N&L Franklin Developments Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

17:10

N&L Franklin Developments Handicap

Date 2023-08-20

Distance 4f214y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,711

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (12)	Blazing Hot Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:David C Griffiths	J:NON-RUNNER T:David C Griffiths	136	b	527083	61	73	-	29d	—	—	-43	26.8	—	—
All six wins have been on the AW; well treated at present; could go well
3 (2)	Mehmo Chestnut J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	133	v	576313	58	72	36	23d	—	—	-2	20.2	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Dual C&D winner who was in good form on turf last month; sound chance
1 (13)	Dalby Forest Chestnut J:Cieren Fallon T:David Simcock	J:Cieren Fallon T:David Simcock	137	—	127476	62	70	47	4d	—	—	-3	6.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Only win in 17 was at Chelmsford in Feb; below par on turf the last twice; better expected
12 (1)	Canaria Prince Black J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	124	b	363385	49	76	-	21d	—	—	-5	5.5	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Three wins in 2022, but not in top form this year; hard to know what to expect on AW debut
8 (8)	Fantasy Navigator Bay J:Ray Dawson T:Michael Appleby	J:Ray Dawson T:Michael Appleby	127	tv	-65546	52	75	60	11d	—	—	-6	2.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
6f AW winner last June; quite interesting on first run at 5f with visor on for first time
13 (11)	Birdie Bowers Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:David Thompson	J:Sean Kirrane T:David Thompson	123	—	399522	48	72	38	8d	—	—	+1	11.4	2.00/1	9 11%
C&D winner last year and back to form when runner-up on last two starts; not out of it
5 (7)	Shesadabber Bay J:Phil Dennis T:David Evans	J:Phil Dennis T:David Evans	132	—	256311	57	78	-	12d	—	—	+12	23.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
New yard this year; dual turf winner last twice; bit to prove on AW but could go well
NR (10)	Under Curfew Chestnut J:TBC T:Tony Carroll	J: T:Tony Carroll	127	—	226834	52	76	60	1d	—	—	-6	7.4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
20lb lower than for last win which was over two years ago; good run last week; a possible
4 (4)	Marwari Bay J:Shane Gray T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Shane Gray T:Michael & David Easterby	132	—	5-6208	57	74	66	33d	—	—	-4	4.1	2.75/1	12 8%
All four wins have been on the AW, including C&D; bit to prove after two poor runs
11 (9)	Golden Prosperity Chestnut J:Kieran Schofield(5) T:Tony Coyle	J:Kieran Schofield(5) T:Tony Coyle	125	p	043621	50	69	-	46d	—	—	+9	16.5	2.50/1	11 9%
Won at 23rd attempt in a turf classified stakes last time; some fair AW form; this tougher
6 (3)	Rodborough Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Alan Brown	J:Rowan Scott T:Alan Brown	130	p	09-570	57	74	-	9d	—	—	-3	3.5	3.25/1	14 7%
Excuses for last two runs (on turf); mixed efforts on the AW; headgear tried; bit to prove
7 (6)	Brandy Station Bay J:Alex Jary(7) T:Lisa Williamson	J:Alex Jary(7) T:Lisa Williamson	129	p	3-6338	54	74	69	157d	—	—	-1	4.7	4.25/1	18 6%
Four-time C&D winner; mixed form this year; probably best watched after a break
10 (5)	Breath Catcher Chestnut J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	126	—	4-8697	53	60	-	5d	—	—	-1	1.2	24.75/1	100 1%
0-12; on a good mark but out of form this year; poor effort only previous AW run

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Blazing Hot	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Mehmo	5/2	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
Dalby Forest	13/2	15/2	13/2	7	7
Canaria Prince	7	7	13/2	13/2	13/2
Fantasy Navigator	8	17/2	9	9	9
Birdie Bowers	9	8	15/2	15/2	15/2
Shesadabber	6	6	11/2	6	6
Under Curfew	7	13/2	13/2	13/2	6
Marwari	12	17/2	17/2	8	17/2
Golden Prosperity	9	11	10/1	11	11
Rodborough	14	12	11	12	12
Brandy Station	18	18	12	16	16
Breath Catcher	40	100	66	80	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Blazing Hot

26.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 4 Odds: 20

—

2nd

Shesadabber

23.6

OR: 1.8 Form: 18.5 Odds: 3.3

11/2

3rd

Mehmo

20.2

OR: 2 Form: 11.5 Odds: 6.7

11/4

Golden Prosperity

16.5

OR: 0 Form: 14.4 Odds: 2.1

Birdie Bowers

11.4

OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 2.9

Under Curfew

7.4

OR: 0.5 Form: 3.1 Odds: 3.8

13/2

Dalby Forest

6.9

OR: 3 Form: 1 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Canaria Prince

5.5

OR: 0 Form: 2.4 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Brandy Station

4.7

OR: 1 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.6

Marwari

4.1

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Rodborough

3.5

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Fantasy Navigator

2.9

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Breath Catcher

1.2

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dalby Forest	62	70	47
Blazing Hot	61	73	—
Mehmo	58	72	36
Shesadabber	57	78	—
Marwari	57	74	66
Rodborough	57	74	—
Brandy Station	54	74	69
Breath Catcher	53	60	—
Fantasy Navigator	52	75	60
Under Curfew	52	76	60
Golden Prosperity	50	69	—
Canaria Prince	49	76	—
Birdie Bowers	48	72	38

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Under Curfew	1d ago	Quick return
Dalby Forest	4d ago	Quick return
Breath Catcher	5d ago	Quick return
Birdie Bowers	8d ago	Quick return
Rodborough	9d ago	Quick return
Fantasy Navigator	11d ago	Quick return
Shesadabber	12d ago	Quick return
Canaria Prince	21d ago	Fit
Mehmo	23d ago	Fit
Blazing Hot	29d ago	Fit
Marwari	33d ago	Fit
Golden Prosperity	46d ago	Fresh
Brandy Station	157d ago	Long break