Aspall Blush Cyder Nursery Handicap (Jockey Club Grassroots Nursery Series)

Newmarket (July)

14:30

Date 2023-08-12

Distance 7f

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £8,100

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (1)	Lady Wulfrun Bay J:William Buick T:Andrew Balding	J:William Buick T:Andrew Balding	127	—	743	71	86	68	45d	—	—	-9	15.5	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Has improved with each of her three runs and was beaten less than 2l at Carlisle
6 (10)	Sleven Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	131	—	552	75	82	55	22d	—	—	-1	16.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Just the type to pay his way in nurseries and stepping up to 7f looks a good move
NR (8)	Marroof Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Richard Hannon	J:NON-RUNNER T:Richard Hannon	125	—	3398	69	84	64	9d	—	—	-29	27	—	—
Non-runner
7 (2)	Phoenix Duchess Grey J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Harry Eustace	J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Harry Eustace	128	—	5843	72	85	72	21d	—	—	-2	12.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
First run over 7f when third to a good filly in a recent course maiden; interesting
2 (9)	Parkers Piece Grey J:Neil Callan T:Michael Bell	J:Neil Callan T:Michael Bell	134	—	523	78	80	21	18d	—	—	+4	17.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Placed in last two qualifying runs on AW but not thrown in for his handicap debut
1 (4)	Miss Roberts Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Ed Walker	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Ed Walker	135	—	246	79	80	61	42d	—	—	+3	12.3	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Best run was first time out; bit risky here burdened with top weight on nursery debut
3 (5)	Biloxi Boy Bay J:Brandon Wilkie(7) T:K R Burke	J:Brandon Wilkie(7) T:K R Burke	132	—	3145	76	84	73	28d	—	—	+8	14	3.25/1	14 7%
Getting back on fast ground may help but it's hard to call him well handicapped
5 (6)	Quickfire Bay J:David Egan T:Ed Walker	J:David Egan T:Ed Walker	131	—	7518	75	79	47	29d	—	—	+10	14.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Rain-hit conditions were perhaps a factor in his disappointing nursery debut at Ascot
9 (3)	Magic Light Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:Richard Hannon	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Richard Hannon	127	—	428	71	79	71	19d	—	—	+6	10	3.75/1	16 6%
Shown ability; there's stamina in her pedigree and 7f should suit now handicapping
4 (7)	Persian Phoenix Grey Roan J:Franny Norton T:Charlie Johnston	J:Franny Norton T:Charlie Johnston	132	—	5214	76	79	26	29d	—	—	+13	17.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Made all on the AW and soft ground perhaps not ideal on nursery debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Lady Wulfrun	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4
Sleven	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2
Marroof	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Phoenix Duchess	11/2	5	5	5	5
Parkers Piece	13/2	6	13/2	13/2	13/2
Miss Roberts	9	8	9	17/2	17/2
Biloxi Boy	14	14	14	14	14
Quickfire	16	16	14	16	16
Magic Light	16	16	16	16	16
Persian Phoenix	22/1	22	22	22	22

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Marroof

OR: 4.8 Form: 2.4 Odds: 19.8

—

2nd

Parkers Piece

17.1

OR: 7 Form: 6.5 Odds: 3.6

13/2

3rd

Persian Phoenix

17.1

OR: 6.5 Form: 9.5 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Sleven

16.5

OR: 6.3 Form: 5 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Lady Wulfrun

15.5

OR: 5.3 Form: 3 Odds: 7.3

9/4

Quickfire

14.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1.4

Biloxi Boy

OR: 6.5 Form: 5.9 Odds: 1.6

Phoenix Duchess

12.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 3 Odds: 4

11/2

Miss Roberts

12.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Magic Light

OR: 5.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Miss Roberts	79	80	61
Parkers Piece	78	80	21
Biloxi Boy	76	84	73
Persian Phoenix	76	79	26
Sleven	75	82	55
Quickfire	75	79	47
Phoenix Duchess	72	85	72
Lady Wulfrun	71	86	68
Magic Light	71	79	71
Marroof	69	84	64

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Marroof	9d ago	Quick return
Parkers Piece	18d ago	Fit
Magic Light	19d ago	Fit
Phoenix Duchess	21d ago	Fit
Sleven	22d ago	Fit
Biloxi Boy	28d ago	Fit
Quickfire	29d ago	Fit
Persian Phoenix	29d ago	Fit
Miss Roberts	42d ago	Fit
Lady Wulfrun	45d ago	Fit