Aspall Suffolk Draught Cyder Handicap – Newmarket (July)

Newmarket (July)

15:05

Aspall Suffolk Draught Cyder Handicap

Date 2023-08-12

Distance 1m4f

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,234

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (4)	Shake A Leg Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Julie Camacho	J:NON-RUNNER T:Julie Camacho	141	p	39-680	74	74	-	56d	—	—	-44	26	—	—
Non-runner
8 (2)	Tajanis Bay J:William Buick T:William Haggas	J:William Buick T:William Haggas	132	p	532	75	83	69	36d	—	—	-9	23.4	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Flattered by proximity to a smart one in his final novice but still of major interest here
6 (7)	Edge Of Darkness Chestnut J:Jack Mitchell T:Charlie Johnston	J:Jack Mitchell T:Charlie Johnston	135	—	43-611	78	78	47	7d	—	—	-12	15.4	0.63/1	5/2 29%
3yo who is going the right way over 1m4f; remains on an appealing mark
NR (3)	Dashing Panther Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:William Stone	J:Kieran Shoemark T:William Stone	137	—	-04122	70	81	54	15d	—	—	+2	25.8	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Not looked back since sent handicapping and latest Ascot second can be upgraded
1 (9)	Sea Grey Grey J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David Omeara	143	v	205363	76	81	66	14d	—	—	0	15.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
New visor probably needs to eke out some improvement to defy his current mark
10 (11)	D Day Arvalenreeva Chestnut J:Rossa Ryan T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Rossa Ryan T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	128	—	754124	71	79	45	17d	—	—	+7	16.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Was running well until getting stuck in the mud at Leicester; still of interest
3 (1)	Ready To Shine Bay J:Harry Davies(3) T:Julie Camacho	J:Harry Davies(3) T:Julie Camacho	141	—	207152	74	77	62	37d	—	—	+9	18.7	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Two of her last three efforts read well and she's not yet fully exposed
NR (6)	Major Major Bay J:Sam Hitchcott T:Richard Hannon	J:Sam Hitchcott T:Richard Hannon	124	—	7-0031	67	77	71	7d	—	—	-1	6.4	2.75/1	12 8%
Effectively 10lb higher than when narrowly winning a Class 6 at Lingfield last week
NR (8)	Heathen Bay J:David Probert T:Ed Dunlop	J:David Probert T:Ed Dunlop	142	hp	1-1008	75	77	53	14d	—	—	+10	14.6	6.00/1	25 4%
Best form on the AW; raced freely last time and that's always a worry here
7 (5)	On The Right Track Grey J:Joey Haynes T:Mark Usher	J:Joey Haynes T:Mark Usher	134	—	0-1841	67	78	21	56d	—	—	+1	5.3	6.75/1	28 4%
Five of his six wins have been in Class 6s, including the latest at Bath; only 3lb higher
9 (10)	Merrijig Bay J:Adam Farragher(3) T:John Berry	J:Adam Farragher(3) T:John Berry	131	—	666	64	79	62	50d	—	—	+1	4.4	8.00/1	33 3%
Seven defeats include four bumpers (placed); not sure how lenient this mark is

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Shake A Leg	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Tajanis	13/8	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4
Edge Of Darkness	5/2	5/2	5/2	9/4	5/2
Dashing Panther	3	11/4	3	11/4	11/4
Sea Grey	9/2	4	9/2	4	4
D Day Arvalenreeva	7	7	8	15/2	15/2
Ready To Shine	9	17/2	8	8	9
Major Major	12	12	12	11	11
Heathen	25	25	22	22	22
On The Right Track	28	25	25	20	25
Merrijig	33	28	33	28	28

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Shake A Leg

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 20

—

2nd

Dashing Panther

25.8

OR: 5 Form: 13.5 Odds: 7.3

11/4

3rd

Tajanis

23.4

OR: 6.3 Form: 7.1 Odds: 10

7/4

Ready To Shine

18.7

OR: 6 Form: 10 Odds: 2.7

17/2

D Day Arvalenreeva

16.4

OR: 5.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Edge Of Darkness

15.4

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

5/2

Sea Grey

15.4

OR: 6.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Heathen

14.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1.3

Major Major

6.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

On The Right Track

5.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Merrijig

4.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Edge Of Darkness	78	78	47
Sea Grey	76	81	66
Tajanis	75	83	69
Heathen	75	77	53
Shake A Leg	74	74	—
Ready To Shine	74	77	62
D Day Arvalenreeva	71	79	45
Dashing Panther	70	81	54
Major Major	67	77	71
On The Right Track	67	78	21
Merrijig	64	79	62

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Edge Of Darkness	7d ago	Quick return
Major Major	7d ago	Quick return
Sea Grey	14d ago	Fit
Heathen	14d ago	Fit
Dashing Panther	15d ago	Fit
D Day Arvalenreeva	17d ago	Fit
Tajanis	36d ago	Fit
Ready To Shine	37d ago	Fit
Merrijig	50d ago	Fresh
Shake A Leg	56d ago	Fresh
On The Right Track	56d ago	Fresh