British EBF Premier Fillies' Handicap – Salisbury

Salisbury

16:40

British EBF Premier Fillies' Handicap

Date 2023-08-17

Distance 1m4f5y

Class Class 3

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £25,770

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (2)	Queen Regent Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Oisin Murphy T:John & Thady Gosden	134	—	312	89	99	-	37d	—	—	+3	32.1	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Makes handicap debut (withdrawn at Glorious Goodwood); could be capable of a lot better
1 (3)	Truthful Bay J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	135	—	116	90	90	87	26d	—	—	+1	31.4	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Novice wins first two runs; second favourite, put firmly in her place in 1m4f Listed race
5 (7)	Mistral Star Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Hughie Morrison	J:Rob Hornby T:Hughie Morrison	124	—	2-314	79	92	80	33d	—	—	-3	16.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
1m2f handicap run here last time was tame, notwithstanding the soft ground; early days
6 (1)	Flash Bardot Bay J:Rose Dawes(5) T:Jack Channon	J:Rose Dawes(5) T:Jack Channon	123	—	135123	78	93	82	20d	—	—	+11	22.2	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Brought out quickly when fair 3rd at Ascot; peak form (time before) gives her good shout
2 (5)	Alpina Express Chestnut J:Richard Kingscote T:Charlie Johnston	J:Richard Kingscote T:Charlie Johnston	135	—	571118	90	91	82	34d	—	—	+21	26.4	3.75/1	16 6%
Quickfire hat-trick in June in good style over 1m2f-11.4f; poor show at Ascot latest start
7 (6)	Flight Of Angels Bay J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Charlie Johnston	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Charlie Johnston	119	—	-51233	74	91	80	11d	—	—	+14	17.4	12.25/1	50 2%
1m4f tempting given her sire but she needs to be more amenable to restraint than last time
4 (4)	Wilderness Bay J:George Downing T:Seamus Mullins	J:George Downing T:Seamus Mullins	131	v	-49266	77	95	79	33d	—	—	+8	9.8	16.25/1	66 2%
Goes very well at this track over 1m6f; not so good over 1m4f here on latest outing

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Queen Regent	2	2	2	15/8	15/8
Truthful	7/4	13/8	15/8	7/4	15/8
Mistral Star	4	4	10/3	7/2	7/2
Flash Bardot	7	13/2	6	13/2	13/2
Alpina Express	14	14	14	14	16
Flight Of Angels	50	40	33	33	28
Wilderness	66	50	40	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Queen Regent

32.1

OR: 9.8 Form: 13.5 Odds: 8.9

15/8

2nd

Truthful

31.4

OR: 10 Form: 12 Odds: 9.4

15/8

3rd

Alpina Express

26.4

OR: 10 Form: 15 Odds: 1.4

Flash Bardot

22.2

OR: 7 Form: 12.1 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Flight Of Angels

17.4

OR: 6 Form: 10.6 Odds: 0.8

Mistral Star

16.5

OR: 7.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Wilderness

9.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Truthful	90	90	87
Alpina Express	90	91	82
Queen Regent	89	99	—
Mistral Star	79	92	80
Flash Bardot	78	93	82
Wilderness	77	95	79
Flight Of Angels	74	91	80

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Flight Of Angels	11d ago	Quick return
Flash Bardot	20d ago	Fit
Truthful	26d ago	Fit
Mistral Star	33d ago	Fit
Wilderness	33d ago	Fit
Alpina Express	34d ago	Fit
Queen Regent	37d ago	Fit