Japan Racing Association Tyros Stakes (Group 3) – Leopardstown

Leopardstown

17:47

Japan Racing Association Tyros Stakes (Group 3)

Date 2023-07-27

Distance 7f32y

Class Class 1

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize €29,500

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (5)	Henry Adams Brown J:Ryan Moore T:A P Obrien	J:Ryan Moore T:A P Obrien	131	b	1	-	100	33	—	—	—	-15	21.8	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Ran green when winning debut at Naas; blinkers fitted and could well improve plenty
2 (3)	Devious Chestnut J:Gavin Ryan T:Donnacha Aidan Obrien	J:Gavin Ryan T:Donnacha Aidan Obrien	131	—	168	93	102	85	—	—	—	-6	25.8	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Never really competitive over 6f in Group 2 contests since maiden win; upped in trip now
1 (1)	Chicago Fireball Bay J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	131	—	43	-	97	82	—	—	—	-11	8.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
No stamina doubts after Tipperary third but this likely a tougher task again
NR (2)	Islandsinthestream Bay J:TBC T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	J: T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	131	—	1	-	97	89	50d	—	—	-22	26.3	0.31/1	5/4 44%
Impressed when winning at the Curragh; potentially smart type and should go well here
NR (6)	Mountain Bear Brown J:TBC T:A P Obrien	J: T:A P Obrien	131	—	617	97	103	75	14d	—	—	+1	26.6	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Never landed a blow in July Stakes; longer trip and slower ground here could suit
6 (4)	Saxon Kingdom Bay J:W J Lee T:M C Grassick	J:W J Lee T:M C Grassick	131	—	5	-	81	-	—	—	—	-3	1	6.75/1	28 4%
Plenty to find with Chicago Fireball on Tipperary debut and this looks very ambitious

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Henry Adams	11/8	11/8	5/4	5/4	5/4
Devious	7/4	13/8	7/4	13/8	13/8
Chicago Fireball	3	3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Islandsinthestream	6/5	5/4	6/5	5/4	SP
Mountain Bear	9/4	9/4	17/8	9/4	9/4
Saxon Kingdom	28	22	22	22	28

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mountain Bear

26.6

OR: 11.8 Form: 7 Odds: 7.8

9/4

2nd

Islandsinthestream

26.3

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 16.3

5/4

3rd

Devious

25.8

OR: 10.8 Form: 5 Odds: 10

7/4

Henry Adams

21.8

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 11.8

11/8

Chicago Fireball

8.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Saxon Kingdom

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mountain Bear	97	103	75
Devious	93	102	85
Henry Adams	—	100	33
Chicago Fireball	—	97	82
Islandsinthestream	—	97	89
Saxon Kingdom	—	81	—

Last Run