Persimmon Homes South Midlands Handicap Chase – Worcester

Worcester

14:50

Persimmon Homes South Midlands Handicap Chase

Date 2023-07-27

Distance 2m7f

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,859

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	Bagheera Ginge Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	165	—	17-PF2	117	126	96	36d	—	—	+4	22	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Second over 2m4f here last month and that form has worked out very well
8	Biowavego Bay J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo Oneill	J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo Oneill	160	—	1PP-13	112	121	75	35d	—	—	+3	20.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Behind Gats And Co on chasing debut but could do a lot better
5	Gats And Co Bay J:Connor Brace T:David Brace	J:Connor Brace T:David Brace	162	tp	7P4-22	114	131	90	35d	—	—	+7	19.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Hasn't really recovered last year's form; probably needs better than recent second
9	Fairlawn Flyer Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Peter Bowen	J:Sean Bowen T:Peter Bowen	154	p	9-P433	106	130	101	18d	—	—	+6	17.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Not at best in recent starts; something to prove but now on a very good mark
3	Tiger Orchid Bay J:Charlie Hammond T:Dr Richard Newland	J:Charlie Hammond T:Dr Richard Newland	163	p	3-6413	115	124	105	17d	—	—	+10	21.7	1.63/1	13/2 13%
C&D winner on chase debut and mistake cost him next time; ground a concern
6	Captain Tommy Bay J:Charlie Todd T:Ian Williams	J:Charlie Todd T:Ian Williams	160	p	6-P126	112	128	110	25d	—	—	+8	18.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Back to form three starts ago and two fair efforts since; realistic claims in this
4	Pottlerath Bay J:Stan Sheppard T:Matt Sheppard	J:Stan Sheppard T:Matt Sheppard	163	tp	3-1114	115	117	99	17d	—	—	+13	20.6	2.25/1	10 10%
Winning run ended with heavy defeat over C&D this month; could bounce back
NR	The Vollan Bay J:Adam Wedge T:L J Morgan	J:Adam Wedge T:L J Morgan	168	p	1777P-	120	126	96	213d	—	—	+15	19.2	4.75/1	20 5%
Four wins last year; ground a concern on return from seven months off
7	Fraternel Bay J:Tom Cannon T:Alan King	J:Tom Cannon T:Alan King	160	—	/P/5-4	112	100	86	64d	—	—	+12	16.9	4.25/1	18 6%
Well beaten in both starts this year after a long absence

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Bagheera Ginge	4	7/2	10/3	7/2	10/3
Biowavego	4	4	4	7/2	7/2
Gats And Co	11/2	11/2	11/2	5	11/2
Fairlawn Flyer	6	6	11/2	11/2	6
Tiger Orchid	6	13/2	13/2	11/2	6
Captain Tommy	6	7	13/2	13/2	13/2
Pottlerath	9	10	10	9	9/1
The Vollan	16	20	20	20	20
Fraternel	18	16	18	16	16

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bagheera Ginge

OR: 16.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

2nd

Tiger Orchid

21.7

OR: 16.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.3

13/2

3rd

Pottlerath

20.6

OR: 16.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.2

Biowavego

20.5

OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

7/2

Gats And Co

19.6

OR: 16 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

The Vollan

19.2

OR: 17.5 Form: 0.5 Odds: 1.2

Captain Tommy

18.6

OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Fairlawn Flyer

17.3

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Fraternel

16.9

OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
The Vollan	120	126	96
Bagheera Ginge	117	126	96
Tiger Orchid	115	124	105
Pottlerath	115	117	99
Gats And Co	114	131	90
Biowavego	112	121	75
Captain Tommy	112	128	110
Fraternel	112	100	86
Fairlawn Flyer	106	130	101

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tiger Orchid	17d ago	Fit
Pottlerath	17d ago	Fit
Fairlawn Flyer	18d ago	Fit
Captain Tommy	25d ago	Fit
Biowavego	35d ago	Fit
Gats And Co	35d ago	Fit
Bagheera Ginge	36d ago	Fit
Fraternel	64d ago	Fresh
The Vollan	213d ago	Long break