Turners Handicap – Newmarket (July)

Newmarket (July)

15:15

Turners Handicap

Date 2023-08-05

Distance 1m4f

Class Class 3

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £10,800

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (2)	Intinso Grey J:Hollie Doyle T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Hollie Doyle T:John & Thady Gosden	129	—	1-73	87	98	25	27d	—	—	-29	36.3	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Still learning but latest AW run was encouraging; has a Group 2 entry over this far
7 (4)	Reina Del Mar Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	130	—	4/7513	78	96	74	21d	—	—	-10	14.3	0.63/1	5/2 29%
C&D winner off 8lb lower; continues to progress but perhaps on a tough mark now
5 (3)	Hasty Sailor Bay J:David Probert T:Sir Michael Stoute	J:David Probert T:Sir Michael Stoute	138	t	70-725	86	94	73	64d	—	—	-4	14.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Has done all his winning on the AW and he's unraced on turf softer than good
NR (5)	Toshizou Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:NON-RUNNER T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	141	—	034847	89	97	74	28d	—	—	+1	14.2	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Has done most of his racing at 7f-1m and 1m4f appeared a stretch last time
1 (1)	Charging Thunder Bay J:William Buick T:David Omeara	J:William Buick T:David Omeara	144	p	559034	92	97	47	14d	—	—	+3	16.6	1.50/1	7 14%
Without a win these past 12 months and hasn't become the easiest to predict
4 (7)	Capital Theory Bay J:Franny Norton T:Charlie Johnston	J:Franny Norton T:Charlie Johnston	140	—	221527	88	94	48	91d	—	—	+10	19.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Off for three months since a rare quiet run; likely contender if back to his best
NR (6)	Howth Bay J:Ray Dawson T:Michael Appleby	J:Ray Dawson T:Michael Appleby	140	h	2-0530	88	96	44	28d	—	—	+8	14.9	3.25/1	14 7%
Overall record of 1-18 and probably vulnerable over this long a trip
6 (8)	Tashi Chestnut J:Daniel Muscutt T:Tom Ward	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Tom Ward	134	—	90-307	82	97	61	15d	—	—	+4	9.5	8.00/1	33 3%
Ex-Irish mare with a record of 1-24; rain is welcomed but that might not be enough

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Intinso	5/2	5/2	9/4	SP	SP
Reina Del Mar	9/4	5/2	9/4	SP	SP
Hasty Sailor	7/2	7/2	10/3	SP	SP
Toshizou	11/2	6	6	SP	6
Charging Thunder	7	11/2	11/2	SP	SP
Capital Theory	7	8	15/2	SP	SP
Howth	14	12	12	SP	SP
Tashi	33	25	25	SP	SP

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Intinso

36.3

OR: 9.3 Form: 7 Odds: 20

5/2

2nd

Capital Theory

19.7

OR: 9.5 Form: 7.5 Odds: 2.7

15/2

3rd

Charging Thunder

16.6

OR: 10.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 4

Howth

14.9

OR: 9.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.9

Reina Del Mar

14.3

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

5/2

Hasty Sailor

14.2

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Toshizou

14.2

OR: 9.8 Form: 0.6 Odds: 3.8

11/2

Tashi

9.5

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Charging Thunder	92	97	47
Toshizou	89	97	74
Capital Theory	88	94	48
Howth	88	96	44
Intinso	87	98	25
Hasty Sailor	86	94	73
Tashi	82	97	61
Reina Del Mar	78	96	74

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Charging Thunder	14d ago	Fit
Tashi	15d ago	Fit
Reina Del Mar	21d ago	Fit
Intinso	27d ago	Fit
Toshizou	28d ago	Fit
Howth	28d ago	Fit
Hasty Sailor	64d ago	Fresh
Capital Theory	91d ago	Long break