Romanised Minstrel Stakes (Group 2) – Leopardstown

Leopardstown

18:22

Romanised Minstrel Stakes (Group 2)

Date 2023-07-27

Distance 7f32y

Class Class 1

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €70,800

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
11 (10)	Zarinsk Bay J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	126	—	1-3141	108	125	102	15d	—	—	+5	28.8	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Convincingly landed a 7f Group 3 at Fairyhouse; good chance of stepping up in grade here
10 (8)	Tarawa Bay J:Chris Hayes T:D K Weld	J:Chris Hayes T:D K Weld	126	—	51-242	107	117	98	25d	—	—	+1	19.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Had a couple of these behind when a close second in a Curragh Listed; leading contender
5 (4)	Honey Girl Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	133	—	5-1159	105	119	97	36d	—	—	+5	17.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Not effective last twice at the Curragh and Ascot but prevailing ground gives her a chance
7 (11)	Lord Massusus Brown J:Gary Carroll T:Joseph G Murphy	J:Gary Carroll T:Joseph G Murphy	129	—	13-114	102	111	90	25d	—	—	+5	16.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Came from too far off the pace in a Curragh Listed last time but that was promising
9 (7)	Salt Lake City Bay J:Ryan Moore T:A P Obrien	J:Ryan Moore T:A P Obrien	129	—	015-25	101	108	86	25d	—	—	+4	16.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Behind Tarawa and Lord Massusus here last time; has a bit to find; trip probably not ideal
2 (1)	Power Under Me Bay J:Seamie Heffernan T:G M Lyons	J:Seamie Heffernan T:G M Lyons	136	t	51-561	106	118	68	81d	—	—	+8	16.4	2.25/1	10 10%
Group 3 winner here; stable second string this time but could easily get involved
NR (3)	Montesilvano Bay J:TBC T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	J: T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	129	t	6163-	96	105	82	347d	—	—	+16	20.7	9.75/1	40 3%
Gelded and wears a tongue-tie on his stable debut; weakest of the trainer's challengers
1 (2)	Cosmic Vega Bay J:W J Lee T:M Halford & T Collins	J:W J Lee T:M Halford & T Collins	136	—	51-031	104	118	94	67d	—	—	+10	14.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Ground versatile but needs to find an extra bit to make a serious impact at this level
3 (5)	Real Appeal Bay J:Shane Foley T:Adrian Mcguinness	J:Shane Foley T:Adrian Mcguinness	136	p	4-1452	105	113	67	42d	—	—	+12	14.5	12.25/1	50 2%
Below his best behind Power Under Me in May but much better on good ground here last time
4 (9)	Snapraeterea Bay J:Declan McDonogh T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	J:Declan McDonogh T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	136	p	0/70-8	99	101	79	83d	—	—	+11	12.8	19.75/1	80 1%
Cheekpieces tried here; stable has a stronger contender in Honey Girl
6 (6)	Alexander John Bay J:Nathan Crosse T:Luke Comer	J:Nathan Crosse T:Luke Comer	129	t	6-0780	88	110	69	33d	—	—	+8	9.9	49.75/1	200 1%
Good reason to believe he can win a race but no apparent chance at this level

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Zarinsk	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4
Tarawa	10/3	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3
Honey Girl	11/2	6	6	11/2	11/2
Lord Massusus	6	13/2	13/2	6/1	13/2
Salt Lake City	11/2	11/2	5	11/2	11/2
Power Under Me	10	17/2	9	9	9
Montesilvano	40	28	33	33	33
Cosmic Vega	16	14	14	16/1	16/1
Real Appeal	50	28	33	33	33
Snapraeterea	80	50	40/1	66/1	66/1
Alexander John	200	150	150	150	150

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Zarinsk

28.8

OR: 14.5 Form: 7 Odds: 7.3

9/4

2nd

Montesilvano

20.7

OR: 11.5 Form: 8 Odds: 1.2

3rd

Tarawa

19.7

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4

7/2

Honey Girl

17.4

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Salt Lake City

16.4

OR: 12.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Power Under Me

16.4

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Lord Massusus

16.3

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Cosmic Vega

14.9

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Real Appeal

14.5

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Snapraeterea

12.8

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Alexander John

9.9

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

200

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Zarinsk	108	125	102
Tarawa	107	117	98
Power Under Me	106	118	68
Honey Girl	105	119	97
Real Appeal	105	113	67
Cosmic Vega	104	118	94
Lord Massusus	102	111	90
Salt Lake City	101	108	86
Snapraeterea	99	101	79
Montesilvano	96	105	82
Alexander John	88	110	69

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Zarinsk	15d ago	Fit
Tarawa	25d ago	Fit
Lord Massusus	25d ago	Fit
Salt Lake City	25d ago	Fit
Alexander John	33d ago	Fit
Honey Girl	36d ago	Fit
Real Appeal	42d ago	Fit
Cosmic Vega	67d ago	Fresh
Power Under Me	81d ago	Fresh
Snapraeterea	83d ago	Fresh
Montesilvano	347d ago	Long break