Irish Stallion Farms EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race) (Div I)

Leicester

14:28

Date 2023-08-13

Distance 7f

Class Class 4

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £4,860

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (6)	Individualism Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	133	—	2	-	85	54	34d	—	—	-27	21.3	0.20/1	4/5 56%
Ayr form sets the standard, should be wiser here and has Group-race entries
7 (9)	Persica Chestnut J:Hollie Doyle T:Richard Hannon	J:Hollie Doyle T:Richard Hannon	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-9	3.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
£200,000 yearling; first foal; dam NZ 1m Listed winner; market can guide
2 (5)	Clear Image Bay J:Harry Davies(3) T:Charlie Appleby	J:Harry Davies(3) T:Charlie Appleby	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-9	3.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
550,000gns yearling; stable operates at a 24% strike-rate here with its 2yos
5 (2)	Mortlake Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	133	—	6	-	62	24	29d	—	—	-7	2.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Easy to back at Salisbury (7f, soft; 18-1) and faded into a remote sixth
1 (7)	Celtic Warrior Bay J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	2.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
125,000gns yearling; second foal; half-brother to 1m 2yo winner Gentle Whinny (RPR 75)
8 (1)	Strong Request Bay J:Sam James T:K R Burke	J:Sam James T:K R Burke	133	—	64	-	68	52	35d	—	—	-3	1	6.00/1	25 4%
Ran much better second time out at Ayr (6f, good to soft) but he's clearly no superstar
NR (3)	Veer Grey J:Saffie Osborne T:Charles Hills	J:Saffie Osborne T:Charles Hills	133	—	67	-	66	46	22d	—	—	-2	0.6	12.25/1	50 2%
Down the field in two 7f novices at Haydock and will earn a handicap mark after this
6 (4)	One Cool Dreamer Bay J:Liam Keniry T:Alan King	J:Liam Keniry T:Alan King	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	19.75/1	80 1%
70,000gns 2yo and related to winners at two but market confidence would be welcomed
4 (8)	Kapparis Kid Bay J:Jason Hart T:Amy Murphy	J:Jason Hart T:Amy Murphy	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	19.75/1	80 1%
40,000gns yearling; already gelded and others look more likely winners of this

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Individualism	8/11	4/5	4/5	4/5	4/5
Persica	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Clear Image	11/2	11/2	6	11/2	11/2
Mortlake	7	13/2	7	7	7
Celtic Warrior	7	7	7	7	15/2
Strong Request	25	22	22	22	22
Veer	50	40	40	40	40
One Cool Dreamer	80	40	40	50	50
Kapparis Kid	80	50	40	50	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Individualism

21.3

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 16.3

4/5

2nd

Persica

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

3rd

Clear Image

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Mortlake

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Celtic Warrior

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Strong Request

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Veer

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

One Cool Dreamer

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Kapparis Kid

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Individualism	—	85	54
Persica	—	—	—
Clear Image	—	—	—
Mortlake	—	62	24
Celtic Warrior	—	—	—
Strong Request	—	68	52
Veer	—	66	46
One Cool Dreamer	—	—	—
Kapparis Kid	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Veer	22d ago	Fit
Mortlake	29d ago	Fit
Individualism	34d ago	Fit
Strong Request	35d ago	Fit
Persica	—	—
Clear Image	—	—
Celtic Warrior	—	—
One Cool Dreamer	—	—
Kapparis Kid	—	—