—	—	-5	13.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
In good form at 6f since latest absence; solid chance under K Shoemark, who is 2-3 on him
NR (5)	Crows Nest Bay J:Ben Curtis T:George Boughey	J:Ben Curtis T:George Boughey	130	—	3113	82	97	71	28d	—	—	+12	28.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Won 6f/5f novices; one-paced 3rd on handicap debut; needs more but still early days
11 (2)	Northern Spirit Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	124	p	321341	76	95	77	6d	—	—	+9	27.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
3-6 in 6f handicaps, off the mark in some style last week; more to do under penalty
1 (4)	Faro De San Juan Bay J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Dylan Cunha	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Dylan Cunha	139	t	307819	86	94	60	32d	—	—	+7	19.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Useful form when 3rd at Doncaster in April; Chester winner in June; good run on the cards
2 (6)	Bernardo Oreilly Bay J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Richard Spencer	J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Richard Spencer	139	—	8-5127	86	95	75	68d	—	—	+2	11.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Solid chance on 6f form in April; found little when last seen in May but can go well fresh
5 (7)	Hectic Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Richard Hannon	J:Marco Ghiani T:Richard Hannon	135	—	8-2607	87	96	60	19d	—	—	+2	11.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Winning 2yo debut (6f); good 7f handicap debut on return; below par on last two starts
3 (12)	Monsieur Kodi Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	136	—	-14413	83	95	88	17d	—	—	+15	22.4	2.25/1	10 10%
Won at 5f and 6f this year; up 3lb for latest win and this is competitive
8 (1)	Dark Trooper Bay J:Ross Coakley T:Ed Walker	J:Ross Coakley T:Ed Walker	131	—	-11383	83	90	33	27d	—	—	+13	19.5	2.75/1	12 8%
Both wins at 7f on AW in January; acts on turf but high in the weights on return to 6f
7 (8)	Rathbone Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	133	p	373725	80	96	76	20d	—	—	+7	13.6	2.75/1	12 8%
Has won on soft; went close at Pontefract in June; return to 6f will suit
12 (9)	Hiatus Bay J:Luke Morris T:Conrad Allen	J:Luke Morris T:Conrad Allen	120	—	461637	72	93	79	43d	—	—	+7	11.8	3.75/1	16 6%
First run on soft when clear winner over 6f in May; not ruled out if ground deteriorates
6 (10)	Bear Profit Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Stuart Williams	J:Callum Shepherd T:Stuart Williams	133	—	13-884	80	92	51	18d	—	—	+5	8.3	8.00/1	33 3%
Both wins on AW; never gone on from close 3rd of 6 on turf at Newmarket last summer
9 (11)	Some Nightmare Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:John Oshea	J:Trevor Whelan T:John Oshea	130	p	-72423	77	94	70	7d	—	—	+13	15.5	9.75/1	40 3%
In good form at 5f and 6f but others look to have better marks to exploit

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Shobiz	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Crows Nest	5	5	9/2	9/2	9/2
Northern Spirit	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2
Faro De San Juan	11/2	5	5	11/2	11/2
Bernardo Oreilly	7	13/2	13/2	13/2	7
Hectic	8	8	17/2	8	8
Monsieur Kodi	10	10	10	10	10
Dark Trooper	12	11	12	12	11/1
Rathbone	12	12	12	12	12
Hiatus	16	16	16	16	16
Bear Profit	33	33	28	33	33
Some Nightmare	33	40	28	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Crows Nest

28.8

OR: 8 Form: 15.9 Odds: 4.9

9/2

2nd

Northern Spirit

27.2

OR: 6.5 Form: 15.5 Odds: 5.2

7/2

3rd

Monsieur Kodi

22.4

OR: 8.3 Form: 12 Odds: 2.1

Faro De San Juan

19.6

OR: 9 Form: 7 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Dark Trooper

19.5

OR: 8.3 Form: 9.5 Odds: 1.7

Some Nightmare

15.5

OR: 6.8 Form: 8 Odds: 0.7

Rathbone

13.6

OR: 7.5 Form: 4.4 Odds: 1.7

Shobiz

13.2

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Bernardo Oreilly

11.9

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Hectic

11.9

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Hiatus

11.8

OR: 5.5 Form: 5.1 Odds: 1.2

Bear Profit

8.3

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Hectic	87	96	60
Faro De San Juan	86	94	60
Bernardo Oreilly	86	95	75
Monsieur Kodi	83	95	88
Dark Trooper	83	90	33
Shobiz	82	96	88
Crows Nest	82	97	71
Rathbone	80	96	76
Bear Profit	80	92	51
Some Nightmare	77	94	70
Northern Spirit	76	95	77
Hiatus	72	93	79

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Northern Spirit	6d ago	Quick return
Some Nightmare	7d ago	Quick return
Monsieur Kodi	17d ago	Fit
Bear Profit	18d ago	Fit
Hectic	19d ago	Fit
Rathbone	20d ago	Fit
Dark Trooper	27d ago	Fit
Crows Nest	28d ago	Fit
Faro De San Juan	32d ago	Fit
Shobiz	42d ago	Fit
Hiatus	43d ago	Fit
Bernardo Oreilly	68d ago	Fresh