Above Newcastle Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

15:55

Above Newcastle Handicap

Date 2023-07-29

Distance 1m4f98y

Class Class 3

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £8,208

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (7)	Flying Frontier Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:James Tate	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:James Tate	131	—	211	91	93	-	36d	—	—	+5	41.5	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Has won his last two & this unexposed 3yo has the potential to be better than opening mark
6 (6)	Chillhi Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	126	—	9-7535	86	98	-	21d	—	—	-8	16.3	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Mixed form on turf this season but 2-2 here and very interesting now back at Newcastle
1 (4)	Savvy Knight Bay J:Ben Curtis T:S Woods	J:Ben Curtis T:S Woods	142	—	8-4814	91	95	74	23d	—	—	+3	13.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Won on Kempton AW two starts ago and could be in the mix on this first run on Tapeta
7 (3)	Alumnus Grey J:Andrew Mullen T:Charlie Johnston	J:Andrew Mullen T:Charlie Johnston	120	v	28-261	80	94	85	30d	—	—	+1	10.2	2.00/1	9 11%
Won with something to spare over C&D in first-time visor; a 6lb rise may not stop him
3 (1)	Think First Bay J:Connor Beasley T:James Tate	J:Connor Beasley T:James Tate	135	—	-45596	95	94	76	16d	—	—	+6	13.2	2.75/1	12 8%
Handed a more realistic assignment than the last twice but not obviously well treated
5 (5)	Wynter Wildes Bay J:Mikkel Mortensen(7) T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Mikkel Mortensen(7) T:Charlie Fellowes	130	p	-47517	79	99	67	31d	—	—	+10	16	3.75/1	16 6%
Has run really well on all three visits here and she's handicapped to have a say
2 (2)	Luckys Dream Chestnut J:Alistair Rawlinson T:B F Brookhouse	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:B F Brookhouse	137	t	54/324	86	95	-	24d	—	—	+7	9.9	6.00/1	25 4%
Went very close two starts ago and won here in 2020 on sole course visit

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Flying Frontier	5/4	11/8	11/8	11/8	11/8
Chillhi	9/4	11/4	5/2	5/2	9/4
Savvy Knight	7/1	7/1	7	7	15/2
Alumnus	9	7/1	9	9	9
Think First	12	11	11	11	11
Wynter Wildes	16	12/1	14	14	14
Luckys Dream	25	22	22	22	22

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Flying Frontier

41.5

OR: 10.3 Form: 19.5 Odds: 11.8

11/8

2nd

Chillhi

16.3

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

11/4

3rd

Wynter Wildes

OR: 7.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1.7

Think First

13.2

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Savvy Knight

13.1

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Alumnus

10.2

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

Luckys Dream

9.9

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Think First	95	94	76
Flying Frontier	91	93	—
Savvy Knight	91	95	74
Chillhi	86	98	—
Luckys Dream	86	95	—
Alumnus	80	94	85
Wynter Wildes	79	99	67

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Think First	16d ago	Fit
Chillhi	21d ago	Fit
Savvy Knight	23d ago	Fit
Luckys Dream	24d ago	Fit
Alumnus	30d ago	Fit
Wynter Wildes	31d ago	Fit
Flying Frontier	36d ago	Fit