Kempton (AW)

19:00

Unibet/British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div II)

Date 2023-08-09
Distance 7f
Class Class 4
Going Standard To Slow
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 2yo
Prize £5,346

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
4 (7)
Important Role
Brown
J:William Buick
T:Charlie Appleby
J:William Buick
T:Charlie Appleby
133
-
-
-
-32
16.3
0.23/1
10/11
52%
Much respected on debut for stable with such a good record with 2yo newcomers
1 (2)
Crimson Road
Bay
J:Kieran Shoemark
T:Simon & Ed Crisford
J:Kieran Shoemark
T:Simon & Ed Crisford
133 4
-
76
-
42d -14
5.7
0.88/1
7/2
22%
Fourth on his Salisbury debut in June; may appreciate further but still enters reckoning
2 (1)
Ebts Guard
Bay
J:P J McDonald
T:William Muir & Chris Grassick
J:P J McDonald
T:William Muir & Chris Grassick
133 65
-
74
-
53d -8
3.3
1.88/1
15/2
12%
Showed some ability in two starts at Leicester in June; may be one for nurseries
10 (9)
Tasmanian Legend
Bay
J:Daniel Muscutt
T:James Ferguson
J:Daniel Muscutt
T:James Ferguson
133 57
-
73
-
18d -6
2.2
2.00/1
9
11%
Some promise on his debut, but didn't improve next time; half-brother to two AW winners
7 (6)
Royal Tapestry
Brown
J:Richard Kingscote
T:Charlie Johnston
J:Richard Kingscote
T:Charlie Johnston
133
-
-
-
-4
1.4
4.75/1
20
5%
Enough to like on pedigree and stable often gets them ready first time
9 (4)
Swift Victory
Chestnut
J:Tom Marquand
T:James Tate
J:Tom Marquand
T:James Tate
133
-
59
-
26d -3
1
6.00/1
25
4%
Last of ten on his Newmarket debut last month; needs to find a good deal more
11 (5)
Test Of Love
Bay
J:Luke Morris
T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt
J:Luke Morris
T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt
133 05
-
71
38
6d -4
1.4
6.00/1
25
4%
Out of the frame in both starts but has shown enough to suggest he could figure
8 (11)
Savvy Kingdom
Bay
J:Robert Havlin
T:S Woods
J:Robert Havlin
T:S Woods
133 30
-
77
-
18d 0
2.9
8.00/1
33
3%
Promising third on Windsor debut, but disappointing at Newbury; drawn widest
3 (3)
Imminent Victory
Bay
J:David Egan
T:Patrick Owens
J:David Egan
T:Patrick Owens
133
-
-
-
-1
0.5
16.25/1
66
2%
Pedigree suggests he may come into his own over further
6 (10)
Pagan King
Bay
J:Rob Hornby
T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady
J:Rob Hornby
T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady
133
-
-
-
-1
0.2
37.25/1
150
1%
Stable not known for winning 2yo newcomers
5 (8)
Muy Barato
Bay
J:Paddy Bradley(3)
T:Simon Dow
J:Paddy Bradley(3)
T:Simon Dow
133
-
-
-
-1
0.2
62.25/1
250
0%
Would be a very rare winning 2yo newcomer for the stable
Horse bet365 William Hill Unibet Boyle Sports Ladbrokes
Important Role
10/11 10/11 10/11 10/11 10/11
Crimson Road
10/3 10/3 7/2 7/2 7/2
Ebts Guard
15/2 13/2 15/2 7 15/2
Tasmanian Legend
9 9 9 9 9
Royal Tapestry
20 16 16 16 16
Swift Victory
22 22 25 22 22
Test Of Love
22 22/1 25 22 22
Savvy Kingdom
33 28 28 28 28
Imminent Victory
66 40 40 40 40
Pagan King
150 125/1 125/1 100 100
Muy Barato
250 150/1 125/1 125/1 80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Important Role
16.3
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 16.3
10/11
2nd Crimson Road
5.7
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7
7/2
3rd Ebts Guard
3.3
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3
15/2
4 Savvy Kingdom
2.9
OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.8
33
5 Tasmanian Legend
2.2
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2
9
6 Royal Tapestry
1.4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4
20
7 Test Of Love
1.4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4
25
8 Swift Victory
1
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1
25
9 Imminent Victory
0.5
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5
66
10 Pagan King
0.2
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2
150
11 Muy Barato
0.2
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2
250

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Important Role
Crimson Road
76
Ebts Guard
74
Tasmanian Legend
73
Royal Tapestry
Swift Victory
59
Test Of Love
71
38
Savvy Kingdom
77
Imminent Victory
Pagan King
Muy Barato

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Test Of Love 6d ago Quick return
Tasmanian Legend 18d ago Fit
Savvy Kingdom 18d ago Fit
Swift Victory 26d ago Fit
Crimson Road 42d ago Fit
Ebts Guard 53d ago Fresh
Important Role
Royal Tapestry
Imminent Victory
Pagan King
Muy Barato

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.