Unibet/British Stallion Studs EBF Newcomers' Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Bands C-D) (GBB)

Kempton (AW)

15:55

Date 2023-08-14

Distance 7f

Class Class 4

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £5,346

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (11)	Fernden Wells Bay J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-18	8	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Half-sister to nine winners including Well Timed (Group 1 German Oaks); check market.
5 (10)	Billiegee Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-17	7.3	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Half-sister to 1m6f winner Moonlit Night; dam German 8.7f-1m2f winner; market check.
3 (8)	Lady De Bathe Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Trainer among the winners is 16% with AW 2yos since 2022; market check suggested.
6 (2)	Dancing Eyes Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Amy Murphy	J:Saffie Osborne T:Amy Murphy	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.1	2.25/1	10 10%
8,000euros yearling; closely related to Italian 5f 2yo winner Holy Lands; dam placed 5f.
7 (7)	Hala Abrar Bay J:Luke Morris T:Gay Kelleway	J:Luke Morris T:Gay Kelleway	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.1	2.75/1	12 8%
Trainer 10% with AW 2yos (five seasons); some appeal on pedigree; check market for clues.
9 (3)	Mrs Nell Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Jonathan Portman	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Jonathan Portman	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.6	2.75/1	12 8%
8,000gns yearling; half-sister to three winners; dam placed 1m4f; trainer 7% with AW 2yos.
8 (1)	Miss Dubai Bay J:George Bass(3) T:Denis Coakley	J:George Bass(3) T:Denis Coakley	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.7	3.25/1	14 7%
Dam placed 7f 2yo (RPR 72); trainer not known for his AW 2yo winners; others preferred.
10 (4)	Silver Shamrock Grey J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia Feilden	J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia Feilden	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	3.75/1	16 6%
14,000euros yearling; half-sister to two winners; not devoid of appeal on pedigree.
11 (5)	Thunderous Love Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Jonathan Portman	J:Trevor Whelan T:Jonathan Portman	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1	5.25/1	22 5%
Half-sister to 6f AW 2yo winner Hill Cove (RPR 81); dam placed French 9.5f AW/1m3f turf.
2 (6)	Flavor Bay J:Hector Crouch T:John Butler	J:Hector Crouch T:John Butler	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.9	5.25/1	22 5%
Sister to a 1m4f winner and half-sister to three winners; looks one to watch on debut.
4 (9)	Queen Of Africa Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:John Butler	J:Callum Shepherd T:John Butler	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	9.75/1	40 3%
Half-sister to five winners, the best being True Mason; probably one to watch on debut.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Fernden Wells	9/4	9/4	17/8	9/4	9/4
Billiegee	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Lady De Bathe	8	8	8	8	17/2
Dancing Eyes	10	10	10	10	10
Hala Abrar	12	10	11	11	12
Mrs Nell	12	12	12	12	12
Miss Dubai	14	12	11	12	12
Silver Shamrock	14	16	14	16	14
Thunderous Love	22	22	22	22	22
Flavor	22	22	22	22	22
Queen Of Africa	40	40	40	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Fernden Wells

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8

9/4

2nd

Billiegee

7.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

5/2

3rd

Lady De Bathe

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Dancing Eyes

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Hala Abrar

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Miss Dubai

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Mrs Nell

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Silver Shamrock

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Thunderous Love

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Flavor

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Queen Of Africa

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Fernden Wells	—	—	—
Billiegee	—	—	—
Lady De Bathe	—	—	—
Dancing Eyes	—	—	—
Hala Abrar	—	—	—
Mrs Nell	—	—	—
Miss Dubai	—	—	—
Silver Shamrock	—	—	—
Thunderous Love	—	—	—
Flavor	—	—	—
Queen Of Africa	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Fernden Wells	—	—
Billiegee	—	—
Lady De Bathe	—	—
Dancing Eyes	—	—
Hala Abrar	—	—
Mrs Nell	—	—
Miss Dubai	—	—
Silver Shamrock	—	—
Thunderous Love	—	—
Flavor	—	—
Queen Of Africa	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.