Betfred Handicap – Ascot · The Final Fence

Ascot

16:50

Betfred Handicap

Date 2023-07-29

Distance 1m

Class Class 2

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £32,400

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (4)	Lattam Chestnut J:Ryan Moore T:William Haggas	J:Ryan Moore T:William Haggas	133	—	50-121	95	110	43	30d	—	—	-7	19.3	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Progressive 4yo; came from well back to win at Newcastle; commands major respect
2 (10)	Ghaly Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:Saeed Bin Suroor	J:Oisin Murphy T:Saeed Bin Suroor	140	—	/211-0	102	111	96	38d	—	—	-5	21	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Only midfield in C&D Royal Hunt Cup but previous win worked out well; high on the list
10 (3)	Lowton Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Edward Bethell	J:Hollie Doyle T:Edward Bethell	119	—	311	89	107	81	29d	—	—	+20	31.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
2-3; improved to score at Newcastle last month; retains potential but this is much tougher
5 (7)	Akhu Najla Bay J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	135	—	2/138-	97	109	49	308d	—	—	+7	18.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Well-bred colt; promising last spring; returns from layoff and could still be unexposed
7 (2)	Storm Catcher Bay J:Frankie Dettori T:Simon Pearce	J:Frankie Dettori T:Simon Pearce	125	—	-11472	87	107	84	37d	—	—	+12	22.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Running well on AW but probably better at 1m2f and turf record stands at 0-4
8 (1)	Spirit Catcher Chestnut J:Richard Kingscote T:Charlie Johnston	J:Richard Kingscote T:Charlie Johnston	124	h	2-2287	86	110	93	7d	—	—	+3	16.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Latest run can be ignored (badly hampered); would be dangerous if getting an easy lead
4 (8)	Empirestateofmind Bay J:Jason Hart T:John Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John Quinn	137	b	2-7209	99	111	86	30d	—	—	+9	18.3	2.25/1	10 10%
Beaten narrowly at Newmarket in April but hasn't repeated form; needs to get back on track
3 (9)	Major Partnership Grey J:Kevin Stott T:Saeed Bin Suroor	J:Kevin Stott T:Saeed Bin Suroor	139	t	-95816	101	110	92	21d	—	—	+15	21.5	2.75/1	12 8%
Only sixth of 15 at Sandown last time; yard has more obvious claims with Ghaly
9 (5)	Mr Mistoffelees Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Hughie Morrison	J:Marco Ghiani T:Hughie Morrison	119	—	51-670	89	109	74	37d	—	—	+6	11.4	3.25/1	14 7%
Needs a personal best but had an excuse last time and this drop in trip may suit
1 (6)	Rodaballo Bay J:Jamie Spencer T:G Arizkorreta Elosegui	J:Jamie Spencer T:G Arizkorreta Elosegui	142	—	21-574	104	104	90	147d	—	—	+10	14.9	4.75/1	20 5%
Spanish-trained; ran respectably in Dubai early this year; bit to prove on British debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Lattam	2	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4
Ghaly	9/4	5/2	2/1	2	9/4
Lowton	11/2	7	13/2	13/2	7
Akhu Najla	6	6	6	11/2	11/2
Storm Catcher	13/2	15/2	7	7	15/2
Spirit Catcher	11/2	6	5	11/2	11/2
Empirestateofmind	10	8	8	8	8
Major Partnership	11	12	12	12	12
Mr Mistoffelees	14	14	14	14	14
Rodaballo	20	16	16	16	16

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lowton

31.6

OR: 9.8 Form: 18.5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

2nd

Storm Catcher

22.1

OR: 9.3 Form: 10 Odds: 2.9

15/2

3rd

Major Partnership

21.5

OR: 12.8 Form: 7 Odds: 1.7

Ghaly

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 8

5/2

Lattam

19.3

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 8

9/4

Akhu Najla

18.6

OR: 11.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Empirestateofmind

18.3

OR: 12.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.5

Spirit Catcher

16.1

OR: 9 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Rodaballo

14.9

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Mr Mistoffelees

11.4

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Rodaballo	104	104	90
Ghaly	102	111	96
Major Partnership	101	110	92
Empirestateofmind	99	111	86
Akhu Najla	97	109	49
Lattam	95	110	43
Lowton	89	107	81
Mr Mistoffelees	89	109	74
Storm Catcher	87	107	84
Spirit Catcher	86	110	93

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Spirit Catcher	7d ago	Quick return
Major Partnership	21d ago	Fit
Lowton	29d ago	Fit
Lattam	30d ago	Fit
Empirestateofmind	30d ago	Fit
Storm Catcher	37d ago	Fit
Mr Mistoffelees	37d ago	Fit
Ghaly	38d ago	Fit
Rodaballo	147d ago	Long break
Akhu Najla	308d ago	Long break