Ergo Rated Novice Hurdle – Tramore

Tramore

19:19

Ergo Rated Novice Hurdle

Date 2023-08-17

Distance 2m4f110y

Class

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €6,785

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3	Foxfire Glow Bay J:Mark Walsh T:Gordon Elliott	J:Mark Walsh T:Gordon Elliott	165	t	30-331	113	121	103	35d	—	—	-9	27.5	0.34/1	11/8 42%
French recruit; Downpatrick maiden win was perfectly reassuring; no issue with this mark
8	Hidalgo Des Mottes Bay J:Gavin Brouder(5) T:Eoin Griffin	J:Gavin Brouder(5) T:Eoin Griffin	154	tp	-32324	102	125	111	9d	—	—	+7	25.3	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Really consistent, unlike most of these, but also anomalous in he's 0-12; has to go well
6	Bynx Bay J:Brian Hayes T:Martin Hassett	J:Brian Hayes T:Martin Hassett	159	—	20-100	107	123	80	15d	—	—	+5	17.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
C&D winner in Tramore; poor at Cork; not especially reliable but latest more encouraging
7	No Fussing Bay J:Mr D Doyle(7) T:Timothy Doyle	J:Mr D Doyle(7) T:Timothy Doyle	156	—	071-04	104	119	87	10d	—	—	+4	17.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Stable in terrific form; much better at Cork last week at 66s and stayed on well; chance
5	Katou Bay J:Danny Mullins T:W P Mullins	J:Danny Mullins T:W P Mullins	163	h	3-17P	-	121	111	23d	—	—	-4	4.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Beat subsequent winner here, wheels came off since; hood adds to the quandary up in trip
4	Thunder Bay J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:John Patrick Ryan	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:John Patrick Ryan	164	—	/8-517	112	122	96	23d	—	—	+11	17.1	4.25/1	18 6%
Form of easy C&D win reads well given form of runner-up since; 8s, flopped at Ballinrobe
1	Mousey Brown Bay J:Michael J Molloy(7) T:Dermot A Mcloughlin	J:Michael J Molloy(7) T:Dermot A Mcloughlin	168	t	5-4114	-	112	95	27d	—	—	-4	1.4	3.75/1	16 6%
Followed 2m4f Wexford bumper win with maiden success over bit farther under this rider
2	Eve Moneypenny Brown J:Jody McGarvey T:Colin Bowe	J:Jody McGarvey T:Colin Bowe	167	h	3P-F16	115	117	63	39d	—	—	+14	17.1	12.25/1	50 2%
Won at Punchestown; 14s, ran better than bare result at Sligo but market weakness noted

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Foxfire Glow	11/8	6/5	6/5	6/5	6/5
Hidalgo Des Mottes	7/2	7/2	10/3	10/3	7/2
Bynx	5	13/2	6	6	6
No Fussing	13/2	6	11/2	6	6
Katou	9	17/2	17/2	8	17/2
Thunder	16	16	16	18	18
Mousey Brown	14	16	16	16	16
Eve Moneypenny	50	50	50	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Foxfire Glow

27.5

OR: 15.8 Form: 0 Odds: 11.8

11/8

2nd

Hidalgo Des Mottes

25.3

OR: 13 Form: 7.1 Odds: 5.2

7/2

3rd

Bynx

17.9

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

No Fussing

17.1

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Thunder

17.1

OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Eve Moneypenny

17.1

OR: 16.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Katou

4.5

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Mousey Brown

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Eve Moneypenny	115	117	63
Foxfire Glow	113	121	103
Thunder	112	122	96
Bynx	107	123	80
No Fussing	104	119	87
Hidalgo Des Mottes	102	125	111
Katou	—	121	111
Mousey Brown	—	112	95

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Hidalgo Des Mottes	9d ago	Quick return
No Fussing	10d ago	Quick return
Bynx	15d ago	Fit
Katou	23d ago	Fit
Thunder	23d ago	Fit
Mousey Brown	27d ago	Fit
Foxfire Glow	35d ago	Fit
Eve Moneypenny	39d ago	Fit