Eric Roberts Memorial Nursery Handicap – Doncaster

Doncaster

14:10

Eric Roberts Memorial Nursery Handicap

Date 2023-08-05

Distance 6f2y

Class Class 6

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,768

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (5)	Without Flaw Bay J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Archie Watson	J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Archie Watson	136	—	07441	66	75	57	5d	—	—	-14	27.3	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Convincing winner of soft-ground nursery at Ffos Las on Monday; big chance under a penalty
3 (7)	Tiora Bay J:J F Egan T:Patrick Owens	J:J F Egan T:Patrick Owens	134	p	6352	64	70	57	18d	—	—	-1	14.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Handled the soft ground well when second at Nottingham on nursery debut; in the mix again
8 (1)	Carnaby Princess Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Tim Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Tim Easterby	125	—	575	55	69	48	26d	—	—	-5	3.8	2.25/1	10 10%
Unplaced three times; improvement required now handicapping but it's possible
6 (2)	Fistral Beach Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:George Scott	J:Callum Rodriguez T:George Scott	128	—	655	58	69	46	38d	—	—	-4	4.2	2.75/1	12 8%
Hasn't built on a satisfactory debut; needs to improve for this much softer ground
1 (10)	Goodeveningmrbond Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Jack Jones	J:Dylan Hogan T:Jack Jones	137	t	390	67	69	60	30d	—	—	-3	9.3	2.50/1	11 9%
Disappointing twice since third on debut but returning to soft ground could help
7 (3)	Willowbank Chestnut J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charlie Fellowes	126	h	760	56	66	-	24d	—	—	-44	21.5	2.75/1	12 8%
Standout run came on only AW outing; finished last on latest start; questions to answer
NR (8)	Justahunch Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Darryll Holland	J:Cam Hardie T:Darryll Holland	132	—	446	62	69	55	24d	—	—	-3	5.4	2.75/1	12 8%
Unplaced in two maidens and a novice; needs to have improved for recent gelding operation
10 (11)	Swiftly Bay J:Laura Pearson T:Richard Fahey	J:Laura Pearson T:Richard Fahey	119	—	677	49	67	48	14d	—	—	-4	1.6	4.25/1	18 6%
Poor form in three runs, including over C&D; needs a big step forward on nursery debut
9 (9)	Miss Rainstorm Bay J:James Sullivan T:Tracy Waggott	J:James Sullivan T:Tracy Waggott	123	—	0906	53	70	61	24d	—	—	-3	2.3	4.75/1	20 5%
Seemed beaten fair and square in Catterick nursery last month; step up to 6f needs to help
5 (4)	Whatwouldiknow Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	129	—	9758	59	68	47	23d	—	—	-2	3.8	6.75/1	28 4%
Big prices all starts; could improve now handicapping; stable won this 12 months ago
11 (6)	Macedonian King Bay J:Royston Ffrench T:Amy Murphy	J:Royston Ffrench T:Amy Murphy	115	b	7478	45	56	45	18d	—	—	-9	3.5	12.25/1	50 2%
Beaten at least 14l every outing, including in blinkers; hard to recommend

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Without Flaw	11/8	11/10	11/10	6/5	6/5
Tiora	9/2	5	5	11/2	5
Carnaby Princess	10	10	10	10	10
Fistral Beach	12	10	11	12	11
Goodeveningmrbond	11	10	10	11	10
Willowbank	12	11	11	11	11
Justahunch	9	11	11	12	11
Swiftly	18	16	16	16	16
Miss Rainstorm	20	16	16	16	16
Whatwouldiknow	28	16	16	16	16
Macedonian King	33	40	40	50	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Without Flaw

27.3

OR: 4 Form: 10 Odds: 13.3

11/8

2nd

Willowbank

21.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 20

3rd

Tiora

14.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Goodeveningmrbond

9.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.5

Justahunch

5.4

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Fistral Beach

4.2

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Carnaby Princess

3.8

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.6

Whatwouldiknow

3.8

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Macedonian King

3.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.5

Miss Rainstorm

2.3

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Swiftly

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Goodeveningmrbond	67	69	60
Without Flaw	66	75	57
Tiora	64	70	57
Justahunch	62	69	55
Whatwouldiknow	59	68	47
Fistral Beach	58	69	46
Willowbank	56	66	—
Carnaby Princess	55	69	48
Miss Rainstorm	53	70	61
Swiftly	49	67	48
Macedonian King	45	56	45

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Without Flaw	5d ago	Quick return
Swiftly	14d ago	Fit
Tiora	18d ago	Fit
Macedonian King	18d ago	Fit
Whatwouldiknow	23d ago	Fit
Willowbank	24d ago	Fit
Justahunch	24d ago	Fit
Miss Rainstorm	24d ago	Fit
Carnaby Princess	26d ago	Fit
Goodeveningmrbond	30d ago	Fit
Fistral Beach	38d ago	Fit