Aspall Premier Cru Handicap – Newmarket (July)

Newmarket (July)

16:15

Aspall Premier Cru Handicap

Date 2023-08-12

Distance 7f

Class Class 2

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £13,500

Winning Time 1m 24.42s (slow by 1.32s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Gweedore (GB) William Pyle · Katie Scott	11/2	Won
2nd	Master Richard (GB) Daniel Tudhope · Ann Duffield	10/1	.5
3rd	Parlando (GB) David Probert · Ian Williams	12/1	0.3
4th	Another Investment (IRE) Jack Mitchell · Nigel Tinkler	17/2	2
5th	Lethal Levi (GB) Brandon Wilkie · K R Burke	9/2	.75
6th	Thunder Ball (GB) Mohammed Tabti · Paul & Oliver Cole	4/1F	0.3
7th	Sir Winston (IRE) David Egan · Roger Varian	13/2	.75
8th	First Folio (GB) Adam Farragher · James Ferguson	18/1	0.1
9th	Urban Sprawl (GB) William Buick · Charlie Johnston	9/2	1.25

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (9)	Lethal Levi Bay J:Brandon Wilkie(7) T:K R Burke	J:Brandon Wilkie(7) T:K R Burke	140	—	-02035	98	107	74	14d	—	—	+6	19.6	1.13/1	9/2 18%
High-class sprinter, 2-3 over 6f here; sole 7f run as 2yo; tough against progressive types
8 (2)	Sir Winston Bay J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	129	—	-02121	87	109	82	46d	—	—	+18	33.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Progressive at 7f on fast ground; up 6lb for latest Brighton win in less competitive race
10 (4)	Thunder Ball Chestnut J:Mohammed Tabti(5) T:Paul & Oliver Cole	J:Mohammed Tabti(5) T:Paul & Oliver Cole	129	—	32-014	93	106	71	51d	—	—	+1	14.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Major improvement to win 7f novice; nothing between him and Urban Sprawl on 1m form since
9 (11)	Urban Sprawl Chestnut J:William Buick T:Charlie Johnston	J:William Buick T:Charlie Johnston	129	—	231936	93	105	83	44d	—	—	+7	20.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Two fine efforts in 7f and 1m handicaps this year; latest run may have come too soon
2 (8)	Gweedore Bay J:William Pyle(7) T:Katie Scott	J:William Pyle(7) T:Katie Scott	139	—	902631	97	105	82	21d	—	—	+17	28.7	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Prolific winner at 7f and 1m, latest when dead-heating in July; more to do this time
NR (6)	Final Watch Bay J:Neil Callan T:William Stone	J:Neil Callan T:William Stone	130	—	-48216	88	109	92	21d	—	—	+9	22.8	1.75/1	8 13%
Dual C&D winner on good to soft and good; 2lb higher than latest in July; excuse since
5 (1)	Master Richard Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:Ann Duffield	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Ann Duffield	132	—	219-10	90	106	55	86d	—	—	+4	12.5	2.00/1	9 11%
Front-runs; has won at 1m (good to firm) and 7f (AW); off since May; career-high mark
4 (5)	Another Investment Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Jack Mitchell T:Nigel Tinkler	132	—	083518	90	105	92	29d	—	—	+12	20.3	2.25/1	10 10%
Impressive 7f winner at York two starts ago but struggled off 11lb higher mark next time
NR (7)	Amber Island Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:David Loughnane	J:Rossa Ryan T:David Loughnane	130	p	-74901	88	103	92	67d	—	—	+11	22.9	3.25/1	14 7%
Had limited chances on turf so may yet improve on 7f win at Leicester in June
3 (3)	First Folio Grey J:Adam Farragher(3) T:James Ferguson	J:Adam Farragher(3) T:James Ferguson	139	p	55-400	97	107	55	49d	—	—	+6	13.9	2.50/1	11 9%
Smart at 6f when on song; question mark about form this year; has 7f form on AW
11 (10)	Parlando Bay J:David Probert T:Ian Williams	J:David Probert T:Ian Williams	127	—	1/2-	85	100	-	549d	—	—	+17	22.1	3.75/1	16 6%
Winning 7f debut for C Appleby; close up on AW in February 2022; off since; sold £105,000

Horse	bet365	Coral
Lethal Levi	9/2	9/2
Sir Winston	9/2	9/2
Thunder Ball	11/2	9/2
Urban Sprawl	11/2	11/2
Gweedore	6	13/2
Final Watch	8	8
Master Richard	9	9
Another Investment	9	10
Amber Island	14	12
First Folio	11	11
Parlando	16	16

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sir Winston

33.7

OR: 9.3 Form: 20 Odds: 4.4

9/2

2nd

Gweedore

28.7

OR: 11.8 Form: 13.6 Odds: 3.3

13/2

3rd

Amber Island

22.9

OR: 9.5 Form: 10 Odds: 3.4

Final Watch

22.8

OR: 9.5 Form: 9.5 Odds: 3.8

Parlando

22.1

OR: 8.8 Form: 12 Odds: 1.4

Another Investment

20.3

OR: 10 Form: 7.9 Odds: 2.4

Urban Sprawl

20.1

OR: 10.8 Form: 5.7 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Lethal Levi

19.6

OR: 12 Form: 3.6 Odds: 4

9/2

Thunder Ball

14.8

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

First Folio

13.9

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Master Richard

12.5

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lethal Levi	98	107	74
Gweedore	97	105	82
First Folio	97	107	55
Thunder Ball	93	106	71
Urban Sprawl	93	105	83
Master Richard	90	106	55
Another Investment	90	105	92
Final Watch	88	109	92
Amber Island	88	103	92
Sir Winston	87	109	82
Parlando	85	100	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lethal Levi	14d ago	Fit
Gweedore	21d ago	Fit
Final Watch	21d ago	Fit
Another Investment	29d ago	Fit
Urban Sprawl	44d ago	Fit
Sir Winston	46d ago	Fresh
First Folio	49d ago	Fresh
Thunder Ball	51d ago	Fresh
Amber Island	67d ago	Fresh
Master Richard	86d ago	Fresh
Parlando	549d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Master Richard	Front Runner
Parlando	Prominent

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 11 runners classified.