Betfred 'Play Fred's £5 Million' Handicap (London Mile Series Qualifier)

Haydock

14:25

Date 2023-08-12

Distance 1m37y

Class Class 3

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £16,200

Runners (16)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
7 (12)	Poet Master b J:Sam James T:K R Burke	J:Sam James T:K R Burke	132	—	11	92	104	58	36d	—	—	+12	34.2	5/2 29%
2-2 and this fine prospect has the potential to be better than his opening mark
3 (13)	Isle Of Jura b J:Callum Shepherd T:George Scott	J:Callum Shepherd T:George Scott	137	—	5-7411	97	102	86	14d	—	—	+1	16.2	11/2 15%
Very easy wins in both handicaps; has shot up the weights but he's improving fast
2 (6)	Hafeet Alain b J:Connor Planas(5) T:Ed Walker	J:Connor Planas(5) T:Ed Walker	139	—	506412	92	101	92	21d	—	—	+15	25.6	15/2 12%
Front-runner; in top form at Newmarket the last twice and could make another bold bid
14 (4)	Kathab br J:Jim Crowley T:William Haggas	J:Jim Crowley T:William Haggas	125	—	2351	85	96	58	33d	—	—	+14	24.6	15/2 12%
Ripon maiden winner; in top hands to progress and respected on handicap debut
13 (5)	Bodorgan gr J:Clifford Lee T:Charles Hills	J:Clifford Lee T:Charles Hills	125	—	31-576	85	98	84	30d	—	—	+2	11.4	17/2 11%
Unplaced in three fast-ground handicaps this year; perhaps a slower surface will help
5 (10)	Helm Rock b J:Richard Kingscote T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:Richard Kingscote T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	135	t	032446	88	98	83	16d	—	—	+5	14	10 10%
Won over C&D last September and he's on a handy mark, but return to peak form is needed
NR (14)	Sudden Ambush b J:NON-RUNNER T:Andrew Balding	J:NON-RUNNER T:Andrew Balding	126	t	125161	86	99	-	42d	—	—	+20	27.1	14 7%
Has won two of his last three; this is tougher but he's a progressive 3yo
4 (11)	Fantastic Fox ch J:Andrea Atzeni T:Roger Varian	J:Andrea Atzeni T:Roger Varian	136	b	0-4555	89	102	90	39d	—	—	+5	11.5	12 8%
Won this two years ago and is dropping down the weights but it's been a below-par campaign
1 (2)	Dawn Of Liberation b J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	140	—	7-0400	93	99	65	28d	—	—	+7	12.1	20 5%
Something to prove after last two runs but he's down in grade here and is not written off
NR (1)	Harswell Duke b J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	132	—	3-8107	85	100	69	7d	—	—	+7	12.2	20 5%
Won the Spring Mile at Doncaster in April but he's failed to shine on his two runs since
15 (15)	Freedom Day b J:Jason Hart T:Mark Walford	J:Jason Hart T:Mark Walford	124	—	64-1	84	94	84	124d	—	—	+14	20.1	20 5%
Won at Redcar in April on third and final run for the Gosdens; interesting on stable debut
16 (8)	Starshiba b J:Jason Watson T:David Omeara	J:Jason Watson T:David Omeara	124	v	4103F1	77	98	51	14d	—	—	+17	20.1	25 4%
Six-time AW winner who is 0-21 on turf but has a lower grass mark and is not ruled out
10 (9)	The Turpinator b J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Grant Tuer	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Grant Tuer	130	—	63-978	83	98	67	7d	—	—	+6	9.1	28 4%
Soft ground may not have suited on two of last three starts; encouraging run in between
9 (3)	Diamondonthehill b J:Callum Rodriguez T:Michael Dods	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Michael Dods	132	—	9-8631	85	97	82	59d	—	—	+6	9.6	33 3%
Better than ever at Yarmouth last time but needs another career best in this hotter race
11 (16)	Billyb b J:Oisin Orr T:Ann Duffield	J:Oisin Orr T:Ann Duffield	130	—	1-7969	83	99	81	57d	—	—	+13	16.1	40 3%
Below last winning mark but has struggled to get competitive this season
6 (7)	System b J:Hector Crouch T:Richard Hannon	J:Hector Crouch T:Richard Hannon	133	—	2510-0	86	102	96	11d	—	—	+7	9.6	40 3%
On a good mark on last year's best form but well beaten on sole outing this season

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Poet Master	5/2	5/2	3	5/2	5/2
Isle Of Jura	11/2	11/2	4	5	5
Hafeet Alain	15/2	15/2	7	7	7
Kathab	15/2	7	13/2	13/2	7
Bodorgan	9	17/2	8	8	17/2
Helm Rock	10	9	8	9	10
Sudden Ambush	14	10	10	10	10
Fantastic Fox	12	12	12	11	12
Dawn Of Liberation	20	20	20	20	20
Harswell Duke	20	18	14	16	18
Freedom Day	20	20	18	12	20
Starshiba	25	25	25	25	25
The Turpinator	28	28	22	25	25
Diamondonthehill	33	28	25	28	28
Billyb	40	40	40	40	40
System	40	40	33	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Poet Master

34.2

OR: 10.5 Form: 17 Odds: 6.7

5/2

2nd

Sudden Ambush

27.1

OR: 9 Form: 16 Odds: 2.1

3rd

Hafeet Alain

25.6

OR: 10.5 Form: 12 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Kathab

24.6

OR: 8.8 Form: 13 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Freedom Day

20.1

OR: 8.5 Form: 10 Odds: 1.6

Starshiba

20.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 12.5 Odds: 0.9

Isle Of Jura

16.2

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Billyb

16.1

OR: 8.3 Form: 7 Odds: 0.9

Helm Rock

OR: 9.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.4

Harswell Duke

12.2

OR: 8.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.4

Dawn Of Liberation

12.1

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Fantastic Fox

11.5

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Bodorgan

11.4

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Diamondonthehill

9.6

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

System

9.6

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

The Turpinator

9.1

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Isle Of Jura Top Rated	97	102	86
Dawn Of Liberation	93	99	65
Poet Master	92	104	58
Hafeet Alain	92	101	92
Fantastic Fox	89	102	90
Helm Rock	88	98	83
Sudden Ambush	86	99	—
System	86	102	96
Kathab	85	96	58
Bodorgan	85	98	84
Harswell Duke	85	100	69
Diamondonthehill	85	97	82
Freedom Day	84	94	84
The Turpinator	83	98	67
Billyb	83	99	81
Starshiba	77	98	51

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Harswell Duke	7d ago	Quick return
The Turpinator	7d ago	Quick return
System	11d ago	Quick return
Isle Of Jura	14d ago	Fit
Starshiba	14d ago	Fit
Helm Rock	16d ago	Fit
Hafeet Alain	21d ago	Fit
Dawn Of Liberation	28d ago	Fit
Bodorgan	30d ago	Fit
Kathab	33d ago	Fit
Poet Master	36d ago	Fit
Fantastic Fox	39d ago	Fit
Sudden Ambush	42d ago	Fit
Billyb	57d ago	Fresh
Diamondonthehill	59d ago	Fresh
Freedom Day	124d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Hafeet Alain	Front Runner
Starshiba	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 16 runners classified.