Source One Consulting Handicap – Newmarket (July)

Newmarket (July)

17:45

Source One Consulting Handicap

Date 2023-08-18

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,234

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (12)	De Bruyne Bay J:William Buick T:Ed Walker	J:William Buick T:Ed Walker	138	—	1-6734	71	78	64	20d	—	—	-2	18.4	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Has reached the frame in last two handicaps but he's now 1-7 and others look stronger
10 (9)	Special Mayson Bay J:Shane Kelly T:Pam Sly	J:Shane Kelly T:Pam Sly	132	—	7-3383	62	80	67	50d	—	—	-8	7.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
On last winning mark but he needs to rediscover his spark after a short break
11 (4)	Porfin Bay J:Molly Presland(7) T:Phil Mcentee	J:Molly Presland(7) T:Phil Mcentee	131	p	332312	61	81	64	8d	—	—	+10	21.7	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Good second under a penalty at Yarmouth (7f) and he's 3lb lower here; big player
7 (5)	Swiss Star Bay J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	138	—	3215	71	78	58	14d	—	—	+7	19	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Still unexposed but was behind two of today's rivals over C&D latest; needs more progress
1 (8)	Cashew Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	142	—	0-3372	72	79	59	23d	—	—	-1	8	2.25/1	9/1 10%
0-20 since her last win but she went close off this mark at Lingfield last time; respected
6 (11)	Aira Force Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:Hector Crouch T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	138	t	213-64	71	74	56	55d	—	—	-1	7.5	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Has solid record but she needs to find more to get back on scoresheet; tongue-tie added
2 (7)	Alcazan Bay J:Neil Callan T:Roger Teal	J:Neil Callan T:Roger Teal	139	—	20-307	69	79	70	25d	—	—	-1	7	2.25/1	10 10%
May have needed the run at Windsor last month and has claims if she can get back near best
3 (3)	Boafo Boy Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Stuart Williams	J:Dylan Hogan T:Stuart Williams	139	—	596758	69	78	61	41d	—	—	0	6.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Changed hands for 8,000gns and has something to prove back at 6f for new yard
4 (6)	Epic Express Chestnut J:Liam Wright(7) T:Chris Dwyer	J:Liam Wright(7) T:Chris Dwyer	139	p	751462	69	77	59	14d	—	—	+10	13.8	4.75/1	20 5%
Finished well to go close behind Porfin over C&D last time; respected off 1lb higher
9 (1)	Ray Vonn Bay J:Stefano Cherchi T:B F Brookhouse	J:Stefano Cherchi T:B F Brookhouse	135	t	2-3223	68	73	-	121d	—	—	+4	9.4	7.00/1	28/1 3%
0-7 and has some quirks but he looks interesting dropped to 6f on handicap debut
12 (2)	Revolucion Chestnut J:David Probert T:Joseph Parr	J:David Probert T:Joseph Parr	130	p	242-83	63	77	39	24d	—	—	+1	4	8.00/1	33 3%
0-10 and his turf form lags behind his best AW efforts; down the list
8 (10)	Dors Toyboy Grey J:Robert Havlin T:Dean Ivory	J:Robert Havlin T:Dean Ivory	135	—	2216-7	65	77	32	14d	—	—	+2	4.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Has had just two runs on turf including a seventh behind Porfin over C&D two weeks ago

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
De Bruyne	3	3/1	3	3	11/4
Special Mayson	5	9/2	4/1	9/2	5/1
Porfin	13/2	13/2	6/1	13/2	7
Swiss Star	15/2	8/1	17/2	8	7/1
Cashew	17/2	8/1	15/2	8	9/1
Aira Force	9	17/2	17/2	9/1	9
Alcazan	10	10	10	10	10
Boafo Boy	12	12	12/1	12	14/1
Epic Express	20	20	20	20	20
Ray Vonn	22/1	28/1	22/1	22/1	18/1
Revolucion	28	33	28	33	28/1
Dors Toyboy	40	40	40/1	40	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Porfin

21.7

OR: 2.8 Form: 15.6 Odds: 3.3

13/2

2nd

Swiss Star

OR: 5.3 Form: 10.4 Odds: 3.3

17/2

3rd

De Bruyne

18.4

OR: 5.3 Form: 7 Odds: 6.2

3/1

Epic Express

13.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 8 Odds: 1.1

Ray Vonn

9.4

OR: 4.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.4

28/1

Cashew

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Aira Force

7.5

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

9/1

Special Mayson

7.4

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Alcazan

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Boafo Boy

6.5

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Dors Toyboy

4.5

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Revolucion

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Cashew	72	79	59
De Bruyne	71	78	64
Swiss Star	71	78	58
Aira Force	71	74	56
Alcazan	69	79	70
Boafo Boy	69	78	61
Epic Express	69	77	59
Ray Vonn	68	73	—
Dors Toyboy	65	77	32
Revolucion	63	77	39
Special Mayson	62	80	67
Porfin	61	81	64

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Porfin	8d ago	Quick return
Swiss Star	14d ago	Fit
Epic Express	14d ago	Fit
Dors Toyboy	14d ago	Fit
De Bruyne	20d ago	Fit
Cashew	23d ago	Fit
Revolucion	24d ago	Fit
Alcazan	25d ago	Fit
Boafo Boy	41d ago	Fit
Special Mayson	50d ago	Fresh
Aira Force	55d ago	Fresh
Ray Vonn	121d ago	Long break